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Arouca vs Nacional: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 February, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
9
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(10 total)
xG
0.80
(7.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.7
(87 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(33% acc)
Corners
4.4
(40 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
14.3
(129 total)
Offsides
0.7
(6 total)
8
Played
1
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(8 total)
xG
0.60
(4.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.4
(67 total)
Shots on Target
2.4
(28% acc)
Corners
3.4
(27 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.9
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.5
(4 total)
Fouls
13.1
(105 total)
Offsides
1.1
(9 total)
17
Played
3
Wins
5
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(18 total)
xG
0.70
(11.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.1
(154 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(31% acc)
Corners
3.9
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.5
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.4
(6 total)
Fouls
13.8
(234 total)
Offsides
0.9
(15 total)
8
Played
2
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(12 total)
xG
1.40
(11.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(82 total)
Shots on Target
4
(39% acc)
Corners
3.9
(31 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1
per match
xGa
2.00
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.5
(4 total)
Fouls
13.6
(109 total)
Offsides
2.1
(17 total)
9
Played
2
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(9 total)
xG
1.00
(9.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(116 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(30% acc)
Corners
3.9
(35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.8
(133 total)
Offsides
1.6
(14 total)
17
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(21 total)
xG
1.20
(20.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(198 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(34% acc)
Corners
3.9
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
14.2
(242 total)
Offsides
1.8
(31 total)
No prediction data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arouca will take on Nacional as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-22 at 2026-02-22 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Arouca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arouca, and the visiting side, Nacional. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-22
Time: 17:00
Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Arouca vs Nacional Football 22 Feb, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Nacional have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Arouca vs Nacional, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Arouca(5 trends)
- WonH2H3/3100%Arouca have won their last 3 3 matches
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Arouca efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won their last 3 3 matches
- LostH2H3/3100%Nacional have lost their last 3 3 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/850%Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (0.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/366.7%Both teams scored in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Arouca(4 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Arouca are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Nacional have not won their last 3 3 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Arouca(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Arouca scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
Nacional(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Arouca(2 trends) — avg 2.7 (+1% above league)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(2 trends) — avg 2.7 (+1% above league)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 7.0 cards per match in their last 3 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Arouca(1 trends) — avg 5.1 (+12% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/877%Arouca average 5.1 corners/match at home (+12% above league avg 4.6)
Nacional(2 trends) — avg 4.0 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersH2H3/3100%Nacional win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
- Few CornersLeague8/877%Nacional average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.6)
Combined average: 9.1 corners/match (Arouca 5.1 + Nacional 4.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Arouca vs Nacional
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (14 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (14 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Arouca
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Arouca scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (14 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nacional excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nacional scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Nacional has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Nacional handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.147
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.022
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Arouca vs Nacional Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
▲
4
5
8
14
19
-5
17
14
▼
4
5
8
21
26
-5
17
15
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
16
3
5
9
18
42
-24
14
17
3
3
11
12
29
-17
12
Arouca
VS
Nacional
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (5)
0.7 (2)
xG
1.30
1.50
Shots
10.3 (31)
15.7 (47)
Shots on Target
4.3 (13)
3.7 (11)
Corners
5.7 (17)
3 (9)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (2)
1.7 (5)
xGa
1.50
1.30
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 (4)
4.7 (14)
Red Cards
0.7 (2)
0.3 (1)
Fouls
17.7 (53)
11.7 (35)
Offsides
1 (3)
3.7 (11)
Last 6 Matches
Arouca
VS
Nacional
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.83
PPG
0.83
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
50%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
0.78
Avg xG
1.25
Arouca vs Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for Nacional
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
60%
6
40%
4
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
40%
4
60%
6
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
60%
6
40%
4
Total Corners
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Arouca
Nacional
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Arouca
Nacional
xG
0.72
1.32
xGa
1.65
1.96
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
30%
3
70%
7
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
50%
5
50%
5
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
50%
5
50%
5
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1.12
xG
1.31
51%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
3
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