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Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 30 April, 2026 14:00
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24
Played
8
Wins
6
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(31 total)
xG
1.50
(35.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.3
(368 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(30% acc)
Corners
6
(145 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.8
(259 total)
Offsides
1.3
(32 total)
25
Played
9
Wins
7
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(36 total)
xG
1.30
(31.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(302 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(40% acc)
Corners
4.7
(118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
12
(300 total)
Offsides
1.6
(41 total)
49
Played
17
Wins
13
Draws
19
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(67 total)
xG
1.40
(66.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(670 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(34% acc)
Corners
5.4
(263 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
15
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(2 total)
Fouls
11.4
(559 total)
Offsides
1.5
(73 total)
23
Played
17
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(41 total)
xG
1.40
(32.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(309 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(38% acc)
Corners
5.4
(125 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.7
(222 total)
Offsides
1.1
(26 total)
24
Played
12
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(32 total)
xG
1.10
(25.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.9
(261 total)
Shots on Target
4
(37% acc)
Corners
4.5
(107 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.1
(243 total)
Offsides
1
(24 total)
47
Played
29
Wins
7
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(73 total)
xG
1.20
(57.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(570 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(38% acc)
Corners
4.9
(232 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
16
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.9
(465 total)
Offsides
1.1
(50 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.24 vs 1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.8%
⭐
0:1
10.61%
0:2
4.77%
0:3
1.43%
0:4
0.32%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
13.09%
⭐
1:1
13.32%
🔥
1:2
6.68%
1:3
2.21%
1:4
0.54%
1:5
0.11%
2
2:0
7.26%
⭐
2:1
8.24%
2:2
4.58%
2:3
1.66%
2:4
0.45%
2:5
0.09%
3
3:0
2.69%
3:1
3.36%
3:2
2.05%
3:3
0.81%
3:4
0.24%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
0.75%
4:1
1.02%
4:2
0.68%
4:3
0.29%
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.17%
5:1
0.25%
5:2
0.18%
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Thursday, Apr 30th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Football 30 Apr, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa.
🏆 Match Winner — Aston Villa @ 2.90 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
Efficient ScoringH2H
Aston Villa efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 888%
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Aston Villa score 1.67 goals/match in away matches (+24% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 672%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 670%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Aston Villa rank 3 of 45 in scoring in away matches (1.67 goals/match vs league avg 2.70)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 665%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Aston Villa efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsWonRecent
Aston Villa have won their last 9 12 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 9 12 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest
Not WinH2H
Nottingham Forest have not won in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.81 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Nottingham Forest score well (1.86/match) but have strong defense at home (0.86 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 71% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 6 of their last 8 H2H matches (75.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.13 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Nottingham Forest score 1.86 goals/match at home (+38% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa3 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Aston Villa score 1.67 goals/match in away matches (+24% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 672%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Aston Villa rank 3 of 45 in scoring in away matches (1.67 goals/match vs league avg 2.70)
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams average 3.5 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Aston Villa Win or Draw @ 1.52 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
League Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 670%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 9 12 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest
Not WinH2H
Nottingham Forest have not won in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.62 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
Above League AverageLeague
Aston Villa score 1.67 goals/match in away matches (+24% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 672%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Aston Villa rank 3 of 45 in scoring in away matches (1.67 goals/match vs league avg 2.70)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 665%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Aston Villa scored 1+ goals in their last 12 12 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.20 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest2 Trends — avg 1.7 (-24% below league)Many CardsH2H
Nottingham Forest receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsLow Card MatchesLeague
Nottingham Forest average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.1)
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 Trends — avg 1.8 (-19% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Aston Villa average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-16% below league avg 2.1)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.20
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.91 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest1 Trends — avg 6.4 (+40% above league)Many CornersLeague
Nottingham Forest average 6.4 corners/match at home (+40% above league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa2 Trends — avg 3.7 (-20% below league)Few CornersH2H
Aston Villa win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew CornersLeague
Aston Villa average 3.7 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 10.1 corners/match (Nottingham Forest 6.4 + Aston Villa 3.7) • Nottingham Forest dominance pushes total over threshold
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the second half (15 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nottingham Forest
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nottingham Forest - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nottingham Forest - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Aston Villa shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 6 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Aston Villa winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Aston Villa excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Aston Villa scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Nottingham Forest has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Nottingham Forest handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.068
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.053 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nottingham Forest):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Thu 30 Apr, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Europa League
Team comparison
Prediction
Nottingham Forest or Draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Nottingham Forest
VS
Aston Villa
4/6 (67%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.75
PPG
3.00
2.50
Avg Goals Scored
2.33
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.23
Avg xG
1.49
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nottingham Forest and away matches for Aston Villa
Number of goals
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
50%
5
60%
6
X
40%
4
10%
1
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
12
60%
6
90%
9
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
50%
5
40%
4
Total Goals
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
30%
3
50%
5
Total Corners
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
xG
1.24
1.31
xGa
1
1.25
Number of goals
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1.22
xG
1.03
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase matchup, Nottingham Forest will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 3 and will take place on 2026-04-30 at 2026-04-30 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be J. Pinheiro. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nottingham Forest, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Aston Villa.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-30
Time: 19:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!