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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 | First qualifying round
9 Dec 2025-20:00
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
15th place
- : -
9 Dec 2025 15:00
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
12th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 9 December, 2025 15:00

1×2 Prediction
PSV Eindhoven
56%21%23%
PSV EindhovenDrawAtletico Madrid
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
67%33%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
64%36%
YesNo
Team Total - PSV Eindhoven
Over 1.5
63%37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Team Total - Atletico Madrid
Under 1.5
61%39%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven/Draw
77%23%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
PSV Eindhoven +1
89%11%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap PSV Eindhoven +1
Odds: 1.39
89%
EV: +23.7%
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Premium Tip 💎 PREMIUM

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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Double Chance PSV Eindhoven or Draw
Odds: 1.75
76.6%
EV: +34.1%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.43 vs 1.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.2%
0:1
3.37%
0:2
1.77%
0:3
0.62%
0:4
0.16%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
7.27%
1:1
8.15%
1:2
4.55%
1:3
1.69%
1:4
0.47%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
8.26%
2:1
9.84%
🔥
2:2
5.82%
2:3
2.28%
2:4
0.67%
2:5
0.15%
3
3:0
6.25%
3:1
7.88%
3:2
4.92%
3:3
2.03%
3:4
0.62%
3:5
0.15%
4
4:0
3.55%
4:1
4.72%
4:2
3.11%
4:3
1.35%
4:4
0.44%
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
1.61%
5:1
2.26%
5:2
1.56%
5:3
0.71%
5:4
0.24%
5:5
0.06%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.2%
0
10.6%
1
18.2%
2
21.3%
3
19.1%
4
14.0%
5
8.2%
6
3.7%
7
1.3%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

PSV Eindhoven
vs
Atletico Madrid
Dec 9, 20:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Last 6 Matches
PSV Eindhoven
VS
Atletico Madrid
5/6 (83%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.60 PPG 1.80
3.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
67% BTTS % 67%
67% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.33 Avg xG 1.54
PSV Eindhoven
D W W W W
Eredivisie 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 11:15
PSV Eindhoven
3 0
FC Volendam
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Liverpool
1 4
PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 15:30
NAC Breda
0 1
PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 15:45
AZ Alkmaar
1 5
PSV Eindhoven
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1
PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie 2025-2026
31 Oct 2025 - 19:00
PSV Eindhoven
5 2
Fortuna Sittard
Atletico Madrid
W W W W L
La Liga 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Barcelona
3 1
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
2 0
Oviedo
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
2 1
Inter
La Liga 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Getafe
0 1
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Atletico Madrid
3 1
Levante
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Atletico Madrid
3 1
Union St. Gilloise
65% Draw 16%
67% Over 2.5 33%
64% Both Teams Score 36%
2.23 xPTS 0.77
2.43 xG [Total: 3.64] 1.21
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 3] 2
6 Corners [Total: 10] 4
2 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
11 Fouls [Total: 22] 10
8 Shots on Goal [Total: 12] 4
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, PSV Eindhoven will take on Atletico Madrid as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-09 at 2025-12-09 in the famous Philips Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, PSV Eindhoven, and the visiting side, Atletico Madrid. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid and +2.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-09 Time: 20:00 Location: Philips Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid Tuesday, Dec 9th, 2025 at 15:00 Football

Value Bets

9 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Match Winner PSV Eindhoven
Odds: 3.25
55.8%
EV: +81.4% Kelly: $18.09
Bet Now
Premium Tip 💎 PREMIUM

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Best Tip High Value
Asian Handicap PSV Eindhoven +1
Odds: 1.39
89%
EV: +23.7% Kelly: $30.40
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High Value
Asian Handicap PSV Eindhoven +1.5
Odds: 1.26
94.3%
EV: +18.8% Kelly: $36.09
Bet Now
Value
Correct Score 2:1
Odds: 12.00
9.5%
EV: +13.4% Kelly: $0.61
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Atletico Madrid NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.19
94.3%
EV: +12.2% Kelly: $32.06
Bet Now
Value
Away Total Atletico Madrid Under 2.5
Odds: 1.32
84%
EV: +10.8% Kelly: $16.90
Bet Now
Value
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Odds: 1.57
67.4%
EV: +5.7% Kelly: $5.03
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance 12
Odds: 1.31
79.2%
EV: +3.8% Kelly: $6.07
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 02:46:15
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Trends for PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid Football 9 Dec, 2025 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

  • Second Half Surge

    PSV Eindhoven score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 4).
⚡ Final Stage: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 PSV Eindhoven

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Atletico Madrid

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.38
Pressure
0.25

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 PSV Eindhoven - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 PSV Eindhoven - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
10

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Atletico Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 4)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring first
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Atletico Madrid excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 8 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.118
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (PSV Eindhoven):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atletico Madrid):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid

PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Tue 9 Dec, 2025 @ 15:00 UEFA Champions League

PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for PSV Eindhoven and away matches for Atletico Madrid

Number of goals

Number of goals
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
30% 3
70% 7
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
50% 5
50% 5
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6

1X2

1X2
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
1
90% 9
80% 8
X
10% 1
0% 0
2
0% 0
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
12
90% 9
100% 10
1X
100% 10
80% 8
X2
10% 1
20% 2

Total Goals

Total Goals
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
60% 6
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
HT 1 - FT 1
80% 8
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
0% 0
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
xG
1.68
1.62
xGa
0.87
1.27

Number of goals

Number of goals
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8

1X2

1X2
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
1
80% 8
40% 4
X
10% 1
60% 6
2
10% 1
0% 0

Double Chance

Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
12
90% 9
40% 4
1X
90% 9
100% 10
X2
20% 2
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2

Number of goals

Number of goals
PSV Eindhoven
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2

1X2
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
0% 0
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
100% 10
80% 8
X2
40% 4
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
30% 3
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Team comparison
Prediction
PSV Eindhoven AH+1
Under/Over: +2.5*
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
22.7%
Low
13.50
1.6%
Low
7.60
-2
32.4%
Low
12.50
3.7%
Low
6.80
-1.5
42.1%
Low
6.25
5.7%
Low
3.75
-1
53.4%
Medium
5.50
11.0%
Low
3.15
-0.5
64.8%
Medium
3.10
16.2%
Low
2.15
+0.5
83.7%
High
1.77
35.2%
Low
1.40
+1
89.0%
High
1.39
46.6%
Low
1.15
+1.5
94.3%
High
1.26
57.9%
Medium
1.12
+2
96.3%
High
1.10
67.6%
Medium
1.03
+2.5
98.4%
High
1.08
77.2%
High
1.02
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.78%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.569.80%Medium2.25
Under 1.530.20%Low1.66
AwayOver 1.534.10%Low1.81
Under 1.565.90%Medium2.03
HomeOver 2.543.81%Low5.10
Under 2.556.19%Medium1.18
AwayOver 2.512.27%Low3.50
Under 2.587.73%High1.30
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 2 3 5
Wins 1 1 2
Draws 0 2 2
Losses 1 0 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 3.5 7 2 6 2.6 13
Goals Conceded 2.5 5 1 3 1.6 8
Yellow Cards 2 4 1 3 1.4 7
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0 0 0
Corners 5.5 11 4.7 14 5 25
Fouls 10 20 9.3 28 9.6 48
Offsides 1 2 2.7 8 2 10
Shots 13.5 27 7.3 22 9.8 49
Shots on Goal 4.5 9 2.3 7 3.2 16
Home Away All
Played 3 2 5
Wins 3 0 3
Draws 0 0 0
Losses 0 2 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 3.3 10 1 2 2.4 12
Goals Conceded 1 3 3.5 7 2 10
Yellow Cards 1 3 2 4 1.4 7
Red Cards 0 0.5 1 0.2 1
Clean Sheets 0 0 0
Corners 6.3 19 5 10 5.8 29
Fouls 11 33 9 18 10.2 51
Offsides 1 3 1 2 1 5
Shots 14 42 10 20 12.4 62
Shots on Goal 6.7 20 2 4 4.8 24
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