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Form
Al Najma
Al Najma
18th place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh
14th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Al-Fateh
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Al Najma vs Al-Fateh: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 16 January, 2026 8:40

Winner (1x2)3.80
Al Najma to Win
Probability 40%
Total Goals1.76
Over 2.5
Probability 73%
Both Teams to Score1.65
Yes
Probability 75%
Al Najma Total2.90
Home Over 1.5
Probability 59%
Al-Fateh Total1.27
Away Under 2.5
Probability 69%
Double Chance1.80
Al Najma/Draw
Probability 62%
Asian Handicap1.30
Al Najma +1.5
Probability 80%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap Al Najma +1.5
Odds 1.3
Win Prob. 80.4% EV: +4.6%
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Prediction League
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
8:40
Al Najma W 40%
:
Al-Fateh W 38%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Al Najma
l l d l l
6 Played
0 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (8 total)
xG
0.10 (0.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (57 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (33% acc)
Corners
2.8 (17 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (2 total)
Fouls
7.5 (45 total)
Offsides
2.2 (13 total)
8 Played
0 Wins
1 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (7 total)
xG
0.30 (2.7 total)
Shots per Match
8.8 (70 total)
Shots on Target
3 (34% acc)
Corners
3.5 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.1 (81 total)
Offsides
2.1 (17 total)
14 Played
0 Wins
2 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (15 total)
xG
0.20 (3.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.1 (127 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (34% acc)
Corners
3.2 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (7%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
9 (126 total)
Offsides
2.1 (30 total)
Al-Fateh
w w w w w
7 Played
4 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (12 total)
xG
0.40 (3.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.3 (93 total)
Shots on Target
5 (38% acc)
Corners
5.6 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (2 total)
Fouls
13.1 (92 total)
Offsides
1.7 (12 total)
7 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (7 total)
xG
0.40 (2.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.7 (75 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (39% acc)
Corners
4.3 (30 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12 (84 total)
Offsides
3.3 (23 total)
14 Played
6 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (19 total)
xG
0.40 (5.6 total)
Shots per Match
12 (168 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (38% acc)
Corners
4.9 (69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
12.6 (176 total)
Offsides
2.5 (35 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.99 vs 1.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.49%
0:1
4.32%
0:2
3.74%
0:3
2.16%
0:4
0.94%
0:5
0.32%
1
1:0
4.42%
1:1
8.2%
🔥
1:2
7.57%
1:3
4.65%
1:4
2.13%
1:5
0.78%
2
2:0
3.92%
2:1
7.75%
2:2
7.6%
2:3
4.94%
2:4
2.39%
2:5
0.92%
3
3:0
2.32%
3:1
4.86%
3:2
5.05%
3:3
3.47%
3:4
1.77%
3:5
0.72%
4
4:0
1.03%
4:1
2.28%
4:2
2.5%
4:3
1.81%
4:4
0.97%
4:5
0.41%
5
5:0
0.36%
5:1
0.85%
5:2
0.99%
5:3
0.75%
5:4
0.42%
5:5
0.19%
Hotspot: 1:1 (8.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.5%
0
8.7%
1
15.9%
2
19.8%
3
19.1%
4
15.1%
5
10.0%
6
5.5%
7
2.4%
8
0.8%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Al NajmaHDPAl-Fateh
8.9%
Very Low
-2.5
8.2%
@ 7.50Very Low
14.8%
Very Low@ 11.00
-2
13.9%
@ 6.60Very Low
20.7%
Low@ 7.30
-1.5
19.5%
@ 3.55Very Low
30.2%
Low@ 6.25
-1
28.8%
@ 3.00Low
39.7%
Low@ 3.50
-0.5
38.0%
@ 2.08Low
61.9%
High@ 1.85
+0.5
60.3%
@ 1.36High
71.2%
High@ 1.42
+1
69.8%
@ 1.14High
80.4%
Very High@ 1.30
+1.5
79.2%
@ 1.12High
86.1%
Very High@ 1.11
+2
85.1%
@ 1.01Very High
91.7%
Very High@ 1.08
+2.5
91.1%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Al NajmaOutcomeAl-Fateh
86.3%
Very High@ 1.37
Over 0.5
85.8%
@ 1.18Very High
13.7%
Very Low@ 3.40
Under 0.5
14.2%
@ 5.00Very Low
59.1%
Medium@ 2.90
Over 1.5
58.0%
@ 1.86Medium
40.9%
Medium@ 1.50
Under 1.5
42.0%
@ 2.00Medium
32.1%
Low@ 7.50
Over 2.5
31.0%
@ 3.75Low
67.9%
High@ 1.13
Under 2.5
69.0%
@ 1.27High
14.1%
Very Low@ 10.25
Over 3.5
13.4%
@ 7.50Very Low
85.9%
Very High@ 1.03
Under 3.5
86.6%
@ 1.08Very High
In this exciting Saudi Pro League 2025-2026 matchup, Al Najma will take on Al-Fateh as part of the 2025-2026 season in Saudi Pro League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-16 at 2026-01-16 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Al Najma, and the visiting side, Al-Fateh. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Al-Fateh. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-16 Time: 13:40 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Al Najma vs Al-Fateh Friday, Jan 16th, 2026 at 8:40 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 72.6%
EV: +27.7%
Stake: $3.29
1.76
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 75%
EV: +23.7%
Stake: $3.85
1.65
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 62%
EV: +11.5%
Stake: $3.13
1.80
Win to Nil Al-Fateh NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 89.2%
EV: +8.8%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Asian Handicap Al Najma +1.5
Value
Prob: 80.4%
EV: +4.6%
Stake: $8.33
1.30
Asian Handicap Al Najma +1
Value
Prob: 71.2%
EV: +1.1%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 06:15:18
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Trends for Al Najma vs Al-Fateh Football 16 Jan, 2026 8:40

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishing

    Al-Fateh convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing

🎯 Betting Analysis

Al Najma vs Al-Fateh

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Al-Fateh is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
🔄 Second Half: Al Najma is stronger in the second half (17 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: Al Najma is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Al Najma

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.17

✈️ Al-Fateh

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.18

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Al Najma - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6

✈️ Al-Fateh - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Al Najma - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Al-Fateh - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Al-Fateh often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Al-Fateh scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Al Najma shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 13 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Al Najma winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Al Najma excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 9 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Al Najma scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Al-Fateh has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Al-Fateh handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.06
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.009
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.053 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Al Najma):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Al-Fateh):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Al Najma
Al-Fateh

Al Najma vs Al-Fateh Head-to-head statistics for Fri 16 Jan, 2026 @ 8:40 Saudi Pro League

Saudi League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Al-Fateh
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Al Najma
VS
Al-Fateh
0/6 (0%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.33 PPG 2.50
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
67% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
- Avg xG -
Al Najma
L L D L L
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
12 Jan 2026 - 15:10
Al-Hazm
3 2
Al Najma
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
8 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Al Najma
3 4
Al-Ettifaq
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
2 Jan 2026 - 13:30
Al Najma
2 2
Al Khaleej Saihat
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
29 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Al Taawon
1 0
Al Najma
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
25 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Al Suqoor
2 1
Al Najma
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 13:40
Damac
0 0
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
W W W W W
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
13 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Al-Fateh
3 1
Al Riyadh
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
10 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Al Suqoor
0 1
Al-Fateh
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
3 Jan 2026 - 13:10
Al-Fateh
2 0
Al Shabab
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
29 Dec 2025 - 14:35
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 1
Al-Fateh
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
26 Dec 2025 - 13:05
Al-Fateh
2 1
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:40
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 1
Al-Fateh

Al Najma vs Al-Fateh: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Al Najma and away matches for Al-Fateh

Number of goals
Al Najma
Under
Over
Al-Fateh
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3
1X2
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
1
0% 0
60% 6
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
80% 8
30% 3
Double Chance
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
20% 2
70% 7
X2
100% 10
40% 4
Total Goals
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Al Najma
Under
Over
Al-Fateh
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
xG
0.79
1.4
xGa
2
2.11
Number of goals
Al Najma
Under
Over
Al-Fateh
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
90% 9
50% 5
Total Goals
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Number of goals
Al Najma
Under
Over
Al-Fateh
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1.70 xG 1.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found