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La Liga 2025-2026 | Matchweek 17
21 Dec 2025-13:00
Girona
Girona
18th place
- : -
21 Dec 2025 8:00
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
4th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Girona vs Atletico Madrid: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 21 December, 2025 8:00

1×2 Prediction
Atletico Madrid
17%23%60%
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
51%49%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
51%49%
YesNo
Team Total - Girona
Under 1.5
76%24%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Atletico Madrid
Over 1.5
54%46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Atletico Madrid
83%17%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Atletico Madrid +0.5
83%17%
Away +0.5NOT Away +0.5
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Girona Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.34
76.4%
EV: +2.3%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.89 vs 1.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.59%
0:1
12.92%
🔥
0:2
10.99%
0:3
6.23%
0:4
2.65%
0:5
0.9%
1
1:0
5.79%
1:1
10.8%
1:2
10%
1:3
6.13%
1:4
2.81%
1:5
1.02%
2
2:0
2.2%
2:1
4.48%
2:2
4.49%
2:3
2.97%
2:4
1.46%
2:5
0.57%
3
3:0
0.56%
3:1
1.23%
3:2
1.33%
3:3
0.94%
3:4
0.49%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0.11%
4:1
0.25%
4:2
0.29%
4:3
0.22%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.05%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.6%
0
18.7%
1
24.0%
2
21.3%
3
14.6%
4
8.3%
5
3.8%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Girona
vs
Atletico Madrid
Dec 21, 13:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Villarreal
w w w w w
>
15
11
2
2
31
13
18
35
4
Atletico Madrid
w w l l w
>
17
10
4
3
30
16
14
34
5
Espanyol
l w w w w
>
16
9
3
4
20
16
4
30

17
Valencia
d w d d l
>
16
3
6
7
15
25
-10
15
18
Girona
w d d l w
>
16
3
6
7
15
30
-15
15
19
Oviedo
l d l d l
>
16
2
4
10
7
26
-19
10
0.84 xG 2.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Girona
VS
Atletico Madrid
2/6 (33%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.33 PPG 2.00
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
67% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.04 Avg xG 1.33
Girona
W D D L W
La Liga 2025-2026
12 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Real Sociedad
1 2
Girona
La Liga 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 13:00
Elche
3 0
Girona
La Liga 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Girona
1 1
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 15:15
Real Betis
1 1
Girona
La Liga 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 13:00
Girona
1 0
Alaves
La Liga 2025-2026
31 Oct 2025 - 20:00
Getafe
2 1
Girona
Atletico Madrid
W L L W W
La Liga 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 13:00
Atletico Madrid
2 1
Valencia
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 20:00
PSV Eindhoven
2 3
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Athletic Club
1 0
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Barcelona
3 1
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
2 0
Oviedo
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
2 1
Inter
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Girona will take on Atletico Madrid as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2025-12-21 at 2025-12-21 in the famous Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Girona, and the visiting side, Atletico Madrid. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-21 Time: 13:00 Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Girona vs Atletico Madrid Sunday, Dec 21st, 2025 at 8:00 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Match Winner Atletico Madrid
Odds: 1.75
60.2%
EV: +5.3% Kelly: $3.33
Bet Now
Value
Home Total Girona Under 1.5
Odds: 1.34
76.4%
EV: +2.3% Kelly: $7.35
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance X2
Odds: 1.22
83.5%
EV: +1.8% Kelly: $10.00
Bet Now
Value
Correct Score 0:1
Odds: 8.00
12.7%
EV: +1.8% Kelly: $0.36
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-14 12:33:18
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Trends for Girona vs Atletico Madrid Football 21 Dec, 2025 8:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚩
    Corner Fest

    High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishing

    Atletico Madrid convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Girona vs Atletico Madrid

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the second half (17 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Girona

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Atletico Madrid

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.3
Pressure
0.25

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Girona - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Girona - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
11

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Atletico Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Atletico Madrid to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Atletico Madrid shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Atletico Madrid winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Atletico Madrid excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 6 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Atletico Madrid has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Atletico Madrid handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.234
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.176
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.035 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Girona):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atletico Madrid):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Girona
Atletico Madrid

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Sun 21 Dec, 2025 @ 8:00 La Liga

Girona vs Atletico Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Girona and away matches for Atletico Madrid

Number of goals

Number of goals
Girona
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4

1X2

1X2
Girona
Atletico Madrid
1
30% 3
80% 8
X
40% 4
0% 0
2
30% 3
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Girona
Atletico Madrid
12
60% 6
100% 10
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
20% 2

Total Goals

Total Goals
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
70% 7
40% 4
4+
10% 1
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Girona
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Girona
Atletico Madrid
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Girona
Atletico Madrid
xG
1.21
1.68
xGa
1.48
1.35

Number of goals

Number of goals
Girona
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Girona
Atletico Madrid
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
30% 3
0% 0

Double Chance

Double Chance
Girona
Atletico Madrid
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
60% 6
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0-1
90% 9
60% 6
2-3
10% 1
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3

Number of goals

Number of goals
Girona
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Girona
Atletico Madrid
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
50% 5
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Girona
Atletico Madrid
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
80% 8
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0-1
50% 5
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
70% 7
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Girona Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
1.0%
Low
N/A
15.1%
Low
5.75
-2
2.9%
Low
N/A
24.4%
Low
4.80
-1.5
4.8%
Low
10.50
33.7%
Low
3.12
-1
10.6%
Low
9.20
46.8%
Low
2.30
-0.5
16.5%
Low
4.50
59.8%
Medium
1.70
+0.5
40.2%
Low
2.25
83.5%
High
1.21
+1
53.2%
Medium
1.72
89.4%
High
1.00
+1.5
66.3%
Medium
1.47
95.2%
High
1.05
+2
75.6%
High
1.18
97.1%
High
N/A
+2.5
84.9%
High
1.14
98.9%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.88%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.522.31%Low3.50
Under 1.577.69%High1.34
AwayOver 1.554.53%Medium1.76
Under 1.545.47%Low2.10
HomeOver 2.56.09%Low11.00
Under 2.593.91%High1.07
AwayOver 2.527.68%Low3.40
Under 2.572.32%High1.35
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
25 May
- 12:00
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0.05
xG
2.92
0
4
25 Aug
- 19:30
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1.22
xG
0.68
3
0
13 Apr
- 12:00
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
1
3 Jan
- 20:30
Girona
Atletico Madrid
4
3
13 Mar
- 20:00
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0
1
8 Oct
- 14:15
Atletico Madrid
Girona
2
1
club logo
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Played: 6
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
5
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
6
1
Goals
2.7
16
16
2.7
Goals Conceded
1
6
8
1.3
Yellow Cards
2
12
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.5
3
21
3.5
Corners
5
30
63
10.5
Fouls
12.3
74
8
1.3
Offsides
2
12
61
10.2
Shots
15.3
92
27
4.5
Shots on Goal
7.3
44
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 3 3 6
Losses 3 4 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 8 0.9 7 0.9 15
Goals Conceded 1.8 14 2 16 1.9 30
Yellow Cards 1.8 14 2.4 19 2.1 33
Red Cards 0.5 4 0 0.3 4
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0 0.1 2
Corners 5.5 44 2.1 17 3.8 61
Fouls 9.5 76 11.3 90 10.4 166
Offsides 1.4 11 2.1 17 1.8 28
Shots 9.1 73 9.5 76 9.3 149
Shots on Goal 3.3 26 3.9 31 3.6 57
Home Away All
Played 9 8 17
Wins 8 2 10
Draws 1 3 4
Losses 0 3 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.4 22 1 8 1.8 30
Goals Conceded 0.8 7 1.1 9 0.9 16
Yellow Cards 2.1 19 2 16 2.1 35
Red Cards 0 0.3 2 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.4 4 0.3 2 0.4 6
Corners 8.7 78 5 40 6.9 118
Fouls 9.9 89 12.1 97 10.9 186
Offsides 2.1 19 2.3 18 2.2 37
Shots 14.8 133 10.4 83 12.7 216
Shots on Goal 6.9 62 4.1 33 5.6 95
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