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SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Form
VS
days
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hours
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minutes
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seconds
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Form
AI Prediction SC Freiburg AH+1.5
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 20 May, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)5.60
SC Freiburg to Win
Probability 53%
Total Goals1.83
Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Both Teams to Score2.02
Yes
Probability 52%
SC Freiburg Total1.73
Home Over 0.5
Probability 81%
Aston Villa Total1.29
Away Under 2.5
Probability 93%
Double Chance2.29
SC Freiburg/Draw
Probability 80%
Asian Handicap1.46
SC Freiburg +1.5
Probability 95%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap SC Freiburg +1.5
Odds 1.46
Win Prob. 94.9% EV: +38.6%
Bet Now
Prediction League
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
14:00
SC Freiburg W 53%
:
Aston Villa W 20%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
SC Freiburg
l d w l w
24 Played
16 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (50 total)
xG
1.70 (40.7 total)
Shots per Match
15 (359 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.5 (109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.4 (226 total)
Offsides
1.7 (41 total)
24 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (26 total)
xG
1.10 (25.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.8 (236 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (36% acc)
Corners
3.7 (89 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.3 (248 total)
Offsides
1.8 (44 total)
48 Played
22 Wins
10 Draws
16 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (76 total)
xG
1.40 (66.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (595 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.1 (198 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
9.9 (474 total)
Offsides
1.8 (85 total)
Aston Villa
l l w d w
26 Played
19 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (50 total)
xG
1.40 (36.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.3 (345 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (40% acc)
Corners
5.4 (140 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10 (259 total)
Offsides
1.2 (31 total)
26 Played
12 Wins
6 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (34 total)
xG
1.10 (27.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.1 (288 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (37% acc)
Corners
4.7 (122 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.1 (262 total)
Offsides
1 (26 total)
52 Played
31 Wins
8 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (84 total)
xG
1.20 (64.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.2 (633 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (38% acc)
Corners
5 (262 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
17 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10 (521 total)
Offsides
1.1 (57 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.68 vs 0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.67%
0:1
6.7%
0:2
2.59%
0:3
0.67%
0:4
0.13%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
12.95%
🔥
1:1
11.63%
1:2
5.12%
1:3
1.48%
1:4
0.32%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
9.67%
2:1
9.89%
2:2
4.91%
2:3
1.58%
2:4
0.38%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
4.81%
3:1
5.53%
3:2
3.06%
3:3
1.09%
3:4
0.29%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
1.8%
4:1
2.29%
4:2
1.4%
4:3
0.55%
4:4
0.16%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.54%
5:1
0.75%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.22%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:0 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.7%
0
19.7%
1
23.9%
2
20.5%
3
13.8%
4
7.8%
5
3.7%
6
1.4%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

SC FreiburgHDPAston Villa
10.6%
Very Low
-2.5
1.0%
@ 6.00Very Low
19.0%
Very Low
-2
3.1%
@ 5.25Very Low
27.3%
Low@ 12.50
-1.5
5.1%
@ 3.04Very Low
40.8%
Medium@ 10.25
-1
11.7%
@ 2.26Very Low
54.3%
Medium@ 5.25
-0.5
18.4%
@ 1.68Very Low
81.6%
Very High@ 2.27
+0.5
45.7%
@ 1.16Medium
88.3%
Very High@ 1.70
+1
59.2%
@ 1.00Medium
94.9%
Very High@ 1.46
+1.5
72.7%
@ 1.02High
96.9%
Very High@ 1.16
+2
81.0%
Very High
99.0%
Very High@ 1.12
+2.5
89.4%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

SC FreiburgOutcomeAston Villa
50.1%
Medium@ 4.50
Over 1.5
25.0%
@ 1.88Low
50.0%
Medium@ 1.21
Under 1.5
75.1%
@ 2.00High
23.8%
Low@ 17.00
Over 2.5
7.3%
@ 3.85Very Low
76.3%
High@ 1.04
Under 2.5
92.7%
@ 1.29Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa Wednesday, May 20th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

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Match Winner SC Freiburg
High Value
Prob: 53%
EV: +196.7%
Stake: $0.54
5.60
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 80.1%
EV: +83.3%
Stake: $1.94
2.29
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 80.1%
EV: +83.3%
Stake: $1.94
2.29
Correct Score 1:0
High Value
Prob: 13.2%
EV: +71.0%
Stake: $0.21
13.00
Asian Handicap SC Freiburg +1
High Value
Prob: 88.3%
EV: +50.0%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Away Total Aston Villa Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 75.1%
EV: +44.1%
Stake: $2.72
1.92
Total Away Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 74.4%
EV: +42.8%
Stake: $2.72
1.92
Total Home Over 0.5
High Value
Prob: 81.4%
EV: +40.8%
Stake: $3.42
1.73
Asian Handicap SC Freiburg +1.5
High Value
Prob: 94.9%
EV: +38.6%
Stake: $5.43
1.46
Win to Nil Aston Villa NOT Win to Nil
High Value
Prob: 90%
EV: +34.0%
Stake: $5.10
1.49
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-20 00:03:14
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Trends for SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa Football 20 May, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Stalemate

    Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the second half (19 vs 15).
⚡ Final Stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 SC Freiburg

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0
Pressure
0.17

✈️ Aston Villa

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.17

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 SC Freiburg - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Aston Villa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 SC Freiburg - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Aston Villa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Aston Villa shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 15 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Aston Villa winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Aston Villa excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 9 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Aston Villa scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Aston Villa has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Aston Villa handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.027
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.004
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

SC Freiburg
Aston Villa

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Wed 20 May, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Europa League

Team comparison
Prediction
SC Freiburg AH+1.5
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
SC Freiburg
VS
Aston Villa
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
2.00 PPG 2.50
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
83% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.06 Avg xG 1.25
SC Freiburg
L D W L W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 May 2026 - 13:30
SC Freiburg
4 1
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 May 2026 - 13:30
Hamburger SV
3 2
SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
7 May 2026 - 19:00
SC Freiburg
3 1
SC Braga
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 May 2026 - 17:30
SC Freiburg
1 1
VfL Wolfsburg
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
30 Apr 2026 - 19:00
SC Braga
2 1
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Apr 2026 - 15:30
Borussia Dortmund
4 0
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
L L W D W
Premier League 2025-2026
15 May 2026 - 19:00
Aston Villa
4 2
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 13:00
Burnley
2 2
Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
7 May 2026 - 19:00
Aston Villa
4 0
Nottingham Forest
Premier League 2025-2026
3 May 2026 - 18:00
Aston Villa
1 2
Tottenham
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
30 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Nottingham Forest
1 0
Aston Villa
Premier League 2025-2026
25 Apr 2026 - 11:30
Fulham
1 0
Aston Villa

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for SC Freiburg and away matches for Aston Villa

Number of goals
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1X2
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
40% 4
50% 5
Total Goals
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
50% 5
60% 6
Total Corners
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
xG
1.11
1.41
xGa
1.49
1.24
Number of goals
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Number of goals
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1.64 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
UEFA Champions League 2025 Winner Prediction: Analysis & Betting Insights
Posted on
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase matchup, SC Freiburg will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 4 and will take place on 2026-05-20 at 2026-05-20 in the famous . The referee for the game will be F. Letexier. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, SC Freiburg, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : SC Freiburg or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-20 Time: 19:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!