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Sunderland vs Leeds: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 28 December, 2025 8:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.55 vs 0.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.02%
0:1
7.73%
0:2
3.32%
0:3
0.95%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
13.26%
🔥
⭐
1:1
12.13%
1:2
5.53%
1:3
1.67%
1:4
0.38%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
9.74%
⭐
2:1
9.47%
⭐
2:2
4.57%
2:3
1.46%
2:4
0.35%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
4.77%
⭐
3:1
4.91%
⭐
3:2
2.51%
⭐
3:3
0.84%
3:4
0.21%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
1.75%
⭐
4:1
1.91%
⭐
4:2
1.02%
⭐
4:3
0.36%
⭐
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.52%
⭐
5:1
0.59%
⭐
5:2
0.33%
⭐
5:3
0.12%
⭐
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
▲
9
2
6
28
25
3
29
6
▲
7
6
4
19
17
2
27
7
▼
7
5
5
31
28
3
26
15
▼
5
7
5
26
29
-3
22
16
▲
5
4
8
24
31
-7
19
17
▼
5
3
9
17
26
-9
18
1.44
xG
0.87
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1
Last 6 Matches
Sunderland
VS
Leeds
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
1.33
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
2.33
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
33%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
0.72
Avg xG
1.94
Missing Players
-
Injured - Shoulder injury
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Sunderland will take on Leeds as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2025-12-28 at 2025-12-28 in the famous Stadium of Light.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sunderland, and the visiting side, Leeds. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Sunderland or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-28
Time: 14:00
Location: Stadium of Light
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sunderland vs Leeds Sunday, Dec 28th, 2025 at 8:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Sunderland vs Leeds Football 28 Dec, 2025 8:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Sunderland have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Sunderland score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Sunderland vs Leeds, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Sunderland @ 2.68 ✅ 
Sunderland
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%Sunderland are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Premier League matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/475%Sunderland efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 4 Premier League matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Sunderland score 1.88 goals/match at home (+33% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Sunderland concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Sunderland to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.91 
Sunderland(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Sunderland score (1.88/match) and concede (0.88/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.29 ⚠️ 
Sunderland(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Sunderland score 1.88 goals/match at home (+33% above league average)
Leeds(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H3/475%Leeds have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 Premier League matches
Combined 1.9 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Sunderland Win or Draw @ 1.47 ✅ 
Sunderland
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/4100%Sunderland are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%Sunderland are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Premier League matches
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Sunderland concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Sunderland demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Sunderland Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.70 ⚠️
Sunderland
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Sunderland score 1.88 goals/match at home (+33% above league average)
Sunderland's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.67 ✅
Sunderland(2 trends) — avg 2.1 (+10% above league)
- Many CardsH2H3/475%Sunderland receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 4 Premier League matches
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%Sunderland average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.9)
Leeds(2 trends) — avg 2 (+5% above league)
- Many CardsH2H4/4100%Leeds receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 Premier League matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Leeds average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 1.9)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 6.3 cards per match in their last 4 H2H matches
Sunderland aggressive (100% H2H) drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.67
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.73 ✅
Sunderland(2 trends) — avg 3.9 (-19% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/884%Sunderland average 3.9 corners/match at home (-19% below league avg 4.8)
- Few CornersRecent13/1776%Sunderland win 4 or fewer corners in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Leeds(1 trends) — avg 3.6 (-26% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Leeds average 3.6 corners/match in away matches (-26% below league avg 4.8)
Combined average: 7.5 corners/match (Sunderland 3.9 + Leeds 3.6) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+11 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Sunderland vs Leeds
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Leeds is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sunderland
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Leeds
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.22
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sunderland - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Leeds - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sunderland - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Leeds - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Leeds often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Leeds scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Leeds to win the first half
- Overall Result: Leeds has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Leeds handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.024
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.104
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sunderland):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Leeds):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Sunderland vs Leeds Head-to-head statistics for Sun 28 Dec, 2025 @ 8:00 Premier League
Sunderland vs Leeds: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sunderland and away matches for Leeds
Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sunderland
Leeds
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
1X2
Sunderland
Leeds
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Sunderland
Leeds
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Sunderland
Leeds
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
20%
2
50%
5
Total Corners
Sunderland
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Leeds
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Sunderland
Leeds
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Sunderland
Leeds
xG
0.78
1.6
xGa
1.35
1.6
Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sunderland
Leeds
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Sunderland
Leeds
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Sunderland
Leeds
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Sunderland
Leeds
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Leeds
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Sunderland
Leeds
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2
Sunderland
Leeds
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Sunderland
Leeds
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Sunderland
Leeds
0-1
70%
7
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
70%
7
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Leeds
Yes
60%
6
0%
0
No
40%
4
100%
10
Team comparison
Prediction
Sunderland or Draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 44.56% | Low | 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 55.44% | Medium | 1.49 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 22.82% | Low | 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 77.18% | High | 1.45 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 19.37% | Low | 7.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 80.63% | High | 1.12 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 6.32% | Low | 8.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.68% | High | 1.10 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Sunderland
Leeds
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.9 | 15 | 0.4 | 4 | 1.1 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 7 | 1.1 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.4 | 19 | 1.7 | 15 | 2 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 31 | 3.2 | 29 | 3.5 | 60 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 87 | 9.4 | 85 | 10.1 | 172 |
| Offsides | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 83 | 8.6 | 77 | 9.4 | 160 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 26 | 2.9 | 26 | 3.1 | 52 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 6 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.4 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 12 | 2.4 | 19 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 18 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.6 | 27 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 5.1 | 46 | 3.1 | 25 | 4.2 | 71 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 95 | 11.4 | 91 | 10.9 | 186 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 15 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 139 | 9.9 | 79 | 12.8 | 218 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 43 | 3.1 | 25 | 4 | 68 |
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