Form
Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Sunderland
Sunderland
Form
VS
15:00
24 May 2026
Chelsea
Chelsea
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Chelsea
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Sunderland vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 24 May, 2026 10:00

Winner (1x2)2.06
Chelsea to Win
Probability 64%
Total Goals1.83
Over 2.5
Probability 66%
Both Teams to Score1.65
Yes
Probability 61%
Sunderland Total1.38
Home Over 0.5
Probability 69%
Chelsea Total1.27
Away Under 2.5
Probability 56%
Double Chance1.32
Draw/Chelsea
Probability 83%
Asian Handicap1.11
Sunderland +2
Probability 69%
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Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
15:00
Sunderland W 17%
:
Chelsea W 64%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.12 vs 2.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.59%
0:1
8.03%
0:2
8.97%
0:3
6.68%
0:4
3.73%
0:5
1.67%
1
1:0
3.77%
1:1
8.69%
1:2
10.01%
🔥
1:3
7.68%
1:4
4.42%
1:5
2.03%
2
2:0
1.97%
2:1
4.69%
2:2
5.57%
2:3
4.4%
2:4
2.6%
2:5
1.23%
3
3:0
0.69%
3:1
1.69%
3:2
2.06%
3:3
1.68%
3:4
1.02%
3:5
0.5%
4
4:0
0.18%
4:1
0.46%
4:2
0.57%
4:3
0.48%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.15%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.13%
5:3
0.11%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:2 (10.0%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.6%
0
11.8%
1
19.6%
2
22.1%
3
18.9%
4
13.0%
5
7.0%
6
2.9%
7
0.9%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

SunderlandHDPChelsea
1.4%
Very Low@ 13.00
-2.5
17.6%
@ 7.50Very Low
3.5%
Very Low
-2
27.0%
@ 6.60Low
5.6%
Very Low@ 7.00
-1.5
36.4%
@ 3.66Low
11.4%
Very Low@ 6.80
-1
48.7%
@ 2.89Medium
17.2%
Very Low@ 3.62
-0.5
61.0%
@ 2.04High
39.0%
Low@ 1.88
+0.5
82.8%
@ 1.31Very High
51.3%
Medium@ 1.45
+1
88.6%
@ 1.10Very High
63.6%
High@ 1.31
+1.5
94.5%
@ 1.07Very High
73.0%
High@ 1.11
+2
96.5%
Very High
82.4%
Very High@ 1.06
+2.5
98.6%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

SunderlandOutcomeChelsea
29.7%
Low@ 2.85
Over 1.5
61.2%
@ 1.91High
70.3%
High@ 1.45
Under 1.5
38.9%
@ 1.93Low
10.1%
Very Low@ 8.00
Over 2.5
34.5%
@ 3.90Low
89.9%
Very High@ 1.11
Under 2.5
65.5%
@ 1.27High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sunderland vs Chelsea Sunday, May 24th, 2026 at 10:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Sunderland vs Chelsea

7 Found

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Away Total Over 1.5
High Value
1.91
Prob 72.4%
EV +38.2%
Stake $2.75
Match Winner Chelsea
High Value
2.06
Prob 64.1%
EV +32.0%
Stake $2.36
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
1.83
Prob 66.1%
EV +20.9%
Stake $3.01
Double Chance X2
Value
1.32
Prob 83.4%
EV +10.1%
Stake $7.81
Double Chance X2
Value
1.32
Prob 83.4%
EV +10.1%
Stake $7.81
Double Chance 12
Value
1.31
Prob 80.7%
EV +5.7%
Stake $8.06
Home Total Sunderland Under 1.5
Value
1.45
Prob 70.3%
EV +2.0%
Stake $5.56
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-22 02:04:16
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Trends for Sunderland vs Chelsea Football 24 May, 2026 10:00

Team Form Comparison

Sunderland Home
Form Index 46
Goals 2:9
PPG 0.80
Chelsea Away
Form Index 52
Goals 7:13
PPG 0.80
FULLBRILTOTWNOTLMUND
ASTWPARLEVELBRILLIVD
1/5
Won
1/5
2/5
Scored
3/5
0/5
Scored 2+
2/5
2/5
Clean sheet
0/5
2/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
1/5
BTTS
3/5

Sunderland

FULLBRILTOTWNOTLMUND
Won 1/5
Scored 2/5
Scored 2+ 0/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 1/5

Chelsea

ASTWPARLEVELBRILLIVD
Won 1/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 3/5
Head-to-Head · Last 1
BTTS 1/1
Over 2.5 1/1

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Scoring Concern

    Sunderland failed to score in their last 2 home league matches — short streak; treat sample size cautiously

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Sunderland Home
Chelsea Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Second half: Chelsea is stronger (13 vs 6).
  • Final stage: Chelsea is stronger in the closing minutes (9 vs 4).

Recommendation: Teams are evenly matched. Consider draw or exact score markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Moderate 20 matches
Home Momentum -0.04 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.16

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.20
Fast Start (0–15)
5 0.25
10 0.50
First Half (0–45)
9 0.45
6 0.30
Second Half (46–90)
13 0.65
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
9 0.45

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.058 Moderate
Pressure Away +0.086 Moderate
Timing Away +0.015 Weak
Defense Home +0.030 Weak

Momentum

Sunderland Metric Chelsea
2 Positive Sequences 2
5 Comeback Goals 6
5 Negative Sequences 7
7 Killer Goals 10

Pressure

Sunderland Metric Chelsea
4 Early Pressure 5
4 Late Pressure 9
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Sunderland Metric Chelsea
4 Fast Starts 5
6 Half-time Spurts 4
2 Second Half Starts 4
4 Late Surges 9

Defense

Sunderland Metric Chelsea
1 Early Conceded 6
8 Late Conceded 2
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Second half winner: high probability of Chelsea winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Chelsea excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: teams are evenly matched — consider draw or exact score markets.

Summary

Sunderland

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Chelsea

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Chelsea has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and away win markets.

Sunderland
Chelsea

Sunderland vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Sun 24 May, 2026 @ 10:00 Premier League

18 Played 18
44% 8-6-4 Win Rate 39% 7-5-6
45 Form Index 53
6.88 Team Rating 6.88
48 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Sunderland Chelsea Results 48 52 Attack 11 89 Defense 63 37 Control 15 85 Discipline 90 10 Efficiency 62 38 Average 48 52 52

Attack

1.28
Goals
1.72
1.03
Expected Goals
1.57
11.3
Shots
11.6
3.5
Shots on Target
4.6
3.8
Corners
5.2

Defense

1.06
Conceded
1.39
1.16
Expected Goals Against
1.35
11.6
Shots Allowed
10.9
+0.22
Goal Difference
+0.33
39%
Clean Sheets
22%

Possession & Passing

47%
Possession
57%
80%
Pass Accuracy
87%
376
Passes
523
299
Accurate Passes
454

Discipline

1.83
Yellow Cards
2.67
0.06
Red Cards
0.22
9.9
Fouls
10.8
1.1
Offsides
1.7

Efficiency

1.67
PPG
1.44
+0.24
Goals vs xG
+0.16
11%
Shot Conversion
15%
75%
Save %
65%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Chelsea
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Sunderland vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sunderland and away matches for Chelsea

Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Sunderland
Chelsea
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Sunderland
Chelsea
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
30% 3
80% 8
Double Chance
Sunderland
Chelsea
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
70% 7
20% 2
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
Sunderland
Chelsea
0-1
40% 4
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Total Corners
Sunderland
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Chelsea
Yes
30% 3
0% 0
No
70% 7
100% 10
1X2 HT - FT
Sunderland
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
70% 7
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Sunderland
Chelsea
xG
1.23
1.12
xGa
1.31
1.29
Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Sunderland
Chelsea
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Sunderland
Chelsea
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
40% 4
70% 7
Double Chance
Sunderland
Chelsea
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
60% 6
30% 3
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Sunderland
Chelsea
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
10% 1
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Chelsea
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
Number of goals
Sunderland
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Sunderland
Chelsea
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Sunderland
Chelsea
1
40% 4
0% 0
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Sunderland
Chelsea
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
60% 6
100% 10
Total Goals
Sunderland
Chelsea
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Sunderland
Chelsea
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1.18 Expected goals 2.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots Off Goal 9
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
English Premier League 2025/26 Season Preview
Posted on
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Sunderland will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-24 at 2026-05-24 in the famous Stadium of Light. The referee for the game will be C. Kavanagh. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sunderland, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest +2.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-24 Time: 15:00 Location: Stadium of Light Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!