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Nacional vs Guimaraes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 17 May, 2026 11:00
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15
Played
5
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(20 total)
xG
1.20
(17.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.7
(176 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(35% acc)
Corners
4.6
(69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(4 total)
Fouls
14
(210 total)
Offsides
1.4
(21 total)
16
Played
3
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(14 total)
xG
1.00
(15.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.4
(198 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(35% acc)
Corners
3.8
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.6
(234 total)
Offsides
1.5
(24 total)
31
Played
8
Wins
7
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(34 total)
xG
1.10
(32.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(374 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(35% acc)
Corners
4.2
(130 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(6 total)
Fouls
14.3
(444 total)
Offsides
1.5
(45 total)
16
Played
8
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(26 total)
xG
1.20
(19.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(210 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(32% acc)
Corners
4.2
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
15.3
(245 total)
Offsides
1.6
(26 total)
15
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(12 total)
xG
1.20
(18.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(191 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(28% acc)
Corners
4.1
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.1
(197 total)
Offsides
1.9
(29 total)
31
Played
12
Wins
6
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(38 total)
xG
1.20
(37.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(401 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(30% acc)
Corners
4.1
(128 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
14.3
(442 total)
Offsides
1.8
(55 total)
No lambda data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Trends for Nacional vs Guimaraes Football 17 May, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
Guimaraes struggle to score — failed to find net in 7/7 recent away matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Nacional vs Guimaraes.
🏆 Match Winner
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional1 TrendsNot WinH2H
Nacional have not won in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes2 TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Guimaraes are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringH2H
Guimaraes efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Nacional score (1.29/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 44%)
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 771%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Guimaraes struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches
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Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Guimaraes struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 7100%
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Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Offensive trends suggest potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional1 TrendsNot WinH2H
Nacional have not won in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes2 TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Guimaraes are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
Guimaraes are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional2 TrendsScored 1+Recent
Nacional scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
Nacional score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes4 TrendsScored 1+Recent
Guimaraes scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 2+Recent
Guimaraes scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFirst Half SpecialistsRecent
Guimaraes score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
Guimaraes score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional2 Trends — avg 2.9 (+9% above league)Few CardsH2H
Nacional receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes1 Trends — avg 2.3 (-13% below league)Many CardsRecent
Guimaraes receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nacional vs Guimaraes
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Guimaraes
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Guimaraes - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Guimaraes - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nacional excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nacional scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Guimaraes has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Guimaraes handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.264
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Guimaraes):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Nacional vs Guimaraes Head-to-head statistics for Sun 17 May, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
13
10
8
46
32
14
49
7
12
6
13
38
43
-5
42
8
11
6
14
34
45
-11
39
13
8
8
15
28
38
-10
32
14
8
7
16
34
41
-7
31
15
6
10
15
34
51
-17
28
Nacional
VS
Guimaraes
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
2 (6)
xG
0.90
1.00
Shots
12.7 (38)
12 (36)
Shots on Target
2.7 (8)
3.7 (11)
Corners
3.3 (10)
4 (12)
Defense
Conceded
2 (6)
1.3 (4)
xGa
1.00
0.90
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 (4)
1.3 (4)
Fouls
14 (42)
16 (48)
Offsides
1.7 (5)
1.3 (4)
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Guimaraes
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
1.67
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
0%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.65
Avg xG
1.38
Nacional vs Guimaraes: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Guimaraes
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
60%
6
40%
4
Double Chance
Nacional
Guimaraes
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
40%
4
60%
6
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Nacional
Guimaraes
0-1
40%
4
10%
1
2-3
60%
6
70%
7
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Guimaraes
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Guimaraes
xG
0.72
1.34
xGa
1.46
1.17
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Nacional
Guimaraes
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Nacional
Guimaraes
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Nacional
Guimaraes
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Nacional
Guimaraes
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
20%
2
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1.10
xG
1.04
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
3
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Guimaraes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-05-17 at 2026-05-17 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Guimaraes. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-17
Time: 16:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!