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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
14th place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Tottenham
Tottenham
4th place
Form
AI Prediction Tottenham Over 0.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 10 March, 2026 15:00

Winner (1x2)1.60
Atletico Madrid to Win
Probability 81%
Total Goals1.75
Over 2.5
Probability 75%
Both Teams to Score1.83
Yes
Probability 58%
Atletico Madrid Total1.60
Home Over 1.5
Probability 82%
Tottenham Total1.28
Away Under 1.5
Probability 77%
Double Chance1.17
Atletico Madrid/Draw
Probability 93%
Asian Handicap1.20
Tottenham +2.5
Probability 67%
Best Tip
Total - Away Total - Away: Over 0.5
Odds 1.57
Win Prob. 60.2%
Bet Now
Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
15:00
Atletico Madrid W 81%
:
Tottenham W 7%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Atletico Madrid
d w w w w
19 Played
16 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (48 total)
xG
2.10 (39.6 total)
Shots per Match
16.1 (306 total)
Shots on Target
6.9 (43% acc)
Corners
7.6 (145 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.6 (182 total)
Offsides
2 (38 total)
18 Played
5 Wins
7 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (22 total)
xG
1.10 (19.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.1 (199 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (36% acc)
Corners
5.2 (94 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.4 (205 total)
Offsides
1.8 (33 total)
37 Played
21 Wins
8 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (70 total)
xG
1.60 (58.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.6 (505 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (40% acc)
Corners
6.5 (239 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10.5 (387 total)
Offsides
1.9 (71 total)
Tottenham
l l l l l
20 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (29 total)
xG
1.30 (26.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.2 (243 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (35% acc)
Corners
4.9 (98 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
12.1 (241 total)
Offsides
1.6 (31 total)
18 Played
6 Wins
6 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (28 total)
xG
1.10 (20.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (183 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (35% acc)
Corners
4.7 (84 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (39%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.7 (174 total)
Offsides
1.4 (25 total)
38 Played
12 Wins
10 Draws
16 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (57 total)
xG
1.20 (46.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (426 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (35% acc)
Corners
4.8 (182 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
13 (34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (5 total)
Fouls
10.9 (415 total)
Offsides
1.5 (56 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 3.12 vs 0.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.18%
0:1
1.87%
0:2
0.61%
0:3
0.15%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
7.16%
1:1
5.31%
1:2
2.14%
1:3
0.55%
1:4
0.11%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
10.16%
🔥
2:1
8.7%
2:2
3.67%
2:3
1.02%
2:4
0.21%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
9.88%
3:1
9.14%
3:2
4.16%
3:3
1.24%
3:4
0.27%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
7.2%
4:1
7.17%
4:2
3.5%
4:3
1.12%
4:4
0.26%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
4.2%
5:1
4.47%
5:2
2.33%
5:3
0.79%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 2:0 (10.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.2%
0
9.0%
1
16.1%
2
20.9%
3
20.6%
4
16.7%
5
9.4%
6
3.8%
7
1.1%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Atletico MadridHDPTottenham
34.5%
Low@ 4.50
-2.5
0.5%
Very Low
45.3%
Medium@ 4.01
-2
1.5%
Very Low
56.0%
Medium@ 2.48
-1.5
2.4%
@ 13.00Very Low
66.6%
High@ 1.88
-1
5.5%
@ 12.00Very Low
77.1%
High@ 1.53
-0.5
8.7%
@ 5.75Very Low
91.4%
Very High@ 1.14
+0.5
22.9%
@ 2.65Low
94.5%
Very High@ 1.03
+1
33.5%
@ 2.03Low
97.6%
Very High@ 1.02
+1.5
44.0%
@ 1.64Medium
98.5%
Very High
+2
54.7%
@ 1.27Medium
99.5%
Very High
+2.5
65.5%
@ 1.21High

Team Total Predictions

Atletico MadridOutcomeTottenham
76.9%
High@ 1.57
Over 1.5
23.6%
@ 3.75Low
23.1%
Low@ 2.50
Under 1.5
76.4%
@ 1.27High
52.8%
Medium@ 2.71
Over 2.5
6.8%
@ 11.00Very Low
47.2%
Medium@ 1.45
Under 2.5
93.2%
@ 1.06Very High
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Atletico Madrid will take on Tottenham as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-10 at 2026-03-10 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atletico Madrid, and the visiting side, Tottenham. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-10 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Tuesday, Mar 10th, 2026 at 15:00 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Total Home Over 1.5
High Value
Prob: 81.8%
EV: +30.9%
Stake: $4.17
1.60
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 75.4%
EV: +29.6%
Stake: $3.47
1.72
Match Winner Atletico Madrid
High Value
Prob: 80.5%
EV: +28.8%
Stake: $4.17
1.60
Asian Handicap Atletico Madrid -1
High Value
Prob: 66.6%
EV: +25.1%
Stake: $2.84
1.88
Home Total Atletico Madrid Over 1.5
High Value
Prob: 76.9%
EV: +23.1%
Stake: $4.17
1.60
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 92.6%
EV: +8.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.17
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 57.7%
EV: +5.7%
Stake: $3.01
1.83
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 57.7%
EV: +4.5%
Stake: $3.09
1.81
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-09 12:15:52
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Trends for Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Football 10 Mar, 2026 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Atletico Madrid score in 2nd half 80% of matches — expect late goals

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Tottenham is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the second half (17 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Atletico Madrid

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Tottenham

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Atletico Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Tottenham - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Atletico Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Tottenham - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Tottenham is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Tottenham to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Atletico Madrid shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 11 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Atletico Madrid winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Atletico Madrid excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 7 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Atletico Madrid has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Atletico Madrid handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.195
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.08
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atletico Madrid):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Tottenham):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Atletico Madrid
Tottenham

Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Head-to-head statistics for Tue 10 Mar, 2026 @ 15:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Tottenham Over 0.5 Goals
Under/Over: +1.5*
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Atletico Madrid
VS
Tottenham
4/6 (67%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
1.83 PPG 2.17
2.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 2.50
67% BTTS % 83%
67% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.95 Avg xG 1.05
Atletico Madrid
D W W W W
La Liga 2025-2026
7 Mar 2026 - 17:30
Atletico Madrid
3 2
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2025-2026
28 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Oviedo
0 1
Atletico Madrid
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
24 Feb 2026 - 17:45
Atletico Madrid
4 1
Club Brugge KV
La Liga 2025-2026
21 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
4 2
Espanyol
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
18 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Club Brugge KV
3 3
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 15:15
Rayo Vallecano
3 0
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
L L L L L
Premier League 2025-2026
5 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Tottenham
1 3
Crystal Palace
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Mar 2026 - 14:00
Fulham
2 1
Tottenham
Premier League 2025-2026
22 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Tottenham
1 4
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
10 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Tottenham
1 2
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Feb 2026 - 12:30
Manchester United
2 0
Tottenham
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Tottenham
2 2
Manchester City

Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atletico Madrid and away matches for Tottenham

Number of goals
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Tottenham
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
50% 5
50% 5
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
1X2
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
30% 3
60% 6
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
70% 7
40% 4
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
0-1
30% 3
0% 0
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Tottenham
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
50% 5
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
40% 4
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
xG
1.65
1.41
xGa
1.15
1.71
Number of goals
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Tottenham
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
20% 2
60% 6
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
80% 8
40% 4
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
Number of goals
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
Tottenham
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Missing Players
Atletico Madrid
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Tottenham
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Inactive
33
d
- Injured - Ankle Injury
20
m
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
28
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
24
d
- Injured - Calf Injury
13
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
2.45 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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