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Aston Villa vs Leeds: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 9:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
13
Played
11
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(23 total)
xG
1.30
(16.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(159 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(42% acc)
Corners
5.2
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(130 total)
Offsides
1.3
(17 total)
14
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(20 total)
xG
1.10
(15.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(151 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(36% acc)
Corners
4.7
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.3
(130 total)
Offsides
1
(14 total)
27
Played
18
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(43 total)
xG
1.20
(32.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.5
(310 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(39% acc)
Corners
5
(134 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.6
(260 total)
Offsides
1.1
(31 total)
10
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(18 total)
xG
1.70
(17.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(148 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(31% acc)
Corners
5.2
(52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.4
(104 total)
Offsides
1.6
(16 total)
11
Played
1
Wins
3
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(11 total)
xG
1.10
(11.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.4
(114 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
3.7
(41 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.6
(117 total)
Offsides
1.4
(15 total)
21
Played
5
Wins
7
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(29 total)
xG
1.40
(29.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(262 total)
Shots on Target
4
(32% acc)
Corners
4.4
(93 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.5
(221 total)
Offsides
1.5
(31 total)
No prediction data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Aston Villa will take on Leeds as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Villa Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Leeds. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 15:00
Location: Villa Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Aston Villa vs Leeds Football 21 Feb, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
Comprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Leeds, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Aston Villa(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H6/786%Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 6 7 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/956%Aston Villa score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/771.4%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Aston Villa(4 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H6/786%Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 6 7 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/786%Aston Villa are undefeated at half time in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Aston Villa(2 trends) — avg 1.7 (-11% below league)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Aston Villa receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Aston Villa average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 1.9) — rank #3 lowest in league
Leeds(2 trends) — avg 1.9
- Many CardsH2H7/7100%Leeds receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 7 Premier League matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Leeds average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 1.9)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.7 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Leeds(1 trends) — avg 3.6 (-26% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Leeds average 3.6 corners/match in away matches (-26% below league avg 4.8)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+24 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Leeds
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Leeds is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4).
⚡ Final Stage: Leeds is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Leeds is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.1
✈️ Leeds
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.18
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Leeds - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Leeds - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Leeds often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Leeds scoring first
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Leeds excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Leeds scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Aston Villa has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Aston Villa handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.18
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.082
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Leeds):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Aston Villa vs Leeds Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
13
4
4
45
19
26
43
3
13
4
4
33
24
9
43
4
10
4
6
32
28
4
34
15
6
8
7
34
40
-6
26
16
5
7
9
29
37
-8
22
17
6
3
12
21
34
-13
21
Aston Villa
VS
Leeds
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
4
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (11)
1.1 (8)
xG
1.20
1.50
Shots
13.1 (92)
13.4 (94)
Shots on Target
5.1 (36)
4.4 (31)
Corners
4.9 (34)
6 (42)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 (8)
1.6 (11)
xGa
1.50
1.20
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (14)
3.4 (24)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
12.7 (89)
16.4 (115)
Offsides
1.7 (12)
2 (14)
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Leeds
4/6 (67%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
2.17
PPG
1.17
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
83%
BTTS %
83%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.40
Avg xG
1.71
Aston Villa vs Leeds: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Leeds
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
80%
8
90%
9
No
20%
2
10%
1
1X2
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
80%
8
20%
2
X
10%
1
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Leeds
12
90%
9
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
20%
2
80%
8
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Leeds
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
40%
4
50%
5
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Leeds
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
40%
4
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Leeds
xG
1.41
1.76
xGa
1.4
1.57
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Leeds
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Leeds
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
1X2
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
70%
7
30%
3
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Leeds
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
30%
3
70%
7
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Leeds
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
1.69
xG
0.78
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1
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