Form
Form
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21
Preview
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
Form
VS
16:00
21 Mar 2026
Match Postponed
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Shakhtar Donetsk
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 March, 2026 11:00

Winner (1x2)-
Shakhtar Donetsk to Win
Probability 60%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 56%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 55%
Zorya Luhansk Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 96%
Shakhtar Donetsk Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 76%
Double Chance-
Draw/Shakhtar Donetsk
Probability 85%
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Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026
16:00
Zorya Luhansk W 15%
:
Shakhtar Donetsk W 60%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.79 vs 1.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.4%
0:1
14.86%
🔥
0:2
11.75%
0:3
6.19%
0:4
2.45%
0:5
0.77%
1
1:0
6.97%
1:1
11.48%
1:2
9.44%
1:3
5.16%
1:4
2.12%
1:5
0.69%
2
2:0
2.58%
2:1
4.42%
2:2
3.78%
2:3
2.14%
2:4
0.91%
2:5
0.31%
3
3:0
0.64%
3:1
1.13%
3:2
1.01%
3:3
0.59%
3:4
0.26%
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
0.12%
4:1
0.22%
4:2
0.2%
4:3
0.12%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.03%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (14.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.4%
0
21.8%
1
25.8%
2
20.7%
3
12.6%
4
6.3%
5
2.4%
6
0.7%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Zorya LuhanskHDPShakhtar Donetsk
0.7%
Very Low
-2.5
13.9%
Very Low
2.3%
Very Low
-2
23.2%
Low
3.9%
Very Low
-1.5
32.5%
Low
9.5%
Very Low
-1
46.2%
Medium
15.1%
Very Low
-0.5
59.9%
Medium
40.1%
Medium
+0.5
84.9%
Very High
53.8%
Medium
+1
90.5%
Very High
67.5%
High
+1.5
96.1%
Very High
76.8%
High
+2
97.7%
Very High
86.2%
Very High
+2.5
99.3%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Zorya LuhanskOutcomeShakhtar Donetsk
17.7%
Very Low
Over 1.5
50.4%
Medium
82.3%
Very High
Under 1.5
49.6%
Medium
4.2%
Very Low
Over 2.5
24.0%
Low
95.8%
Very High
Under 2.5
76.0%
High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk Saturday, Mar 21st, 2026 at 11:00 Football

AI Value Bets

No value bets found for this match.(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk Football 21 Mar, 2026 11:00

Team Form Comparison

Zorya Luhansk Home
Form Index 59
Goals 9:3
PPG 2.20
Shakhtar Donetsk Away
Form Index 76
Goals 8:2
PPG 2.60
DINDRuh LWOLEDKARWSK PoW
SHAWKolosDHAMWOLEWLECW
3/5
Won
4/5
5/5
Scored
4/5
2/5
Scored 2+
3/5
3/5
Clean sheet
3/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
2/5
BTTS
2/5

Zorya Luhansk

DINDRuh LWOLEDKARWSK PoW
Won 3/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 2/5

Shakhtar Donetsk

SHAWKolosDHAMWOLEWLECW
Won 4/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 0/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 5
BTTS 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Shakhtar Donetsk unbeaten 5/5

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • ⚖️
    Conflicting Goal Signals

    Venue form and H2H/scoring signals disagree on Over/Under 2.5 — mixed confidence only

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Shakhtar Donetsk create high-quality chances consistently (1.51 xG avg) — strong attacking threat

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Zorya Luhansk Home
Shakhtar Donetsk Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Second half: Shakhtar Donetsk is stronger (19 vs 13).
  • Final stage: Shakhtar Donetsk is stronger in the closing minutes (13 vs 7).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.11 factor
Home Pressure 0.11 Away 0.17

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
3 0.15
7 0.35
First Half (0–45)
4 0.20
13 0.65
Second Half (46–90)
19 0.95
7 0.35
Final Stage (76–90)
13 0.65

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.171 Strong
Pressure Away +0.060 Moderate
Timing Away +0.007 Weak
Defense Away +0.008 Weak

Momentum

Zorya Luhansk Metric Shakhtar Donetsk
2 Positive Sequences 8
10 Comeback Goals 7
5 Negative Sequences 4
4 Killer Goals 4

Pressure

Zorya Luhansk Metric Shakhtar Donetsk
3 Early Pressure 3
7 Late Pressure 13
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Zorya Luhansk Metric Shakhtar Donetsk
3 Fast Starts 3
4 Half-time Spurts 1
6 Second Half Starts 6
7 Late Surges 13

Defense

Zorya Luhansk Metric Shakhtar Donetsk
5 Early Conceded 3
3 Late Conceded 6
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Second half winner: high probability of Shakhtar Donetsk winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Shakhtar Donetsk excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Shakhtar Donetsk holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Zorya Luhansk

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Shakhtar Donetsk

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Shakhtar Donetsk has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and away win markets.

Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk

Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Mar, 2026 @ 11:00 Ukrainian Premier League

10 Played 9
40% 4-4-2 Win Rate 56% 5-4-0
60 Form Index 77
Team Rating
27 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Zorya Luhansk Shakhtar Donetsk Results 5 95 Attack 38 62 Defense 13 87 Control 50 50 Discipline 50 50 Efficiency 5 95 Average 27 73 73

Attack

1.40
Goals
2
Expected Goals
0
Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0

Defense

1
Conceded
0.44
Expected Goals Against
0
Shots Allowed
0
+0.40
Goal Difference
+1.56
50%
Clean Sheets
78%

Possession & Passing

Possession
Pass Accuracy
0
Passes
0
0
Accurate Passes
0

Discipline

1.10
Yellow Cards
1.11
0
Red Cards
0
0
Fouls
0
0
Offsides
0

Efficiency

1.60
PPG
2.11
Goals vs xG
Shot Conversion
Save %
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Zorya Luhansk and away matches for Shakhtar Donetsk

Number of goals
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
1X2
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
40% 4
70% 7
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
60% 6
30% 3
Total Goals
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
20% 2
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
50% 5
20% 2
Total Corners
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
7.5
0% 0
0% 0
100% 4
0% 0
8.5
0% 0
0% 0
100% 4
0% 0
9.5
0% 0
0% 0
100% 4
0% 0
10.5
0% 0
0% 0
100% 4
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
30% 3
80% 8
No
70% 7
20% 2
1X2 HT - FT
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
50% 5
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
xG
0
1.12
xGa
0
0.97
Number of goals
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
20% 2
0% 0
No
80% 8
100% 10
1X2
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
20% 2
70% 7
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
12
80% 8
30% 3
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
60% 6
90% 9
No
40% 4
10% 1
Number of goals
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
20% 2
80% 8
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
80% 8
20% 2
Total Goals
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
50% 5
90% 9
No
50% 5
10% 1
0.72 Expected goals 1.64
45% Ball Possession 55%
1 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Goal 1
1 Shots Off Goal 1
0 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Zorya Luhansk will take on Shakhtar Donetsk as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ukrainian Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-03-21 at 2026-03-21 in the famous Stadion Livyi Bereh. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Zorya Luhansk, and the visiting side, Shakhtar Donetsk. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Shakhtar Donetsk. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-21 Time: 16:00 Location: Stadion Livyi Bereh Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!