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Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 14:00
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18
Played
7
Wins
6
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(24 total)
xG
1.20
(22.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(222 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(33% acc)
Corners
5.8
(104 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.3
(258 total)
Offsides
1.8
(33 total)
19
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(19 total)
xG
1.10
(21.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(213 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(31% acc)
Corners
3.9
(74 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
14.9
(284 total)
Offsides
1.9
(37 total)
37
Played
11
Wins
10
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(43 total)
xG
1.20
(43.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(435 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(32% acc)
Corners
4.8
(178 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(5 total)
Fouls
14.6
(542 total)
Offsides
1.9
(70 total)
26
Played
13
Wins
10
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(40 total)
xG
1.50
(38.4 total)
Shots per Match
16.5
(428 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(35% acc)
Corners
6.6
(171 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
13
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
11.9
(310 total)
Offsides
2
(51 total)
25
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(26 total)
xG
1.10
(26.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(286 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(34% acc)
Corners
4.8
(120 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(5 total)
Fouls
14.4
(361 total)
Offsides
2
(49 total)
51
Played
21
Wins
15
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(66 total)
xG
1.30
(64.8 total)
Shots per Match
14
(714 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(34% acc)
Corners
5.7
(291 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
19
(37%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(9 total)
Fouls
13.2
(671 total)
Offsides
2
(100 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.21 vs 1.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.32%
⭐
0:1
10.88%
⭐
0:2
6.35%
0:3
2.47%
0:4
0.72%
⭐
0:5
0.17%
1
1:0
9.48%
1:1
12.86%
🔥
1:2
8.56%
⭐
1:3
3.74%
1:4
1.21%
⭐
1:5
0.31%
2
2:0
4.82%
2:1
7.46%
2:2
5.59%
2:3
2.72%
2:4
0.98%
⭐
2:5
0.27%
⭐
3
3:0
1.64%
3:1
2.84%
3:2
2.37%
3:3
1.28%
3:4
0.51%
⭐
3:5
0.16%
⭐
4
4:0
0.42%
4:1
0.8%
4:2
0.74%
4:3
0.44%
4:4
0.19%
⭐
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.18%
5:2
0.18%
5:3
0.12%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Football 23 May, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
Rayo Vallecano struggle to score — failed to find net in 8/10 recent away matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano.
🏆 Match Winner — Alaves @ 2.50 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsRayo Vallecano
Not WinRecent
Rayo Vallecano have not won in 13 of their last 17 La Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1776%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Alaves confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAlaves1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Alaves score (1.22/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 50%)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 967%
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Unlock Streak TrendsRayo Vallecano1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Rayo Vallecano struggle to score in away matches (0.90/match) - fail to score in 80% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 1080%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
BTTS NoH2H
At least one team failed to score in their last 7 La Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 7100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Alaves rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.92 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAlaves1 TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Alaves scored 0-1 goals in 14 of their last 17 La Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends14 / 1782%
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Unlock Streak TrendsRayo Vallecano2 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Rayo Vallecano struggle to score in away matches (0.90/match) - fail to score in 80% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 1080%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Rayo Vallecano scored 0-1 goals in 14 of their last 17 La Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends14 / 1782%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 7 H2H matches (100.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 7100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (82% + 82%) • Low scoring patterns strongly support Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Alaves Win or Draw @ 1.44 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsRayo Vallecano
Not WinRecent
Rayo Vallecano have not won in 13 of their last 17 La Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1776%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Alaves confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsAlaves2 Trends — avg 2.5 (+2% above league)Many CardsH2H
Alaves receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 7 La Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 7100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Alaves receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 17 La Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends14 / 1782%
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Unlock Streak TrendsRayo Vallecano1 Trends — avg 2.9 (+19% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Rayo Vallecano average 2.7 cards/match in all matches (+24% above league avg 2.2) — rank #3 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 1790%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.3 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.80 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsAlaves1 Trends — avg 5.6 (+15% above league)Many CornersLeague
Alaves average 5.6 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 4.8)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 980%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Alaves drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.80
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Alaves is stronger in the second half (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Alaves
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Rayo Vallecano
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Alaves - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Rayo Vallecano - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Alaves - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
9
✈️ Rayo Vallecano - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Alaves shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Alaves winning the second half
- Overall Result: Rayo Vallecano has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Rayo Vallecano handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.06
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.058
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.075 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Alaves):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rayo Vallecano):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 14:00 La Liga
La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
14
6
17
31
38
-7
48
8
▲
11
14
12
39
43
-4
47
9
▲
12
10
15
43
54
-11
46
13
▼
12
7
18
46
59
-13
43
14
▲
11
10
16
43
54
-11
43
15
▲
11
9
17
46
59
-13
42
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Rayo Vallecano
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Alaves
VS
Rayo Vallecano
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
0
Draws
5
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.3 (2)
1.1 (8)
xG
1.10
1.20
Shots
10.9 (76)
15.7 (110)
Shots on Target
3.9 (27)
5.1 (36)
Corners
4.6 (32)
6.4 (45)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 (8)
0.3 (2)
xGa
1.20
1.10
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
5 (71%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 (19)
2.3 (16)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.3 (2)
Fouls
13.6 (95)
11.3 (79)
Offsides
1 (7)
1.9 (13)
Last 6 Matches
Alaves
VS
Rayo Vallecano
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.67
PPG
2.00
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
0.33
67%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.24
Avg xG
1.26
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Alaves and away matches for Rayo Vallecano
Number of goals
Alaves
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
1X2
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Alaves
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
xG
1.24
1.44
xGa
0.95
1.4
Number of goals
Alaves
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
Alaves
Under
Over
Rayo Vallecano
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
30%
3
70%
7
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Missing Players
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.14
xG
1.39
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
4
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In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Alaves will take on Rayo Vallecano as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous Estadio de Mendizorroza.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Alaves, and the visiting side, Rayo Vallecano. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Alaves or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-23
Time: 19:00
Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!