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Aston Villa
4
0
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 15 May, 2026 14:00
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25
Played
18
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(46 total)
xG
1.40
(34.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(331 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(39% acc)
Corners
5.4
(136 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.9
(247 total)
Offsides
1.2
(29 total)
25
Played
12
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(32 total)
xG
1.00
(26.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(270 total)
Shots on Target
4
(37% acc)
Corners
4.6
(114 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.2
(254 total)
Offsides
1
(24 total)
50
Played
30
Wins
7
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(78 total)
xG
1.20
(61.1 total)
Shots per Match
12
(601 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(38% acc)
Corners
5
(250 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
17
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(501 total)
Offsides
1.1
(53 total)
25
Played
15
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(52 total)
xG
2.00
(48.8 total)
Shots per Match
18.7
(467 total)
Shots on Target
6.1
(33% acc)
Corners
6.6
(164 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.3
(258 total)
Offsides
2
(51 total)
24
Played
10
Wins
3
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(36 total)
xG
1.40
(33.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(310 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(32% acc)
Corners
5.5
(131 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.3
(248 total)
Offsides
1.8
(42 total)
49
Played
25
Wins
8
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(88 total)
xG
1.70
(82.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.9
(777 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(32% acc)
Corners
6
(295 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
15
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.3
(506 total)
Offsides
1.9
(93 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.84 vs 1.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.01%
⭐
0:1
5.85%
0:2
3.42%
0:3
1.33%
0:4
0.39%
0:5
0.09%
1
1:0
8.01%
⭐
1:1
10.57%
🔥
1:2
6.88%
1:3
2.96%
1:4
0.94%
1:5
0.24%
2
2:0
6.4%
⭐
2:1
9.41%
⭐
2:2
6.78%
2:3
3.19%
2:4
1.11%
2:5
0.31%
3
3:0
3.41%
⭐
3:1
5.53%
⭐
3:2
4.37%
⭐
3:3
2.25%
3:4
0.85%
3:5
0.25%
4
4:0
1.36%
⭐
4:1
2.42%
⭐
4:2
2.08%
⭐
4:3
1.16%
⭐
4:4
0.48%
⭐
4:5
0.15%
5
5:0
0.44%
⭐
5:1
0.84%
⭐
5:2
0.78%
⭐
5:3
0.47%
⭐
5:4
0.21%
⭐
5:5
0.07%
Hotspot:
1:1 (10.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Aston Villa vs Liverpool Friday, May 15th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Aston Villa vs Liverpool Football 15 May, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Suppression
Liverpool rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Liverpool.
🏆 Match Winner — Aston Villa @ 3.62 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
League Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.50 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Aston Villa score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 956%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLiverpool1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Liverpool score (1.67/match) and concede (1.78/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 53%)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 967%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 6 of their last 10 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 1060%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.75 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 TrendsFew GoalsH2H
Aston Villa scored 0-1 goals in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Aston Villa Win or Draw @ 1.95 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
League Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak Trends65%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLiverpool2 TrendsScored 1+Recent
Liverpool scored 1+ goals in their last 10 10 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 10100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
Liverpool score in second half in their last 10 10 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 10100%
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 Trends — avg 1.5 (-22% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Aston Villa average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 1.9) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 1790%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Liverpool
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Liverpool is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Liverpool is stronger in the first half (16 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the second half (18 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Liverpool is stronger in the first half (16 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the second half (18 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.17
✈️ Liverpool
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.18
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
✈️ Liverpool - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Liverpool - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Liverpool often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Liverpool scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Liverpool is stronger in the first half (16 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider Liverpool to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Aston Villa shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 14 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Aston Villa winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Aston Villa excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 8 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Aston Villa scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Liverpool has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Liverpool handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.138
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.015
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Liverpool):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool Head-to-head statistics for Fri 15 May, 2026 @ 14:00 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
18
11
7
63
48
15
65
4
17
8
11
60
48
12
59
5
17
7
11
48
44
4
58
6
13
16
7
56
52
4
55
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Liverpool
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Aston Villa
VS
Liverpool
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
3
Draws
7
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (16)
2.1 (23)
xG
0.80
1.90
Shots
10.6 (117)
16.2 (178)
Shots on Target
4.2 (46)
6 (66)
Corners
3.4 (37)
5.9 (65)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 (23)
1.5 (16)
xGa
1.90
0.80
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 (23)
0.9 (10)
Fouls
9.6 (106)
12.4 (136)
Offsides
1.7 (19)
3.4 (37)
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Liverpool
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.67
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
33%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.48
Avg xG
1.18
Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Liverpool
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1X2
Aston Villa
Liverpool
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Liverpool
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Liverpool
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
40%
4
70%
7
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Liverpool
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Liverpool
xG
1.42
1.45
xGa
1.04
1.37
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Aston Villa
Liverpool
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Liverpool
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Liverpool
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Aston Villa
Liverpool
1
60%
6
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Liverpool
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
40%
4
80%
8
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Liverpool
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
1.76
xG
1.35
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
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In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Aston Villa will take on Liverpool as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 37 and will take place on 2026-05-15 at 2026-05-15 in the famous Villa Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Liverpool. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Liverpool.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-15
Time: 19:00
Location: Villa Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!