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Aston Villa
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Tottenham
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 7 May, 2026 14:00
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24
Played
17
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(42 total)
xG
1.30
(32.4 total)
Shots per Match
13
(313 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(38% acc)
Corners
5.4
(130 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.8
(234 total)
Offsides
1.2
(28 total)
25
Played
12
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(32 total)
xG
1.00
(26.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(270 total)
Shots on Target
4
(37% acc)
Corners
4.6
(114 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.2
(254 total)
Offsides
1
(24 total)
49
Played
29
Wins
7
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(74 total)
xG
1.20
(58.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(583 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(37% acc)
Corners
5
(244 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
16
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(488 total)
Offsides
1.1
(52 total)
25
Played
9
Wins
6
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(32 total)
xG
1.50
(37.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.2
(379 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(30% acc)
Corners
6
(150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.6
(264 total)
Offsides
1.4
(34 total)
26
Played
10
Wins
7
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(39 total)
xG
1.30
(33.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(308 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(40% acc)
Corners
4.6
(119 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.9
(310 total)
Offsides
1.7
(43 total)
51
Played
19
Wins
13
Draws
19
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(71 total)
xG
1.40
(70.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(687 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(35% acc)
Corners
5.3
(269 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
16
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(2 total)
Fouls
11.3
(574 total)
Offsides
1.5
(77 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.57 vs 1.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.75%
0:1
7.08%
0:2
5.28%
⭐
0:3
2.63%
⭐
0:4
0.98%
⭐
0:5
0.29%
⭐
1
1:0
6.28%
1:1
10.54%
🔥
1:2
8.74%
⭐
1:3
4.78%
⭐
1:4
1.95%
⭐
1:5
0.63%
⭐
2
2:0
4.15%
2:1
7.75%
2:2
7.08%
⭐
2:3
4.25%
⭐
2:4
1.88%
⭐
2:5
0.66%
⭐
3
3:0
1.83%
3:1
3.76%
3:2
3.76%
⭐
3:3
2.46%
⭐
3:4
1.18%
⭐
3:5
0.45%
⭐
4
4:0
0.6%
4:1
1.35%
4:2
1.48%
4:3
1.05%
⭐
4:4
0.54%
⭐
4:5
0.22%
5
5:0
0.16%
5:1
0.39%
5:2
0.46%
5:3
0.35%
⭐
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.09%
Hotspot:
1:1 (10.5%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Thursday, May 7th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Football 7 May, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Aston Villa create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest.
🏆 Match Winner — Aston Villa @ 1.80 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
Efficient ScoringH2H
Aston Villa efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 888%
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Aston Villa score 2.33 goals/match at home (+73% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 675%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 670%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Aston Villa rank 3 of 45 in scoring at home (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.70)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 665%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Aston Villa efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsWonRecent
Aston Villa have won their last 9 12 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 1275%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 9 12 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest
Not WinH2H
Nottingham Forest have not won in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.91 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Aston Villa score well (2.33/match) but have strong defense at home (0.50 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Nottingham Forest score (1.43/match) and concede (0.86/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 50%)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 757%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 6 of their last 8 H2H matches (75.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.97 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa3 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Aston Villa score 2.33 goals/match at home (+73% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Aston Villa rank 3 of 45 in scoring at home (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.70)
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 2.3 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Aston Villa Win or Draw @ 1.23 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
League Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 9 12 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest
Not WinH2H
Nottingham Forest have not won in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.88 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
Above League AverageLeague
Aston Villa score 2.33 goals/match at home (+73% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Aston Villa rank 3 of 45 in scoring at home (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.70)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 665%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Aston Villa scored 1+ goals in their last 12 12 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.60 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 Trends — avg 1.7 (-24% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Aston Villa average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-16% below league avg 2.1)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNottingham Forest2 Trends — avg 1.6 (-28% below league)Many CardsH2H
Nottingham Forest receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLow Card MatchesLeague
Nottingham Forest average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.1)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.60
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.40 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 Trends — avg 5 (+6% above league)Few CornersH2H
Aston Villa win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.40
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the second half (15 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Nottingham Forest
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Nottingham Forest - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Nottingham Forest - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Aston Villa shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 6 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Aston Villa winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Aston Villa excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Aston Villa scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Nottingham Forest has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Nottingham Forest handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.093
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.044
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nottingham Forest):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-head statistics for Thu 7 May, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Europa League
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Aston Villa
VS
Nottingham Forest
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
1 (1)
xG
0.70
1.40
Shots
9 (9)
11 (11)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
5 (5)
Corners
7 (7)
5 (5)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
0 (0)
xGa
1.40
0.70
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
11 (11)
5 (5)
Offsides
0 (0)
2 (2)
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Nottingham Forest
2/6 (33%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
2.40
PPG
2.00
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.50
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
0.50
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.23
Avg xG
1.49
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Nottingham Forest
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
50%
5
70%
7
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
40%
4
0%
0
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
60%
6
100%
10
X2
50%
5
30%
3
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
xG
1.27
1.33
xGa
1.06
1.04
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
20%
2
0%
0
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
80%
8
100%
10
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
Missing Players
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.49
xG
1.40
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
5
7
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase matchup, Aston Villa will take on Nottingham Forest as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 3 and will take place on 2026-05-07 at 2026-05-07 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Nottingham Forest. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Aston Villa or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-07
Time: 19:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!