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Arouca vs Nacional: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 February, 2026 12:00
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No betting tips available for this match.
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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
▼
3
8
4
19
24
-5
17
12
▼
4
4
7
17
21
-4
16
13
▼
4
4
7
11
15
-4
16
15
▲
3
4
8
16
29
-13
13
16
▼
3
4
8
15
37
-22
13
17
2
3
10
9
27
-18
9
0.76
xG
1.22
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Arouca
VS
Nacional
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.67
PPG
0.83
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
2.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.68
Avg xG
0.96
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arouca will take on Nacional as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-22 at 2026-02-22 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Arouca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arouca, and the visiting side, Nacional. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-22
Time: 17:00
Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Arouca vs Nacional Football 22 Feb, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Nacional have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Arouca vs Nacional, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Arouca(6 trends)
- WonH2H3/3100%Arouca have won their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Arouca efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Nacional
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Arouca have not won in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Not WinRecent12/1675%Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Nacional(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won their last 3 3 matches vs Arouca
- LostH2H3/3100%Nacional have lost their last 3 3 matches vs Arouca
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/850%Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (0.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 44%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Arouca(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Arouca scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Nacional(2 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%Nacional scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1580%Under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (75% + 80%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Arouca(5 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Arouca are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Arouca have not won in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Not WinRecent12/1675%Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Nacional(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won their last 3 3 matches vs Arouca
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Arouca(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Arouca scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
Nacional(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Arouca(3 trends) — avg 2.7
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Nacional
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Nacional(2 trends) — avg 2.8 (+4% above league)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Arouca
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 7 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Arouca(1 trends) — avg 5.1 (+12% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/877%Arouca average 5.1 corners/match at home (+12% above league avg 4.6)
Nacional(2 trends) — avg 4.0 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersH2H3/3100%Nacional win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Arouca
- Few CornersLeague8/877%Nacional average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.6)
Combined average: 9.1 corners/match (Arouca 5.1 + Nacional 4.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Arouca vs Nacional
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Arouca
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
- Overall Result: Nacional has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Nacional handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.195
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.006
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Arouca vs Nacional Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Feb, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Arouca vs Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for Nacional
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
60%
6
40%
4
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
40%
4
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
50%
5
30%
3
Total Corners
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Arouca
Nacional
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Arouca
Nacional
xG
0.67
1.3
xGa
1.93
1.78
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
0%
0
30%
3
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
100%
10
70%
7
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Arouca
Nacional
Played:
3
Wins
3
3
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
1.7
Goals
0.7
2
2
0.7
Goals Conceded
1.7
5
4
1.3
Yellow Cards
4.7
14
2
0.7
Red Cards
0.3
1
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
17
5.7
Corners
3
9
53
17.7
Fouls
11.7
35
3
1
Offsides
3.7
11
31
10.3
Shots
15.7
47
13
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.7
11
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 17 | 2.9 | 20 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.9 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 36 | 2.6 | 18 | 3.6 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14.5 | 116 | 14 | 98 | 14.3 | 214 |
| Offsides | 0.5 | 4 | 1.3 | 9 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 79 | 8 | 56 | 9 | 135 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 24 | 2.1 | 15 | 2.6 | 39 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 14 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.4 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 19 | 2.5 | 20 | 2.6 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0.6 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.1 | 29 | 4 | 32 | 4.1 | 61 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 95 | 14.5 | 116 | 14.1 | 211 |
| Offsides | 2.3 | 16 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 28 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 69 | 12.8 | 102 | 11.4 | 171 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 27 | 3.9 | 31 | 3.9 | 58 |
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