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Sturm Graz
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Sturm Graz vs FK Crvena Zvezda: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 11 December, 2025 11:45
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ACCA Safe Tip
High Safety
Total - Away
FK Crvena Zvezda Under 1.5 Goals
Odds:
1.9
75%
EV: +42.5%
Risky Tip
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.94 vs 0.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
21.15%
🔥
⭐
0:1
12.99%
⭐
0:2
3.99%
0:3
0.82%
0:4
0.13%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
17.22%
⭐
1:1
13.24%
1:2
4.88%
1:3
1.17%
1:4
0.2%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
7.01%
⭐
2:1
6.47%
2:2
2.82%
2:3
0.78%
2:4
0.16%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
1.9%
3:1
2.05%
3:2
1.04%
3:3
0.33%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
0.39%
4:1
0.48%
4:2
0.28%
4:3
0.1%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.06%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.06%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:0 (21.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Sturm Graz
VS
FK Crvena Zvezda
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.80
PPG
1.40
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
67%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
-
Avg xG
-
0.94
xG [Total: 1.68]
0.74
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
4
Corners [Total: 8]
4
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
15
Fouls [Total: 25]
10
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 8]
3
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, Sturm Graz will take on FK Crvena Zvezda as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 6 and will take place on 2025-12-11 at 2025-12-11 in the famous Merkur Arena.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Sturm Graz, and the visiting side, FK Crvena Zvezda. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-11
Time: 17:45
Location: Merkur Arena
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Sturm Graz vs FK Crvena Zvezda Thursday, Dec 11th, 2025 at 11:45 Football
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Trends for Sturm Graz vs FK Crvena Zvezda Football 11 Dec, 2025 11:45
ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.
Comprehensive betting trends for Sturm Graz vs FK Crvena Zvezda, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — FK Crvena Zvezda @ 2.42 ✅ 
Sturm Graz
- Not WinRecent9/1182%Sturm Graz have not won in 9 of their last 11 UEFA Europa League matches
- Not WinRecent4/580%Sturm Graz have not won in 4 of their last 5 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
FK Crvena Zvezda confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.35 ⚠️
Sturm Graz(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent9/1182%Sturm Graz scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 11 UEFA Europa League matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — FK Crvena Zvezda Win or Draw @ 1.44 ✅ 
Sturm Graz
- Not WinRecent9/1182%Sturm Graz have not won in 9 of their last 11 UEFA Europa League matches
- Not WinRecent4/580%Sturm Graz have not won in 4 of their last 5 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
FK Crvena Zvezda confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Sturm Graz(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent9/1182%Sturm Graz receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 11 UEFA Europa League matches
- Many CardsRecent4/580%Sturm Graz receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
FK Crvena Zvezda(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent4/580%FK Crvena Zvezda receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 UEFA Europa League matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.76 ✅ 
Sturm Graz(2 trends) — avg 3.3 (-31% below league)
- Few CornersRecent4/4100%Sturm Graz win 4 or fewer corners in 4 of their last 4 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
- Few CornersRecent9/1090%Sturm Graz win 4 or fewer corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches
FK Crvena Zvezda(1 trends) — avg 2.5 (-48% below league)
- Few CornersRecent2/2100%FK Crvena Zvezda win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Europa League (Away) matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.76
🎯 Betting Analysis
Sturm Graz vs FK Crvena Zvezda
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: FK Crvena Zvezda is stronger in the second half (15 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: FK Crvena Zvezda is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚡ Final Stage: FK Crvena Zvezda is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Sturm Graz
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.13
✈️ FK Crvena Zvezda
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Sturm Graz - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ FK Crvena Zvezda - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Sturm Graz - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ FK Crvena Zvezda - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: FK Crvena Zvezda shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of FK Crvena Zvezda winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: FK Crvena Zvezda excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of FK Crvena Zvezda scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.306
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.024
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Sturm Graz):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FK Crvena Zvezda):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Sturm Graz vs FK Crvena Zvezda Head-to-head statistics for Thu 11 Dec, 2025 @ 11:45 UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz vs FK Crvena Zvezda: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Sturm Graz and away matches for FK Crvena Zvezda
Number of goals
Number of goals
Sturm Graz
Under
Over
FK Crvena Zvezda
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
60%
6
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
40%
4
70%
7
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Sturm Graz
Under
Over
FK Crvena Zvezda
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
75%
6
25%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
88%
7
13%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
88%
7
13%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
88%
7
13%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
xG
0.25
1.17
xGa
2.07
1.61
Number of goals
Number of goals
Sturm Graz
Under
Over
FK Crvena Zvezda
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
50%
5
60%
6
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
12
50%
5
40%
4
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Sturm Graz
Under
Over
FK Crvena Zvezda
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and -3.5 goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 24.22% | Low | 2.31 |
| Under 1.5 | 75.78% | High | 1.65 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 16.98% | Low | 1.98 |
| Under 1.5 | 83.02% | High | 1.90 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 6.96% | Low | 5.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.04% | High | 1.17 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 3.92% | Low | 4.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 96.08% | High | 1.25 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.8 | 4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1.4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1.8 | 9 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Corners | 1.5 | 3 | 2.7 | 8 | 2.2 | 11 |
| Fouls | 18 | 36 | 17.7 | 53 | 17.8 | 89 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 3 | 2.3 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| Shots | 9 | 18 | 8.3 | 25 | 8.6 | 43 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 10 | 2.3 | 7 | 3.4 | 17 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 3 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.8 | 4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.8 | 9 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 2 | |
| Corners | 6.3 | 19 | 2.5 | 5 | 4.8 | 24 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 37 | 6.5 | 13 | 10 | 50 |
| Offsides | 2.7 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2.4 | 12 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 41 | 8 | 16 | 11.4 | 57 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 12 | 2.5 | 5 | 3.4 | 17 |
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