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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Arsenal
Arsenal
1st place
Form
VS
19:00
5 May 2026
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
14th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 5 May, 2026 14:00

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
19:00
Arsenal W 63%
:
Atletico Madrid W 17%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Arsenal
w w w l d
22 Played
17 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (50 total)
xG
1.80 (40.5 total)
Shots per Match
16.1 (355 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (33% acc)
Corners
6.2 (136 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
12 (55%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10 (221 total)
Offsides
1.7 (38 total)
23 Played
15 Wins
6 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (43 total)
xG
1.60 (36.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (289 total)
Shots on Target
5 (40% acc)
Corners
5.4 (124 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (48%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.3 (238 total)
Offsides
1.3 (30 total)
45 Played
32 Wins
9 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (93 total)
xG
1.70 (77.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.3 (644 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (36% acc)
Corners
5.8 (260 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
23 (51%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.2 (459 total)
Offsides
1.5 (68 total)
Atletico Madrid
l l w l l
23 Played
18 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (56 total)
xG
2.00 (46.8 total)
Shots per Match
15.4 (354 total)
Shots on Target
6.5 (42% acc)
Corners
7 (162 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10.2 (234 total)
Offsides
1.9 (44 total)
22 Played
6 Wins
7 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (29 total)
xG
1.00 (22.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (247 total)
Shots on Target
4 (36% acc)
Corners
5 (109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.7 (257 total)
Offsides
1.8 (39 total)
45 Played
24 Wins
8 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (85 total)
xG
1.50 (69.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (601 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (40% acc)
Corners
6 (271 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
13 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
10.9 (491 total)
Offsides
1.8 (83 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Tuesday, May 5th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Trends for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Football 5 May, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Arsenal have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Arsenal create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
🔄 Second Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the second half (17 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Arsenal

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Atletico Madrid

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Arsenal - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Arsenal - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Atletico Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Atletico Madrid shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Atletico Madrid winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Arsenal has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Arsenal handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.141
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.049
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arsenal):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atletico Madrid):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Arsenal
Atletico Madrid

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Tue 5 May, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Arsenal
VS
Atletico Madrid
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
4 (4)
0 (0)
xG
2.20
0.70
Shots
18 (18)
11 (11)
Shots on Target
7 (7)
1 (1)
Corners
3 (3)
4 (4)
Defense
Conceded
0 (0)
4 (4)
xGa
0.70
2.20
Clean Sheets
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
2 (2)
Fouls
13 (13)
9 (9)
Offsides
2 (2)
0 (0)
21 Oct
- 19:00
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
2.16
xG
0.67
4
0
Prob 79%
Home Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.31
Last 6 Matches
Arsenal
VS
Atletico Madrid
3/6 (50%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
2.33 PPG 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
0.50 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
33% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.64 Avg xG 0.95
Arsenal
W W W L D
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
15 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Arsenal
0 0
Sporting CP
Premier League 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 11:30
Arsenal
1 2
Bournemouth
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
7 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Sporting CP
0 1
Arsenal
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
17 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Arsenal
2 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Mar 2026 - 17:30
Arsenal
2 0
Everton
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
11 Mar 2026 - 17:45
Bayer Leverkusen
1 1
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
L L W L L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
14 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Atletico Madrid
1 2
Barcelona
La Liga 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Sevilla
2 1
Atletico Madrid
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
8 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Barcelona
0 2
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
4 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Atletico Madrid
1 2
Barcelona
La Liga 2025-2026
22 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Real Madrid
3 2
Atletico Madrid
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
18 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Tottenham
3 2
Atletico Madrid

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arsenal and away matches for Atletico Madrid

Number of goals
Arsenal
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
1X2
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
30% 3
0% 0
2
10% 1
50% 5
Double Chance
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
12
70% 7
100% 10
1X
90% 9
50% 5
X2
40% 4
50% 5
Total Goals
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
20% 2
40% 4
Total Corners
Arsenal
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
40% 4
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
xG
1.52
1.32
xGa
0.75
1.59
Number of goals
Arsenal
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
70% 7
30% 3
2
0% 0
30% 3
Double Chance
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
12
30% 3
70% 7
1X
100% 10
70% 7
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
Number of goals
Arsenal
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
1.81 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Arsenal will take on Atletico Madrid as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-05 at 2026-05-05 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arsenal, and the visiting side, Atletico Madrid. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-05 Time: 19:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!