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Arouca
0
4
SC Braga
Arouca vs Nacional: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 February, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
3
3
6
10
14
-4
12
13
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
16
2
3
7
7
20
-13
9
17
2
3
7
13
34
-21
9
18
0
3
9
8
29
-21
3
Last 6 Matches
Arouca
VS
Nacional
0/6 (0%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
5/6 (83%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.17
PPG
1.33
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
3.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.50
Avg xG
1.17
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
0.77
xG [Total: 1.65]
0.88
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 7]
3
4
Corners [Total: 9]
5
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
15
Fouls [Total: 30]
14
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 8]
4
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arouca will take on Nacional as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-22 at 2026-02-22 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Arouca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arouca, and the visiting side, Nacional. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-22
Time: 17:00
Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Arouca vs Nacional Football 22 Feb, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Nacional have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Arouca vs Nacional, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Arouca(4 trends)
- WonH2H3/3100%Arouca have won their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Arouca efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Nacional
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
Nacional(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won their last 3 3 matches vs Arouca
- LostH2H3/3100%Nacional have lost their last 3 3 matches vs Arouca
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Nacional concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/650%Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (0.67/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 45%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Arouca(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Arouca scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Nacional(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1486%Nacional scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (75% + 86%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Arouca(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Arouca are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
Nacional(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won their last 3 3 matches vs Arouca
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Nacional concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Arouca(2 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H3/3100%Arouca scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H3/3100%Arouca conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Nacional
Nacional(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Nacional concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Arouca(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Nacional
- Many CardsRecent13/1681%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(4 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Arouca
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1286%Nacional average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.7) — rank #5 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1486%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 7 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Nacional(1 trends) — avg 4.5 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersH2H3/3100%Nacional win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Arouca
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+12 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Arouca vs Nacional
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (13 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Arouca is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Arouca is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Arouca
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (13 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Arouca shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Arouca winning the second half
- Overall Result: Nacional has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Nacional handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.246
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.046
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.03 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Arouca vs Nacional Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga
Arouca vs Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for Nacional
Number of goals
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
60%
6
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
40%
4
50%
5
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
0%
0
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
50%
5
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
0%
0
20%
2
No
100%
10
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Arouca
Nacional
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Arouca
Nacional
xG
0.53
1.14
xGa
1.92
1.65
Number of goals
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
10%
1
10%
1
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
60%
6
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
40%
4
50%
5
X2
90%
9
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Arouca
Nacional
Played:
3
Wins
3
3
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
1.7
Goals
0.7
2
2
0.7
Goals Conceded
1.7
5
4
1.3
Yellow Cards
4.7
14
2
0.7
Red Cards
0.3
1
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
17
5.7
Corners
3
9
53
17.7
Fouls
11.7
35
3
1
Offsides
3.7
11
31
10.3
Shots
15.7
47
13
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.7
11
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 7 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.4 | 17 | 3.4 | 17 | 2.8 | 34 |
| Yellow Cards | 3.1 | 22 | 1.6 | 8 | 2.5 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corners | 4 | 28 | 2.2 | 11 | 3.3 | 39 |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 101 | 14.2 | 71 | 14.3 | 172 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0.8 | 9 |
| Shots | 8.6 | 60 | 8 | 40 | 8.3 | 100 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.9 | 20 | 2.2 | 11 | 2.6 | 31 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 3.2 | 19 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 4.7 | 28 | 4.5 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 87 | 14.3 | 171 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 15 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 61 | 11 | 66 | 10.6 | 127 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 23 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.8 | 45 |
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