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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
10th place
Form
VS
17:00
4 Apr 2026
Alverca
Alverca
12th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Rio Ave or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Rio Ave vs Alverca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 4 April, 2026 12:00

Winner (1x2)-
Alverca to Win
Probability 43%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 53%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 59%
Rio Ave Total1.13
Home Under 2.5
Probability 86%
Alverca Total1.12
Away Under 2.5
Probability 79%
Double Chance-
Draw/Alverca
Probability 71%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
17:00
Rio Ave W 29%
:
Alverca W 43%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Rio Ave
l d w w w
13 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (13 total)
xG
1.20 (15.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (132 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (37% acc)
Corners
4.2 (55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
12.7 (165 total)
Offsides
1 (13 total)
14 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (15 total)
xG
0.80 (11.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.1 (127 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (40% acc)
Corners
3.6 (50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.2 (185 total)
Offsides
1.7 (24 total)
27 Played
7 Wins
9 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (28 total)
xG
1.00 (26.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (259 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (39% acc)
Corners
3.9 (105 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
13 (350 total)
Offsides
1.4 (37 total)
Alverca
d d d d l
14 Played
5 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (12 total)
xG
1.30 (18.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (146 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (34% acc)
Corners
4 (56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.6 (176 total)
Offsides
0.9 (13 total)
13 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (15 total)
xG
0.90 (11.6 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (106 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (40% acc)
Corners
3.5 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.8 (153 total)
Offsides
1.1 (14 total)
27 Played
7 Wins
8 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (27 total)
xG
1.10 (29.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.3 (252 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (36% acc)
Corners
3.7 (101 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
12.2 (329 total)
Offsides
1 (27 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.28 vs 1.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.08%
0:1
9.74%
0:2
6.7%
0:3
3.07%
0:4
1.06%
0:5
0.29%
1
1:0
7.55%
1:1
11.9%
🔥
1:2
9.23%
1:3
4.71%
1:4
1.78%
1:5
0.54%
2
2:0
4.02%
2:1
7.15%
2:2
6.19%
2:3
3.5%
2:4
1.46%
2:5
0.48%
3
3:0
1.43%
3:1
2.83%
3:2
2.71%
3:3
1.68%
3:4
0.77%
3:5
0.27%
4
4:0
0.38%
4:1
0.83%
4:2
0.87%
4:3
0.59%
4:4
0.29%
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.19%
5:2
0.22%
5:3
0.16%
5:4
0.09%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.1%
0
17.3%
1
22.6%
2
20.9%
3
15.2%
4
9.2%
5
4.7%
6
2.1%
7
0.7%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Rio AveHDPAlverca
2.7%
Very Low@ 10.50
-2.5
6.8%
@ 12.00Very Low
6.3%
Very Low@ 9.40
-2
13.2%
Very Low
9.9%
Very Low@ 5.50
-1.5
19.6%
@ 6.00Very Low
19.0%
Very Low@ 4.40
-1
31.5%
@ 4.78Low
28.0%
Low@ 2.55
-0.5
43.5%
@ 2.71Medium
56.5%
Medium@ 1.50
+0.5
72.0%
@ 1.55High
68.5%
High@ 1.19
+1
81.0%
@ 1.22Very High
80.4%
Very High@ 1.14
+1.5
90.1%
@ 1.15Very High
86.8%
Very High
+2
93.7%
@ 1.01Very High
93.2%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
97.3%
@ 1.03Very High

Team Total Predictions

Rio AveOutcomeAlverca
36.6%
Low@ 2.63
Over 1.5
47.2%
@ 2.75Medium
63.4%
High@ 1.51
Under 1.5
52.8%
@ 1.49Medium
13.8%
Very Low@ 6.50
Over 2.5
21.4%
@ 7.00Low
86.2%
Very High@ 1.13
Under 2.5
78.6%
@ 1.12High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Rio Ave will take on Alverca as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-04 at 2026-04-04 in the famous Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Rio Ave, and the visiting side, Alverca. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Rio Ave or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-04 Time: 17:00 Location: Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Rio Ave vs Alverca Saturday, Apr 4th, 2026 at 12:00 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 71.3%
EV: +9.0%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 58.8%
EV: +8.8%
Stake: $2.94
1.85
Asian Handicap Alverca +1.5
Value
Prob: 90.1%
EV: +3.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.15
Win to Nil Rio Ave NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 86.6%
EV: +3.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.19
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-29 03:01:04
spinner

Trends for Rio Ave vs Alverca Football 4 Apr, 2026 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

Rio Ave vs Alverca

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Alverca is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Rio Ave

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0
Pressure
0.05

✈️ Alverca

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Rio Ave - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Alverca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Rio Ave - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Alverca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Alverca excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Alverca scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.178
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.059
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Rio Ave):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Alverca):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Rio Ave
Alverca

Rio Ave vs Alverca Head-to-head statistics for Sat 4 Apr, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
Guimaraes
l d l l l
>
27
9
5
13
29
42
-13
32
10
Rio Ave
l d w w w
>
27
7
9
11
28
46
-18
30
11
Arouca
w l l l w
>
27
8
5
14
34
55
-21
29
12
Alverca
d d d d l
>
27
7
8
12
27
45
-18
29
13
Estrela
l d d l w
>
27
6
10
11
33
45
-12
28
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Rio Ave or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Rio Ave
VS
Alverca
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
1 (1)
xG
0.60
1.60
Shots
10 (10)
14 (14)
Shots on Target
4 (4)
5 (5)
Corners
3 (3)
9 (9)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
1 (1)
xGa
1.60
0.60
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0 (0)
2 (2)
Fouls
15 (15)
15 (15)
Offsides
1 (1)
2 (2)
8 Nov
- 15:30
Alverca
Rio Ave
1.63
xG
0.59
1
1
Prob 89%
Asian Handicap A+1
Odd 1.29
Last 6 Matches
Rio Ave
VS
Alverca
3/6 (50%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 5/6 (83%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.67 PPG 0.83
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
50% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.32 Avg xG 1.20
Rio Ave
L D W W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Estoril
1 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Rio Ave
2 1
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Mar 2026 - 20:15
Tondela
0 1
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Rio Ave
0 0
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Feb 2026 - 20:30
FC Porto
1 0
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Feb 2026 - 20:15
Rio Ave
1 2
Moreirense
Alverca
D D D D L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Alverca
1 4
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Mar 2026 - 18:00
GIL Vicente
2 2
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Alverca
0 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 20:30
Guimaraes
1 1
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Alverca
1 1
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 20:45
Tondela
1 1
Alverca

Rio Ave vs Alverca: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Rio Ave and away matches for Alverca

Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Alverca
Yes
30% 3
80% 8
No
70% 7
20% 2
1X2
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
10% 1
60% 6
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Alverca
12
90% 9
40% 4
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Alverca
0-1
30% 3
10% 1
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
10% 1
30% 3
Total Corners
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Alverca
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Rio Ave
Alverca
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
50% 5
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Rio Ave
Alverca
xG
0.9
1.2
xGa
1.38
1.33
Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Alverca
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Alverca
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Alverca
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
10% 1
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Alverca
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
Number of goals
Rio Ave
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Rio Ave
Alverca
Yes
10% 1
50% 5
No
90% 9
50% 5
1X2
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Rio Ave
Alverca
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Rio Ave
Alverca
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave
Alverca
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1.04 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found