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UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 – Knockout phase • Quarter-finals 16 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Form
4 : 0
2.23
xG
1.09
Full Time
Half Time: 3-0
Bologna
Bologna
Form
16'
O. Watkins
26'
E. Buendía
39'
M. Rogers
89'
E. Konsa
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Aston Villa vs Bologna Football Match Stats & Results Thursday, 16 April, 2026 14:00

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
2'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
Winner (1x2)1.66
Aston Villa to Win
Probability 42%
Total Goals1.77
Over 2.5
Probability 64%
Both Teams to Score1.87
Yes
Probability 67%
Aston Villa Total1.40
Home Under 2.5
Probability 75%
Bologna Total1.29
Away Under 1.5
Probability 51%
Double Chance1.18
Aston Villa/Draw
Probability 67%
Asian Handicap1.24
Bologna +2
Probability 88%

Aston Villa vs Bologna: UEFA Europa League Showdown

A Must-Win Encounter in the Knockout Phase

This matchup between Aston Villa and Bologna in the UEFA Europa League knockout phase is crucial for both teams, looking to secure their positions in the subsequent rounds. With Villa in strong form and Bologna eager to establish momentum, the stakes couldn't be higher as they face off on April 16, 2026.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams come into this clash with distinct trajectories in recent matches, influencing their confidence levels.

  • Aston Villa: The Villans are in remarkable form, boasting five consecutive wins leading up to this match. They have been prolific at home, averaging two goals scored while conceding only 0.6, showcasing a solid defensive unit. However, their last match ended in a disappointing draw against Nottingham Forest, potentially affecting their momentum.
  • Bologna: The Rossoblu have shown resilience, bouncing back from a loss with a win against Lecce in their last outing. Despite a strong away record with five straight victories, they have been vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Their away form has been impressive, but consistency remains a concern.

Head-to-Head

Aston Villa has historically dominated Bologna, winning all three of their last encounters without conceding. The recent matchups highlight Villa's offensive strength, with an average of 2.33 goals scored in their head-to-head matches. Their last five results include a resounding 3-1 victory, indicating a clear psychological edge going into this match.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Both teams will look to establish their tactical identity in this match. Aston Villa's attack, spearheaded by Ollie Watkins, will aim to exploit Bologna's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly considering their average of 1.4 goals conceded. On the other hand, Bologna's forwards like Josh Rowe and Federico Bernardeschi will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Villa, especially if they can break quickly on the counter. The battle in midfield, particularly involving Douglas Luiz for Villa, will be crucial in determining possession and tempo.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win @ 41.9%.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: While Aston Villa's form suggests a strong home advantage, Bologna's ability to score away and their recent improvement make a draw likely, particularly with both teams averaging similar goals scored relative to their expected goals.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals several value betting opportunities.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - 1X @ 1.19 (67.3% probability).
  • Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.8 (67.3% probability, +10.3% value vs. 55.6% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Aston Villa
Bologna
O. Watkins
Goal 1:0 16'
O. Watkins
Assistant: M. Rogers
M. Rogers
Missed Penalty 25'
M. Rogers
E. Buendía
Goal 2:0 26'
E. Buendía
Assistant: L. Digne
29' Yellow Card
F. Bernardeschi
F. Bernardeschi
M. Rogers
Goal 3:0 39'
M. Rogers
Assistant: J. McGinn
46' Substitute
In:R. Orsolini
Out:F. Bernardeschi
R. Orsolini
46' Substitute
In:S. Sohm
Out:R. Freuler
S. Sohm
46' Substitute
In:N. Zortea
Out:João Mário
N. Zortea
L. Bailey
Substitute 64'
In:L. Bailey
Out:J. McGinn
T. Abraham
Substitute 64'
In:T. Abraham
Out:O. Watkins
J. Sancho
Substitute 74'
In:J. Sancho
Out:M. Rogers
Douglas Luiz
Substitute 74'
In:Douglas Luiz
Out:Y. Tielemans
76' Substitute
In:J. Odgaard
Out:S. Castro
J. Odgaard
L. Bogarde
Substitute 78'
In:L. Bogarde
Out:A. Onana
82' Substitute
In:T. Heggem
Out:N. Casale
T. Heggem
E. Konsa
Goal 4:0 89'
E. Konsa
Assistant: T. Abraham

Aston Villa vs Bologna: UEFA Europa League Showdown

A Must-Win Encounter in the Knockout Phase

This matchup between Aston Villa and Bologna in the UEFA Europa League knockout phase is crucial for both teams, looking to secure their positions in the subsequent rounds. With Villa in strong form and Bologna eager to establish momentum, the stakes couldn't be higher as they face off on April 16, 2026.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams come into this clash with distinct trajectories in recent matches, influencing their confidence levels.

  • Aston Villa: The Villans are in remarkable form, boasting five consecutive wins leading up to this match. They have been prolific at home, averaging two goals scored while conceding only 0.6, showcasing a solid defensive unit. However, their last match ended in a disappointing draw against Nottingham Forest, potentially affecting their momentum.
  • Bologna: The Rossoblu have shown resilience, bouncing back from a loss with a win against Lecce in their last outing. Despite a strong away record with five straight victories, they have been vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Their away form has been impressive, but consistency remains a concern.

Head-to-Head

Aston Villa has historically dominated Bologna, winning all three of their last encounters without conceding. The recent matchups highlight Villa's offensive strength, with an average of 2.33 goals scored in their head-to-head matches. Their last five results include a resounding 3-1 victory, indicating a clear psychological edge going into this match.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Both teams will look to establish their tactical identity in this match. Aston Villa's attack, spearheaded by Ollie Watkins, will aim to exploit Bologna's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly considering their average of 1.4 goals conceded. On the other hand, Bologna's forwards like Josh Rowe and Federico Bernardeschi will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Villa, especially if they can break quickly on the counter. The battle in midfield, particularly involving Douglas Luiz for Villa, will be crucial in determining possession and tempo.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win @ 41.9%.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: While Aston Villa's form suggests a strong home advantage, Bologna's ability to score away and their recent improvement make a draw likely, particularly with both teams averaging similar goals scored relative to their expected goals.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals several value betting opportunities.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - 1X @ 1.19 (67.3% probability).
  • Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.8 (67.3% probability, +10.3% value vs. 55.6% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Aston Villa vs Bologna Formation Lineups for Thu 16 Apr, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Europa League

Formation
7
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
6.4
Bologna
4-2-3-1
E. Martínez
6.9
Martínez 23
L. Digne
6.9
Digne 12
Pau Torres
6.3
Torres 14
E. Konsa
6.9
Konsa 4
M. Cash
7.2
Cash 2
Y. Tielemans
6.9
74'
Tielemans 8
A. Onana
7.3
78'
Onana 24
E. Buendía
7.9
Buendía 10
M. Rogers
8.2
74'
Rogers 27
J. McGinn
7
64'
McGinn 7
O. Watkins
7.5
64'
Watkins 11
F. Ravaglia
6.7
Ravaglia 13
João Mário
5.3
46'
Mário 17
N. Casale
6.5
82'
Casale 16
M. Vitík
6.7
Vitík 41
Juan Miranda
5.9
Miranda 33
N. Moro
7.2
Moro 6
R. Freuler
6.6
46'
Freuler 8
J. Rowe
6
Rowe 11
L. Ferguson
6
Ferguson 19
F. Bernardeschi
6.5
46'
Bernardeschi 10
S. Castro
6.3
76'
Castro 9
field field
Substitutes
Bailey
6.9
64'
Bailey 31
Sancho
6.5
74'
Sancho 19
Bogarde
6.6
78'
Bogarde 26
Orsolini
6.9
46'
Orsolini 7
Zortea
6.2
46'
Zortea 20
Odgaard
6.7
76'
Odgaard 21
Heggem
82'
Heggem 14
LineUps
Aston Villa
6.9
2
d
7.2
4
d
89'
6.9
14
d
6.3
12
d
6.9
24
m
78'
7.3
74'
6.9
7
m
64'
7
27
m
39'74'
8.2
26'
7.9
11
f
16'64'
7.5
Substitutes
31
f
64'
6.9
18
f
64'
6.9
40
g
64
g
22
d
5
d
26
m
78'
6.6
74'
6.7
19
f
74'
6.5
Coach
Bologna
6.7
5.9
41
d
6.7
16
d
82'
6.5
46'
5.3
46'
6.6
6
m
7.2
29'46'
6.5
6
11
f
6
9
f
76'
6.3
Substitutes
20
d
46'
6.2
46'
6.9
23
m
46'
6.7
25
g
14
d
82'
21
m
76'
6.7
4
m
Coach
Missing Players
Aston Villa
- Injured - Injury
44
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Calf Injury
5
d
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
19
f
- Injured - (questionable) Shoulder Injury
- Injured - Injury
44
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Calf Injury
5
d
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
19
f
- Injured - (questionable) Shoulder Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Inactive
Bologna
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Hip Injury
- Injured - Inactive
26
d
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Hip Injury
- Injured - Inactive
26
d
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury

Aston Villa vs Bologna Head-to-head statistics for Thu 16 Apr, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Europa League

Aston Villa
Bologna
Off Target 1 Blocked 5
On Target 7
On Target 4
Off Target 7 Blocked 4
4 Goals 0
46 Ball Possession 54
13 Shots 11
7 Shots on Goal 4
1 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 5
320 Total passes 379
80 Passes accurate % 87
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
13 Fouls 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Offsides 1
4 Corners 2
2.23 Expected Goals 1.09

Stats for Aston Villa vs Bologna Thursday, Apr 16th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

Aston Villa
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Bologna
Goalkeepers
Field Players