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Sevilla
0
2
Valencia
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 14:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
15
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(19 total)
xG
1.10
(16.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.7
(160 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(34% acc)
Corners
4.7
(70 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
15.4
(231 total)
Offsides
2.9
(44 total)
14
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(18 total)
xG
0.90
(12.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(159 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(33% acc)
Corners
4.8
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.7
(192 total)
Offsides
2.3
(32 total)
29
Played
8
Wins
7
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(37 total)
xG
1.00
(29.1 total)
Shots per Match
11
(319 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(34% acc)
Corners
4.7
(137 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
14.6
(423 total)
Offsides
2.6
(76 total)
21
Played
18
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(54 total)
xG
2.10
(44.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.9
(333 total)
Shots on Target
6.8
(43% acc)
Corners
7.6
(159 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.8
(206 total)
Offsides
1.9
(39 total)
20
Played
5
Wins
7
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(26 total)
xG
1.10
(21.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.5
(229 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(36% acc)
Corners
5.1
(102 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.4
(228 total)
Offsides
1.8
(36 total)
41
Played
23
Wins
8
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(80 total)
xG
1.60
(65.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(562 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(40% acc)
Corners
6.4
(261 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.6
(434 total)
Offsides
1.8
(75 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.81 vs 1.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.21%
⭐
0:1
15.1%
🔥
⭐
0:2
11.16%
⭐
0:3
5.5%
⭐
0:4
2.03%
⭐
0:5
0.6%
⭐
1
1:0
6.72%
1:1
11.49%
1:2
9.64%
1:3
5.31%
1:4
2.17%
⭐
1:5
0.7%
⭐
2
2:0
2.21%
2:1
4.29%
2:2
4.04%
2:3
2.48%
2:4
1.12%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
0.49%
3:1
1.05%
3:2
1.1%
3:3
0.75%
3:4
0.37%
3:5
0.14%
4
4:0
0.08%
4:1
0.19%
4:2
0.22%
4:3
0.17%
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.03%
5:2
0.04%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
0:1 (15.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Sevilla will take on Atletico Madrid as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 31 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sevilla, and the visiting side, Atletico Madrid. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 19:00
Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Saturday, Apr 11th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Football 11 Apr, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Sevilla create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid.
🏆 Match Winner — Atletico Madrid @ 2.25 ✅ 
Atletico Madrid
Good Goal RatioH2H
Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches
8 / 1080%
Top Table FormLeague
Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
65%
Efficient ScoringRecent
Atletico Madrid efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 18 La Liga matches
15 / 1883%
💡Atletico Madrid demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.76 
Sevilla1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Sevilla score (1.75/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 50%)
5 / 863%
Atletico Madrid1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Atletico Madrid score (1.22/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 56% of matches (league avg: 50%)
5 / 956%
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ✅
Sevilla2 TrendsFew GoalsH2H
Sevilla scored 0-1 goals in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches
8 / 1080%
Above League AverageLeague
Sevilla score 1.75 goals/match at home (+37% above league average)
8 / 875%
Atletico Madrid1 TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Atletico Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches
8 / 1080%
💡Combined 1.8 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Atletico Madrid Win or Draw @ 1.37 ⚠️
Atletico Madrid
Top Table FormLeague
Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
65%
Undefeated at HTRecent
Atletico Madrid are undefeated at half time in their last 18 18 matches
18 / 18100%
💡Atletico Madrid demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Sevilla Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.93 ⚠️ 
Sevilla
Above League AverageLeague
Sevilla score 1.75 goals/match at home (+37% above league average)
8 / 875%
Scored 1+Recent
Sevilla scored 1+ goals in 14 of their last 17 La Liga matches
14 / 1782%
💡Sevilla's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Sevilla3 Trends — avg 2.7 (+10% above league)Many CardsH2H
Sevilla receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches
9 / 1090%
High Card MatchesLeague
Sevilla average 3.2 cards/match in all matches (+45% above league avg 2.2) — rank #1 in league
17 / 1790%
Many CardsRecent
Sevilla receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 17 La Liga matches
14 / 1782%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.6 cards per match in their last 10 H2H matches
%
💡Atletico Madrid disciplined play balances Sevilla aggression —
🎯 Betting Analysis
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sevilla
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Atletico Madrid
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sevilla - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Atletico Madrid - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sevilla - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Atletico Madrid - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Atletico Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring first
- Overall Result: Atletico Madrid has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Atletico Madrid handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.351
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.039
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sevilla):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atletico Madrid):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 14:00 La Liga
La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
18
4
7
54
34
20
58
4
17
6
6
49
28
21
57
5
11
11
7
44
37
7
44
14
▼
8
10
11
31
44
-13
34
15
8
7
14
37
49
-12
31
16
8
7
14
30
41
-11
31
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Sevilla
VS
Atletico Madrid
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
7
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10)
2 (22)
xG
0.50
2.30
Shots
10 (110)
13.5 (149)
Shots on Target
3.3 (36)
5.2 (57)
Corners
4.8 (53)
5.8 (64)
Defense
Conceded
2 (22)
0.9 (10)
xGa
2.30
0.50
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
4 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 (28)
2.5 (28)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
12.5 (138)
11.5 (126)
Offsides
0.6 (7)
1.5 (16)
Last 6 Matches
Sevilla
VS
Atletico Madrid
1/6 (17%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.00
PPG
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.33
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
0.57
Avg xG
1.57
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sevilla and away matches for Atletico Madrid
Number of goals
Sevilla
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
50%
5
50%
5
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
1X2
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
20%
2
60%
6
X
50%
5
10%
1
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
12
50%
5
90%
9
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
80%
8
40%
4
Total Goals
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
10%
1
4+
40%
4
70%
7
Total Corners
Sevilla
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
40%
4
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
xG
1
1.83
xGa
1.6
1.53
Number of goals
Sevilla
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
0-1
50%
5
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
Number of goals
Sevilla
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Yes
20%
2
60%
6
No
80%
8
40%
4
1X2
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
0-1
60%
6
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
40%
4
Clean Sheet
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
0.78
xG
1.77
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
2
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