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Aston Villa
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0
Brighton
Aston Villa vs Leeds: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 9:00
Betting Tip
Leeds Under 1.5 GoalsNo high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.
Prediction League
17
Played
13
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(27 total)
xG
1.30
(21.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(228 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(38% acc)
Corners
5.6
(96 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.9
(169 total)
Offsides
1.1
(19 total)
18
Played
10
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(26 total)
xG
1.10
(20.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(201 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(39% acc)
Corners
4.8
(86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.6
(173 total)
Offsides
1.1
(19 total)
35
Played
23
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(53 total)
xG
1.20
(42.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(429 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(38% acc)
Corners
5.2
(182 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.8
(342 total)
Offsides
1.1
(38 total)
13
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(22 total)
xG
1.60
(21.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(178 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(31% acc)
Corners
5.2
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.9
(129 total)
Offsides
1.9
(25 total)
14
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.30
(17.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.9
(152 total)
Shots on Target
4
(37% acc)
Corners
3.5
(49 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(7%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.8
(151 total)
Offsides
1.4
(19 total)
27
Played
8
Wins
9
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(39 total)
xG
1.40
(38.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(330 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(34% acc)
Corners
4.3
(116 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.4
(280 total)
Offsides
1.6
(44 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.99 vs 0.69
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.61%
⭐
0:1
4.12%
0:2
0.99%
0:3
0.16%
0:4
0.02%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
15.31%
🔥
⭐
1:1
9.15%
1:2
2.63%
1:3
0.49%
1:4
0.07%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
13.62%
⭐
2:1
9.75%
2:2
3.3%
2:3
0.71%
2:4
0.11%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
8.08%
⭐
3:1
6.74%
⭐
3:2
2.64%
3:3
0.65%
3:4
0.12%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
3.59%
⭐
4:1
3.42%
⭐
4:2
1.53%
4:3
0.43%
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
1.28%
⭐
5:1
1.37%
⭐
5:2
0.69%
⭐
5:3
0.22%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Aston Villa will take on Leeds as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Villa Park.
The referee for the game will be M. Oliver. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Aston Villa, and the visiting side, Leeds. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Aston Villa or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 15:00
Location: Villa Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Aston Villa vs Leeds Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 9:00 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Aston Villa vs Leeds Football 21 Feb, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
Comprehensive betting trends for Aston Villa vs Leeds.
🏆 Match Winner — Aston Villa @ 1.89 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
UnbeatenH2H
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 6 7 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 786%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak Trends65%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.06 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Aston Villa score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 956%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.93 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 771.4%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Balanced match with potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Aston Villa Win or Draw @ 1.24 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
UnbeatenH2H
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 6 7 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 786%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
Aston Villa are undefeated at half time in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 786%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak Trends65%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.88 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa2 Trends — avg 1.6 (-16% below league)Many CardsH2H
Aston Villa receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 786%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLow Card MatchesLeague
Aston Villa average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 1.9) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeeds2 Trends — avg 1.8 (-6% below league)Many CardsH2H
Leeds receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 7 Premier League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 7100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLow Card MatchesLeague
Leeds average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 1.9)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.7 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.12 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeeds1 Trends — avg 3.6 (-26% below league)Few CornersLeague
Leeds average 3.6 corners/match in away matches (-26% below league avg 4.8)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 885%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.12
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Aston Villa vs Leeds
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Leeds is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Leeds
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Leeds - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Leeds - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Leeds often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Leeds scoring first
- Overall Result: Aston Villa has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Aston Villa handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.024
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.097
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Leeds):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Aston Villa vs Leeds Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
16
5
5
54
24
30
53
3
15
5
6
37
27
10
50
4
12
9
5
47
37
10
45
14
7
10
9
34
34
0
31
15
▲
7
9
10
36
45
-9
30
16
▼
7
8
11
36
37
-1
29
Team comparison
Prediction
Leeds Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Aston Villa
VS
Leeds
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
4
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (11)
1.1 (8)
xG
1.20
1.50
Shots
13.1 (92)
13.4 (94)
Shots on Target
5.1 (36)
4.4 (31)
Corners
4.9 (34)
6 (42)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 (8)
1.6 (11)
xGa
1.50
1.20
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (14)
3.4 (24)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
12.7 (89)
16.4 (115)
Offsides
1.7 (12)
2 (14)
Last 6 Matches
Aston Villa
VS
Leeds
4/6 (67%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.33
PPG
1.33
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.17
Avg xG
1.61
Aston Villa vs Leeds: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Aston Villa and away matches for Leeds
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
1X2
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
60%
6
30%
3
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Leeds
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
40%
4
70%
7
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Leeds
0-1
50%
5
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
20%
2
50%
5
Total Corners
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Aston Villa
Leeds
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Aston Villa
Leeds
xG
1.3
1.56
xGa
1.24
1.51
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Leeds
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Leeds
0-1
90%
9
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Number of goals
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Aston Villa
Leeds
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Aston Villa
Leeds
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
10%
1
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa
Leeds
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1.85
xG
0.74
56%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
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