Form
Form
La Liga 2026-2027 • Matchweek 2
Preview
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Form
VS
19:00
20 Aug 2026
Alaves
Alaves
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Alaves
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 20 August, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)2.36
Rayo Vallecano to Win
Probability 43%
Total Goals2.75
Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Both Teams to Score2.25
Yes
Probability 62%
Rayo Vallecano Total1.37
Home Over 0.5
Probability 81%
Alaves Total1.25
Away Under 1.5
Probability 58%
Double Chance1.33
Rayo Vallecano/Draw
Probability 67%
Asian Handicap1.29
Alaves +1
Probability 68%
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Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
La Liga 2026-2027
19:00
Rayo Vallecano W 43%
:
Alaves W 32%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.66 vs 1.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.93%
0:1
6.71%
0:2
4.57%
0:3
2.07%
0:4
0.71%
0:5
0.19%
1
1:0
7.8%
1:1
11%
🔥
1:2
7.75%
1:3
3.63%
1:4
1.28%
1:5
0.36%
2
2:0
6.17%
2:1
9%
2:2
6.55%
2:3
3.17%
2:4
1.15%
2:5
0.33%
3
3:0
3.25%
3:1
4.9%
3:2
3.69%
3:3
1.84%
3:4
0.69%
3:5
0.21%
4
4:0
1.29%
4:1
2%
4:2
1.55%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.31%
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
0.41%
5:1
0.65%
5:2
0.52%
5:3
0.28%
5:4
0.11%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.0%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.9%
0
14.5%
1
21.7%
2
22.1%
3
17.1%
4
10.7%
5
5.6%
6
2.3%
7
0.8%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Rayo VallecanoHDPAlaves
8.7%
Very Low@ 11.00
-2.5
5.2%
Very Low
15.1%
Very Low@ 10.50
-2
10.0%
Very Low
21.5%
Low@ 5.00
-1.5
14.7%
@ 8.80Very Low
32.1%
Low@ 4.08
-1
23.8%
@ 7.60Low
42.7%
Medium@ 2.37
-0.5
32.9%
@ 3.46Low
67.1%
High@ 1.35
+0.5
57.3%
@ 1.67Medium
76.2%
High@ 1.10
+1
67.9%
@ 1.27High
85.3%
Very High@ 1.05
+1.5
78.5%
@ 1.18High
90.0%
Very High
+2
84.9%
@ 1.02Very High
94.8%
Very High
+2.5
91.3%
@ 1.03Very High

Team Total Predictions

Rayo VallecanoOutcomeAlaves
49.4%
Medium@ 2.93
Over 1.5
42.1%
@ 4.08Medium
50.6%
Medium@ 1.44
Under 1.5
57.9%
@ 1.26Medium
23.2%
Low@ 7.50
Over 2.5
17.6%
@ 13.00Very Low
76.8%
High@ 1.11
Under 2.5
82.4%
@ 1.05Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Thursday, Aug 20th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves

6 Found

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Goals Over/under Over 2.5
High Value
2.75
Prob 59.3%
EV +63.0%
Stake $1.43
BTTS Yes
High Value
2.25
Prob 62.1%
EV +39.8%
Stake $2.00
Away Total Alaves Over 0.5
High Value
1.62
Prob 76.3%
EV +23.6%
Stake $4.03
Home Total Over 0.5
Value
1.37
Prob 81%
EV +10.9%
Stake $6.76
Double Chance 12
Value
1.42
Prob 75.5%
EV +7.3%
Stake $5.95
Win to Nil Rayo Vallecano NOT Win to Nil
Value
1.30
Prob 81.2%
EV +5.5%
Stake $8.33
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-08-19 16:15:24
spinner

Trends for Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Football 20 Aug, 2026 14:00

Team Form Comparison

Rayo Vallecano Home
Form Index 60
Goals 8:4
PPG 2.20
Alaves Away
Form Index 53
Goals 10:9
PPG 1.60
ESPWRSODSTRWGIRDVILW
CELWRSODREALELCDOVIW
3/5
Won
2/5
5/5
Scored
5/5
2/5
Scored 2+
2/5
3/5
Clean sheet
1/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
1/5
Over 2.5
3/5
2/5
BTTS
4/5

Rayo Vallecano

ESPWRSODSTRWGIRDVILW
Won 3/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
BTTS 2/5

Alaves

CELWRSODREALELCDOVIW
Won 2/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 7
BTTS 1/7
Over 2.5 1/7
Rayo Vallecano unbeaten 4/4

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Rayo Vallecano Home
Alaves Away
Main Prediction by Periods

No clear period advantage between the teams.

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.25 factor
Home Pressure 0.11 Away 0.16

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.20
Fast Start (0–15)
6 0.30
9 0.45
First Half (0–45)
11 0.55
11 0.55
Second Half (46–90)
14 0.70
6 0.30
Final Stage (76–90)
8 0.40

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.093 Moderate
Pressure Away +0.046 Weak
Timing Away +0.013 Weak
Defense Home +0.053 Moderate

Momentum

Rayo Vallecano Metric Alaves
2 Positive Sequences 5
7 Comeback Goals 9
0 Negative Sequences 4
4 Killer Goals 13

Pressure

Rayo Vallecano Metric Alaves
4 Early Pressure 6
6 Late Pressure 8
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Rayo Vallecano Metric Alaves
4 Fast Starts 6
5 Half-time Spurts 5
5 Second Half Starts 6
6 Late Surges 8

Defense

Rayo Vallecano Metric Alaves
2 Early Conceded 3
4 Late Conceded 9
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Match outcome: Rayo Vallecano holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Rayo Vallecano

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Alaves

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Rayo Vallecano
Alaves

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Head-to-head statistics for Thu 20 Aug, 2026 @ 14:00 La Liga

0 Played 0
0-0-0 Win Rate 0-0-0
Form Index
Team Rating
50 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Rayo Vallecano Alaves Attack 50 50 Defense 50 50 Control 50 50 Discipline 50 50 Average 50 50 50

Attack

0
Goals
0
Expected Goals
0
Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0

Defense

0
Conceded
0
Expected Goals Against
0
Shots Allowed
0
0
Goal Difference
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

Possession
Pass Accuracy
0
Passes
0
0
Accurate Passes
0

Discipline

0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Fouls
0
0
Offsides
0

Efficiency

PPG
Goals vs xG
Shot Conversion
Save %
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Alaves
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Rayo Vallecano and away matches for Alaves

Number of goals
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
1X2
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
50% 5
60% 6
Total Goals
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
10% 1
30% 3
Total Corners
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
xG
1.35
1.4
xGa
1.39
0.9
Number of goals
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
10% 1
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Number of goals
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
Alaves
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5
1X2
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
0-1
60% 6
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
70% 7
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1.64 Expected goals 1.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Goal 5
12 Shots Off Goal 9
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found
In this exciting La Liga 2026-2027 matchup, Rayo Vallecano will take on Alaves as part of the 2026-2027 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 2 and will take place on 2026-08-20 at 2026-08-20 in the famous Estadio Municipal de Butarque. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Rayo Vallecano, and the visiting side, Alaves. The scoreline predictions suggest Alaves Over 0.5 Goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-08-20 Time: 19:00 Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!