Al Najma vs Al-Fateh: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 16 January, 2026 8:40
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Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.
| Category | Points | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Exact Score | 5 | Your prediction matches the final score exactly. |
| Outcome (1X2) | 2 | You correctly predicted the winner or a draw. |
| BTTS Bonus | +1 | You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't). |
| Total Goals Bonus | +1 | You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5. |
Examples:
- Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
• Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
• Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
• Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
• Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch) - Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
• Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
• Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
• Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Al Najma | HDP | Al-Fateh |
|---|---|---|
8.9% Very Low | -2.5 | 8.2% @ 7.50Very Low |
14.8% Very Low@ 11.00 | -2 | 13.9% @ 6.60Very Low |
20.7% Low@ 7.30 | -1.5 | 19.5% @ 3.55Very Low |
30.2% Low@ 6.25 | -1 | 28.8% @ 3.00Low |
39.7% Low@ 3.50 | -0.5 | 38.0% @ 2.08Low |
61.9% High@ 1.85 | +0.5 | 60.3% @ 1.36High |
71.2% High@ 1.42 | +1 | 69.8% @ 1.14High |
80.4% Very High@ 1.30 | +1.5 | 79.2% @ 1.12High |
86.1% Very High@ 1.11 | +2 | 85.1% @ 1.01Very High |
91.7% Very High@ 1.08 | +2.5 | 91.1% Very High |
⚽ Team Total Predictions
| Al Najma | Outcome | Al-Fateh |
|---|---|---|
86.3% Very High@ 1.37 | Over 0.5 | 85.8% @ 1.18Very High |
13.7% Very Low@ 3.40 | Under 0.5 | 14.2% @ 5.00Very Low |
59.1% Medium@ 2.90 | Over 1.5 | 58.0% @ 1.86Medium |
40.9% Medium@ 1.50 | Under 1.5 | 42.0% @ 2.00Medium |
32.1% Low@ 7.50 | Over 2.5 | 31.0% @ 3.75Low |
67.9% High@ 1.13 | Under 2.5 | 69.0% @ 1.27High |
14.1% Very Low@ 10.25 | Over 3.5 | 13.4% @ 7.50Very Low |
85.9% Very High@ 1.03 | Under 3.5 | 86.6% @ 1.08Very High |
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Al Najma vs Al-Fateh Friday, Jan 16th, 2026 at 8:40 Football
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Trends for Al Najma vs Al-Fateh Football 16 Jan, 2026 8:40
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
🟨
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
-
🎯
Clinical Finishing
Al-Fateh convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
Comprehensive betting trends for Al Najma vs Al-Fateh, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Al-Fateh @ 2.09 ✅ 
❌Al Najma
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Al Najma are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/10100%Al Najma have not won in 10 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches
- LostRecent9/1090%Al Najma have lost 9 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.65 ⚠️ 
Al Najma(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague2/450%Al Najma struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Al-Fateh(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/580%Al-Fateh score (1.00/match) and concede (2.40/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 80% of matches (league avg: 64%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.30 ⚠️ 
Al Najma(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague2/450%Al Najma struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent9/1090%Al Najma scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Al-Fateh Win or Draw @ 1.34 ✅ 
❌Al Najma
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Al Najma are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/10100%Al Najma have not won in 10 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Al Najma(1 trends) — avg 1.9 (-9% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague10/1089%Al Najma average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 2.2)
Al-Fateh(2 trends) — avg 2.5 (+19% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague10/1090%Al-Fateh average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+20% above league avg 2.2) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent8/1080%Al-Fateh receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.05 ⚠️ 
Al Najma(1 trends) — avg 2.8 (-44% below league)
- Few CornersLeague4/485%Al Najma average 2.8 corners/match at home (-44% below league avg 5.0)
Al-Fateh(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague5/576%Al-Fateh average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
+7 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Al Najma vs Al-Fateh
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Al Najma is stronger in the second half (17 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: Al Najma is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Al Najma
✈️ Al-Fateh
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Al Najma - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Al-Fateh - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Al Najma - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Al-Fateh - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Al-Fateh often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Al-Fateh scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Al Najma shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Al Najma winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Al Najma excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 9 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Al Najma scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Al-Fateh has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Al-Fateh handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Al Najma):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Al-Fateh):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Al Najma vs Al-Fateh Head-to-head statistics for Fri 16 Jan, 2026 @ 8:40 Saudi Pro League
Al Najma
Al Najma vs Al-Fateh: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Al Najma and away matches for Al-Fateh

