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Tondela
Tondela vs Nacional: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 26 April, 2026 12:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
▼
3
4
5
19
18
1
13
13
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
15
2
3
8
13
27
-14
9
16
2
3
7
7
20
-13
9
17
2
3
7
13
34
-21
9
Last 6 Matches
Tondela
VS
Nacional
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.33
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.92
Avg xG
1.17
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
0.60
xG [Total: 1.42]
0.82
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 6]
3
3
Corners [Total: 8]
5
4
Offsides [Total: 5]
1
15
Fouls [Total: 30]
14
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
4
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Tondela will take on Nacional as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 31 and will take place on 2026-04-26 at 2026-04-26 in the famous Estádio João Cardoso.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Tondela, and the visiting side, Nacional. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-26
Time: 16:00
Location: Estádio João Cardoso
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Tondela vs Nacional Football 26 Apr, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Nacional have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Toothless Attack
Tondela struggle to score — failed to find net in 4/5 recent home matches
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Tondela vs Nacional, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Tondela(2 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/1283%Tondela have not won in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Nacional concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Tondela(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/580%Tondela struggle to score at home (0.40/match) - fail to score in 80% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Tondela(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent9/1275%Tondela scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1486%Nacional scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (75% + 86%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Tondela(2 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/1283%Tondela have not won in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Nacional concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Tondela(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/580%Tondela struggle to score at home (0.40/match) - fail to score in 80% of matches
Nacional(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Nacional concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Tondela(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent9/1275%Tondela receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1283%Nacional average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+12% above league avg 2.8) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1486%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Tondela(3 trends) — avg 2.8 (-39% below league)
- Few CornersLeague5/585%Tondela average 2.8 corners/match at home (-39% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent5/5100%Tondela win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 5 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Few CornersRecent10/1283%Tondela win 4 or fewer corners in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+7 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Tondela vs Nacional
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Nacional is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 0).
🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Tondela
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
12
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Nacional
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Tondela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
✈️ Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Tondela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Nacional often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 0)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Nacional scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nacional shows superior performance after the break (8 vs 4 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Nacional winning the second half
- Overall Result: Nacional has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Nacional handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.099
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.009 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.073
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Tondela):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Tondela vs Nacional Head-to-head statistics for Sun 26 Apr, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Tondela vs Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Tondela and away matches for Nacional
Number of goals
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Tondela
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
1X2
Tondela
Nacional
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
50%
5
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Tondela
Nacional
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
50%
5
50%
5
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Tondela
Nacional
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Tondela
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Tondela
Nacional
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Tondela
Nacional
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Tondela
Nacional
xG
1.22
1.14
xGa
1.65
1.65
Number of goals
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Tondela
Nacional
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Tondela
Nacional
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Tondela
Nacional
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Tondela
Nacional
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Tondela
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Tondela
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Tondela
Nacional
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Tondela
Nacional
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Tondela
Nacional
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Tondela
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Tondela
Nacional
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.4 | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.6 | 7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 7 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.7 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 11 | 3 | 21 | 2.7 | 32 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 14 | 3.9 | 27 | 3.4 | 41 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 66 | 15.4 | 108 | 14.5 | 174 |
| Offsides | 3.4 | 17 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 66 | 9.3 | 65 | 10.9 | 131 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.2 | 21 | 3.4 | 24 | 3.8 | 45 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 3.2 | 19 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 4.7 | 28 | 4.5 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 87 | 14.3 | 171 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 15 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 61 | 11 | 66 | 10.6 | 127 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 23 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.8 | 45 |
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