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Atletico-MG vs Gremio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 16 August, 2026 13:00
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Trends for Atletico-MG vs Gremio Football 16 Aug, 2026 13:00
Team Form Comparison
Atletico-MG
Home
Form Index
54
Goals
7:7
PPG
2.00
Gremio
Away
Form Index
38
Goals
2:5
PPG
0.60
PAUWATLWFLALBOTDMirasW
PALLINTDCRULATLDBAHD
3/5
Won
0/5
4/5
Scored
2/5
2/5
Scored 2+
0/5
1/5
Clean sheet
2/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
3/5
Over 2.5
1/5
3/5
BTTS
2/5
Atletico-MG
PAUWATLWFLALBOTDMirasW
Won
3/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
3/5
Gremio
PALLINTDCRULATLDBAHD
Won
0/5
Scored
2/5
Scored 2+
0/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
BTTS
2/5
Atletico-MG
Home
Form Index
54
Goals
18:15
PPG
1.80
Gremio
Away
Form Index
38
Goals
9:12
PPG
0.70
PALLVASWPALDREMDINTWPAUWATLWFLALBOTDMirasW
SPOWFLULPAULCHADVASLPALLINTDCRULATLDBAHD
5/10
Won
1/10
8/10
Scored
6/10
5/10
Scored 2+
1/10
3/10
Clean sheet
3/10
4/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
7/10
Over 2.5
4/10
5/10
BTTS
5/10
Atletico-MG
PALLVASWPALDREMDINTWPAUWATLWFLALBOTDMirasW
Won
5/10
Scored
8/10
Scored 2+
5/10
Clean sheet
3/10
Conceded 2+
4/10
Over 2.5
7/10
BTTS
5/10
Gremio
SPOWFLULPAULCHADVASLPALLINTDCRULATLDBAHD
Won
1/10
Scored
6/10
Scored 2+
1/10
Clean sheet
3/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
5/10
Atletico-MG
Home team
Form Index
54
Goals
7:9
PPG
1.40
Gremio
Away team
Form Index
41
Goals
2:4
PPG
1.00
CORLFLALCRUWBOTDMirasW
CRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
2/5
Won
1/5
3/5
Scored
2/5
2/5
Scored 2+
0/5
0/5
Clean sheet
2/5
2/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
3/5
Over 2.5
0/5
3/5
BTTS
1/5
Atletico-MG
CORLFLALCRUWBOTDMirasW
Won
2/5
Scored
3/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
3/5
Gremio
CRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
Won
1/5
Scored
2/5
Scored 2+
0/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
Over 2.5
0/5
BTTS
1/5
Atletico-MG
Home team
Form Index
54
Goals
14:12
PPG
1.60
Gremio
Away team
Form Index
41
Goals
6:8
PPG
1.00
PAUWFLULCHAWATLWSANLCORLFLALCRUWBOTDMirasW
VITWVASLPALLREMDINTDCRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
5/10
Won
2/10
6/10
Scored
5/10
4/10
Scored 2+
1/10
2/10
Clean sheet
5/10
2/10
Conceded 2+
3/10
5/10
Over 2.5
2/10
4/10
BTTS
3/10
Atletico-MG
PAUWFLULCHAWATLWSANLCORLFLALCRUWBOTDMirasW
Won
5/10
Scored
6/10
Scored 2+
4/10
Clean sheet
2/10
Conceded 2+
2/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
4/10
Gremio
VITWVASLPALLREMDINTDCRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
Won
2/10
Scored
5/10
Scored 2+
1/10
Clean sheet
5/10
Conceded 2+
3/10
Over 2.5
2/10
BTTS
3/10
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Cards Signals Conflict
Card averages and recent disciplinary trends disagree — no clear Over/Under cards lean
-
First Half Specialists
Atletico-MG score in 1st half 100% of matches — early goal threat before HT
Period Timing Analysis
Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.
Atletico-MG
Home
Gremio
Away
Main Prediction by Periods
- Second half: Gremio is stronger (13 vs 8).
Recommendation: Teams are evenly matched. Consider draw or exact score markets.
Match Periods
Goals scored in sample
Avg / match
3
0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
3
0.15
8
0.40
First Half (0–45)
7
0.35
8
0.40
Second Half (46–90)
13
0.65
5
0.25
Final Stage (76–90)
3
0.15
Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.
Factor Breakdown
Momentum
Away +0.132
Strong
Pressure
Home +0.015
Weak
Timing
Away +0.010
Weak
Defense
Away +0.090
Moderate
Momentum
Atletico-MG
Metric
Gremio
1
Positive Sequences
3
3
Comeback Goals
5
3
Negative Sequences
2
8
Killer Goals
10
Pressure
Atletico-MG
Metric
Gremio
3
Early Pressure
3
5
Late Pressure
3
0
Pressure Goals
0
0
Set Pieces
0
Timing Patterns
Atletico-MG
Metric
Gremio
3
Fast Starts
3
5
Half-time Spurts
4
3
Second Half Starts
10
5
Late Surges
3
Defense
Atletico-MG
Metric
Gremio
3
Early Conceded
0
9
Late Conceded
3
0
Set Piece Conceded
0
0
Pressure Conceded
0
Betting Recommendations
- Second half winner: high probability of Gremio winning the second half.
- Match outcome: teams are evenly matched — consider draw or exact score markets.
Summary
Atletico-MG
Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.
Gremio
Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Final advice
Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.
Atletico-MG vs Gremio Head-to-head statistics for Sun 16 Aug, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings (all competitions)
0
Atletico-MG
0
Draws
3
Gremio
8
Played
9
50% 4-3-1
Win Rate
0% 0-4-5
55
Form Index
34
6.85
Team Rating
6.75
75
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Results
83
17
Attack
100
0
Defense
66
34
Control
43
57
Discipline
67
33
Efficiency
88
12
Average
75
25
25
Attack
1.63
Goals
0.56
1.31
Expected Goals
0.61
14.6
Shots
7.6
5.1
Shots on Target
2.1
4.6
Corners
2.9
Defense
1.50
Conceded
1.33
1.35
Expected Goals Against
1.69
13.4
Shots Allowed
12.7
+0.13
Goal Difference
-0.78
25%
Clean Sheets
22%
Possession & Passing
47%
Possession
51%
85%
Pass Accuracy
85%
380
Passes
410
321
Accurate Passes
347
Discipline
1
Yellow Cards
2.56
0
Red Cards
0.33
11.1
Fouls
12.7
2.6
Offsides
1.7
Efficiency
1.88
PPG
0.44
+0.32
Goals vs xG
-0.05
11%
Shot Conversion
7%
68%
Save %
69%
8
Played
7
50% 4-3-1
Win Rate
57% 4-2-1
55
Form Index
57
6.85
Team Rating
6.95
44
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Results
43
57
Attack
51
49
Defense
16
84
Control
49
51
Discipline
53
47
Efficiency
54
46
Average
44
56
56
Attack
1.63
Goals
1.57
1.31
Expected Goals
1.31
14.6
Shots
15.4
5.1
Shots on Target
5.3
4.6
Corners
4.3
Defense
1.50
Conceded
0.86
1.35
Expected Goals Against
1.19
13.4
Shots Allowed
12.6
+0.13
Goal Difference
+0.71
25%
Clean Sheets
43%
Possession & Passing
47%
Possession
49%
85%
Pass Accuracy
85%
380
Passes
383
321
Accurate Passes
325
Discipline
1
Yellow Cards
1.86
0
Red Cards
0
11.1
Fouls
12.3
2.6
Offsides
1.6
Efficiency
1.88
PPG
2
+0.32
Goals vs xG
+0.26
11%
Shot Conversion
10%
68%
Save %
78%
8
Played
9
25% 2-0-6
Win Rate
0% 0-4-5
47
Form Index
34
6.75
Team Rating
6.75
71
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Results
83
17
Attack
100
0
Defense
59
41
Control
50
50
Discipline
69
31
Efficiency
64
36
Average
71
29
29
Attack
1
Goals
0.56
1.05
Expected Goals
0.61
12.5
Shots
7.6
4.1
Shots on Target
2.1
5.5
Corners
2.9
Defense
1.25
Conceded
1.33
1.11
Expected Goals Against
1.69
14
Shots Allowed
12.7
-0.25
Goal Difference
-0.78
13%
Clean Sheets
22%
Possession & Passing
52%
Possession
51%
83%
Pass Accuracy
85%
408
Passes
410
340
Accurate Passes
347
Discipline
2.25
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.38
Red Cards
0.33
10.9
Fouls
12.7
1.1
Offsides
1.7
Efficiency
0.75
PPG
0.44
-0.05
Goals vs xG
-0.05
8%
Shot Conversion
7%
64%
Save %
69%
16
Played
16
38% 6-3-7
Win Rate
25% 4-6-6
54
Form Index
41
6.80
Team Rating
6.84
67
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Results
82
18
Attack
93
7
Defense
47
53
Control
50
50
Discipline
62
38
Efficiency
67
33
Average
67
33
33
Attack
1.31
Goals
1
1.18
Expected Goals
0.92
13.6
Shots
11
4.6
Shots on Target
3.5
5.1
Corners
3.5
Defense
1.38
Conceded
1.13
1.23
Expected Goals Against
1.47
13.7
Shots Allowed
12.6
-0.06
Goal Difference
-0.13
19%
Clean Sheets
31%
Possession & Passing
49%
Possession
50%
84%
Pass Accuracy
85%
394
Passes
398
331
Accurate Passes
338
Discipline
1.63
Yellow Cards
2.25
0.19
Red Cards
0.19
11
Fouls
12.5
1.9
Offsides
1.6
Efficiency
1.31
PPG
1.13
+0.13
Goals vs xG
+0.09
10%
Shot Conversion
9%
66%
Save %
73%
3
Played
3
0% 0-0-3
Win Rate
100% 3-0-0
—
Form Index
—
6.80
Team Rating
6.93
38
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Results
25
75
Attack
41
59
Defense
30
70
Control
82
18
Discipline
50
50
Efficiency
0
100
Average
38
62
62
Attack
1
Goals
2.33
0.96
Expected Goals
0.94
13
Shots
12.7
4
Shots on Target
5.3
6
Corners
3.7
Defense
2.33
Conceded
1
0.94
Expected Goals Against
0.96
12.7
Shots Allowed
13
-1.33
Goal Difference
+1.33
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
Possession & Passing
56%
Possession
44%
83%
Pass Accuracy
82%
442
Passes
337
367
Accurate Passes
277
Discipline
0.67
Yellow Cards
3.67
1
Red Cards
0.67
9.7
Fouls
14.3
1.7
Offsides
1
Efficiency
0
PPG
3
+0.04
Goals vs xG
+1.40
8%
Shot Conversion
18%
50%
Save %
75%
Atletico-MG vs Gremio: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atletico-MG and away matches for Gremio
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
10%
1
40%
4
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Gremio
12
90%
9
60%
6
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Gremio
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
40%
4
0%
0
Total Corners
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Atletico-MG
Gremio
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Atletico-MG
Gremio
xG
1.31
0.69
xGa
1.17
1.28
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Gremio
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Gremio
0-1
60%
6
90%
9
2-3
40%
4
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
30%
3
70%
7
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Gremio
12
70%
7
30%
3
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Gremio
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1.43
Expected goals
0.93
60%
Ball Possession
41%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Atletico-MG will take on Gremio as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-08-16 at 2026-08-16 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atletico-MG, and the visiting side, Gremio. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-08-16
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer
eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.