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Leeds vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 23 November, 2025 8:00
Best Tip
Value
Draw or Aston Villa
Double Chance
Odds:
1.48
67.7%
EV: +0.2%
1.17
xG [Total: 2.46]
1.29
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
6
Corners [Total: 10]
4
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
10
Fouls [Total: 20]
10
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 8]
4
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
▲
5
3
3
19
10
9
18
6
▲
5
3
3
13
10
3
18
7
▲
5
3
3
19
18
1
18
15
3
2
6
12
16
-4
11
16
3
2
6
10
20
-10
11
17
3
1
7
14
22
-8
10
Last 6 Matches
Leeds
VS
Aston Villa
1/6 (17%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.67
PPG
2.50
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
2.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
67%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.28
Avg xG
1.13
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Leeds will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 12 and will take place on 2025-11-23 at 2025-11-23 in the famous Elland Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Leeds, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Aston Villa.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-11-23
Time: 14:00
Location: Elland Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Leeds vs Aston Villa Football 23 Nov, 2025 8:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 60% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
Aston Villa struggle to score — failed to find net in 3/5 recent away matches
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Leeds vs Aston Villa, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Aston Villa @ 2.70 ✅ 
Aston Villa
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 5 6 matches vs Leeds
- UnbeatenRecent23/3077%Aston Villa are unbeaten in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Leeds
- Not WinH2H5/683%Leeds have not won in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Aston Villa to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.95 
Leeds(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/560%Leeds score (1.20/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 60% of matches (league avg: 51%)
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague3/560%Aston Villa struggle to score in away matches (0.60/match) - fail to score in 60% of matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Aston Villa Win or Draw @ 1.48 ✅ 
Aston Villa
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/6100%Aston Villa are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches vs Leeds
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 5 6 matches vs Leeds
- UnbeatenRecent23/3077%Aston Villa are unbeaten in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent23/3077%Aston Villa are undefeated at half time in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Leeds
- Not WinH2H5/683%Leeds have not won in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
Aston Villa dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.63 ⚠️ 
Aston Villa
- Scored 1+Recent23/3077%Aston Villa scored 1+ goals in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Aston Villa's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Leeds(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H6/6100%Leeds receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Aston Villa
- Low Card MatchesLeague11/1190%Leeds average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-22% below league avg 1.9) — rank #4 lowest in league
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H6/6100%Aston Villa receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Leeds
Leeds disciplined play balances Aston Villa aggression — • H2H average: 5.7 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.67 ⚠️ 
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 5.4 (+12% above league)
- Many CornersLeague5/577%Aston Villa average 5.4 corners/match in away matches (+12% above league avg 4.8)
Aston Villa drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.67
+6 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Leeds vs Aston Villa
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Leeds is stronger in the first 15 minutes (11 vs 5).
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (16 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (16 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Leeds
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.21
✈️ Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Leeds - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Leeds - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
11
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
11
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Leeds often scores in the first 15 minutes (11 vs 5)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Leeds scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (16 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Leeds to win the first half
- Overall Result: Aston Villa has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Aston Villa handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.072
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.088
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Leeds):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Leeds vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Sun 23 Nov, 2025 @ 8:00 Premier League
[match_insights match_id="188816" scope="full"]
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Aston Villa
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 32.65% | Low | 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 67.35% | Medium | 1.46 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 36.96% | Low | 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 | 63.04% | Medium | 1.52 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 11.41% | Low | 7.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 88.59% | High | 1.10 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 14.06% | Low | 7.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 85.94% | High | 1.13 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Leeds
Aston Villa
Played:
6
Wins
1
1
Draws
2
2
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
1.2
Goals
1.5
9
9
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.2
7
19
3.2
Yellow Cards
2.2
13
1
0.2
Red Cards
0.2
1
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.5
3
39
6.5
Corners
5.2
31
98
16.3
Fouls
12.3
74
10
1.7
Offsides
1.7
10
82
13.7
Shots
13
78
26
4.3
Shots on Goal
5.5
33
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 6 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.9 | 10 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | 15 | 1.8 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 8 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.5 | 16 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 5 | 25 | 3.5 | 21 | 4.2 | 46 |
| Fouls | 10 | 50 | 11.8 | 71 | 11 | 121 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 4 | 1.2 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 79 | 8.8 | 53 | 12 | 132 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.2 | 21 | 2.8 | 17 | 3.5 | 38 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 10 | 0.6 | 3 | 1.2 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0.9 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 1.8 | 20 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.4 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 32 | 5.4 | 27 | 5.4 | 59 |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 55 | 10.2 | 51 | 9.6 | 106 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 8 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.3 | 14 |
| Shots | 10.8 | 65 | 10.4 | 52 | 10.6 | 117 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 29 | 2 | 10 | 3.5 | 39 |
Betting Odds Comparison for Leeds vs Aston Villa Sunday, Nov 23rd, 2025 at 8:00 Football
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