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Samsunspor
Samsunspor vs AEK Athens FC: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 11 December, 2025 11:45
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.52 vs 0.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.61%
⭐
0:1
7.73%
0:2
2.82%
0:3
0.68%
0:4
0.12%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
13.78%
🔥
⭐
1:1
12.39%
1:2
5.37%
1:3
1.51%
1:4
0.31%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
8.95%
⭐
2:1
9.57%
⭐
2:2
4.86%
2:3
1.58%
2:4
0.37%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
3.87%
⭐
3:1
4.8%
⭐
3:2
2.81%
⭐
3:3
1.04%
3:4
0.28%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
1.26%
⭐
4:1
1.77%
⭐
4:2
1.18%
⭐
4:3
0.49%
⭐
4:4
0.15%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.33%
⭐
5:1
0.52%
⭐
5:2
0.38%
⭐
5:3
0.18%
⭐
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:0 (13.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Samsunspor
VS
AEK Athens FC
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
2.50
PPG
1.75
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.67
67%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.59
Avg xG
-
1.52
xG [Total: 2.47]
0.95
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
6
Corners [Total: 9]
3
3
Offsides [Total: 4]
1
15
Fouls [Total: 23]
9
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
3
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, Samsunspor will take on AEK Athens FC as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 5 and will take place on 2025-12-11 at 2025-12-11 in the famous Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Samsunspor, and the visiting side, AEK Athens FC. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Samsunspor or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-11
Time: 17:45
Location: Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Samsunspor vs AEK Athens FC Thursday, Dec 11th, 2025 at 11:45 Football
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Trends for Samsunspor vs AEK Athens FC Football 11 Dec, 2025 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Samsunspor keep clean sheets in 100% of home games — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Samsunspor score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Samsunspor vs AEK Athens FC, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Samsunspor @ 2.80 ✅ 
Samsunspor
- WonRecent2/2100%Samsunspor have won their last 2 2 matches
- UnbeatenRecent2/2100%Samsunspor are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent2/2100%Samsunspor create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent2/2100%Samsunspor efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent2/2100%Samsunspor score 2+ goals per match in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent4/4100%Samsunspor are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent4/4100%Samsunspor create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
- WonRecent3/475%Samsunspor have won 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent3/475%Samsunspor efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
Samsunspor demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.07 ✅
Samsunspor(2 trends)
- BTTS NoRecent2/2100%At least one team failed to score in their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- BTTS NoRecent3/475%At least one team failed to score in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
AEK Athens FC(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/475%AEK Athens FC score (1.25/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 48%)
Samsunspor rarely concede (75% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.10 ✅ 
Samsunspor(3 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent2/2100%Over 2.5 goals in their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent2/2100%Samsunspor score 2+ goals per match in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent3/475%Over 2.5 goals in their last 3 UEFA Conference League matches
AEK Athens FC(1 trends)
- High ScoringRecent9/1275%AEK Athens FC score 2+ goals per match in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
Both teams demonstrate strong scoring form in recent matches • Multiple high-scoring trends support Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Samsunspor Win or Draw @ 1.52 ✅
Samsunspor
- UnbeatenRecent2/2100%Samsunspor are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent2/2100%Samsunspor are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
- UnbeatenRecent4/4100%Samsunspor are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent4/4100%Samsunspor are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches
Samsunspor demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Samsunspor Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.63 ✅
Samsunspor
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%Samsunspor scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 2+Recent2/2100%Samsunspor scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Samsunspor score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Samsunspor score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 1+Recent4/4100%Samsunspor scored 1+ goals in their last 4 4 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent4/4100%Samsunspor score in first half in their last 4 4 matches
- Scored 2+Recent3/475%Samsunspor scored 2+ goals in their last 3 4 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/475%Samsunspor score in second half in their last 3 4 matches
Samsunspor maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Samsunspor(2 trends)
- Few CardsRecent2/2100%Samsunspor receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Few CardsRecent3/475%Samsunspor receive 0-1 card in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
AEK Athens FC(2 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague8/890%AEK Athens FC average 1.9 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 2.3)
- Many CardsRecent6/6100%AEK Athens FC receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Conference League (Away) matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.58 ✅ 
Samsunspor(2 trends) — avg 3.5 (-27% below league)
- Few CornersRecent2/2100%Samsunspor win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Few CornersRecent3/475%Samsunspor win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
AEK Athens FC(1 trends) — avg 3.0 (-34% below league)
- Few CornersLeague4/485%AEK Athens FC average 3.0 corners/match in away matches (-34% below league avg 4.5)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.58
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Samsunspor vs AEK Athens FC
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Samsunspor is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Samsunspor
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.12
✈️ AEK Athens FC
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Samsunspor - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ AEK Athens FC - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Samsunspor - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ AEK Athens FC - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Samsunspor often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Samsunspor scoring first
- Overall Result: Samsunspor has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Samsunspor handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.084
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.06
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Samsunspor):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (AEK Athens FC):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Samsunspor vs AEK Athens FC Head-to-head statistics for Thu 11 Dec, 2025 @ 11:45 UEFA Conference League
Samsunspor vs AEK Athens FC: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Samsunspor and away matches for AEK Athens FC
Number of goals
Number of goals
Samsunspor
Under
Over
AEK Athens FC
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
1
50%
5
70%
7
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
50%
5
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Samsunspor
Under
Over
AEK Athens FC
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
63%
5
38%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
75%
6
25%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
88%
7
13%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
8
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
xG
1.87
2.51
xGa
0.9
0.57
Number of goals
Number of goals
Samsunspor
Under
Over
AEK Athens FC
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Samsunspor
Under
Over
AEK Athens FC
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
1
50%
5
60%
6
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
50%
5
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
0-1
40%
4
70%
7
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Samsunspor or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 44.88% | Low | 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 | 55.12% | Medium | 1.53 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 24.59% | Low | 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 | 75.41% | High | 1.58 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 19.62% | Low | 6.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 80.38% | High | 1.14 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 7.13% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 92.87% | High | 1.14 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3 | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 2.3 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 2 | |
| Yellow Cards | 0 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 | 3 | |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.8 | 3 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 7 | 4.5 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 21 | 10 | 20 | 10.3 | 41 |
| Offsides | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2.5 | 10 |
| Shots | 14 | 28 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 52 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.5 | 13 | 4.5 | 9 | 5.5 | 22 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3 | 12 | 1.3 | 5 | 2.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 2 | 1.5 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.8 | 3 | 2.8 | 11 | 1.8 | 14 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 2 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 22 | 0.8 | 3 | 3.1 | 25 |
| Fouls | 6 | 24 | 6.3 | 25 | 6.1 | 49 |
| Offsides | 1 | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.9 | 7 |
| Shots | 19 | 76 | 5.8 | 23 | 12.4 | 99 |
| Shots on Goal | 6 | 24 | 2.5 | 10 | 4.3 | 34 |
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