Form
Form
Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Parma
Parma
Form
VS
13:00
24 May 2026
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Form
Stadio Ennio Tardini
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Sassuolo
1 2.8 X 3.46 2 2.71
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Parma vs Sassuolo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 24 May, 2026 8:00

Winner (1x2)2.71
Sassuolo to Win
Probability 40%
Total Goals1.96
Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Both Teams to Score2.10
No (NG)
Probability 52%
Parma Total1.31
Home Over 0.5
Probability 69%
Sassuolo Total1.30
Away Over 0.5
Probability 73%
Double Chance1.50
Draw/Sassuolo
Probability 68%
Asian Handicap1.21
Sassuolo +1
Probability 76%
<
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Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
• 13:00
Parma W 32%
:
Sassuolo W 40%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.10 vs 1.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.94%
⭐
0:1
12.02%
⭐
0:2
7.27%
⭐
0:3
2.93%
0:4
0.89%
0:5
0.21%
1
1:0
10.45%
1:1
13.14%
🔥
1:2
8.25%
1:3
3.45%
1:4
1.08%
1:5
0.27%
2
2:0
5.5%
2:1
7.18%
2:2
4.67%
2:3
2.02%
2:4
0.66%
2:5
0.17%
3
3:0
1.93%
3:1
2.61%
3:2
1.76%
3:3
0.79%
3:4
0.26%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
0.51%
4:1
0.71%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.23%
4:4
0.08%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.11%
5:1
0.15%
5:2
0.11%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.9%
0
22.5%
1
25.9%
2
20.3%
3
12.1%
4
5.9%
5
2.4%
6
0.8%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

ParmaHDPSassuolo
3.0%
Very Low@ 10.50
-2.5
4.7%
@ 11.50Very Low
7.1%
Very Low@ 10.50
-2
10.0%
@ 9.20Very Low
11.2%
Very Low@ 5.50
-1.5
15.3%
@ 5.50Very Low
21.2%
Low@ 4.74
-1
26.8%
@ 4.57Low
31.2%
Low@ 2.73
-0.5
38.2%
@ 2.66Low
61.8%
High@ 1.57
+0.5
68.8%
@ 1.52High
73.2%
High@ 1.22
+1
78.8%
@ 1.21High
84.7%
Very High@ 1.16
+1.5
88.8%
@ 1.15Very High
90.0%
Very High@ 1.00
+2
92.9%
@ 1.01Very High
95.3%
Very High@ 1.03
+2.5
97.0%
@ 1.03Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

ParmaOutcomeSassuolo
29.0%
Low@ 2.52
Over 1.5
33.7%
@ 2.48Low
71.0%
High@ 1.55
Under 1.5
66.4%
@ 1.57High
9.7%
Very Low@ 6.50
Over 2.5
12.5%
@ 6.50Very Low
90.3%
Very High@ 1.14
Under 2.5
87.5%
@ 1.14Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Parma vs Sassuolo Sunday, May 24th, 2026 at 8:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Parma vs Sassuolo

6 Found

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
Value
1.96
Prob 58.1%
EV +14.0%
Stake $2.60
Bet Now
Home Total Parma Under 1.5
Value
1.55
Prob 71%
EV +10.0%
Stake $4.55
Bet Now
Away Total Sassuolo Under 1.5
Value
1.57
Prob 66.4%
EV +4.2%
Stake $4.39
Bet Now
Double Chance X2
Value
1.50
Prob 68.2%
EV +2.3%
Stake $5.00
Bet Now
Double Chance X2
Value
1.50
Prob 68.2%
EV +2.3%
Stake $5.00
Bet Now
Asian Handicap Sassuolo +1.5
Value
1.15
Prob 88.8%
EV +2.1%
Stake $10.00
Bet Now
Sorted by: Ev
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-22 04:00:28
Home Draw Away
10Bet 2.62 3.25 2.62
William Hill 2.62 3.20 2.50
Bet365 2.70 3.40 2.60
Unibet 2.65 3.30 2.55
Betfair 2.70 3.40 2.63
Pinnacle 2.75 3.39 2.68
SBO 2.56 3.08 2.41
Betano 2.67 3.30 2.67
888Sport 2.63 3.20 2.50
Dafabet 2.75 3.40 2.65
spinner

Trends for Parma vs Sassuolo Football 24 May, 2026 8:00

Team Form Comparison

Parma Home
Form Index 40
Goals 5:7
PPG 1.00
Sassuolo Away
Form Index 45
Goals 4:7
PPG 0.40
CAGDCRELNAPDPISWROML
LAZLJUVDGENLFIODTORL
1/5
Won
0/5
4/5
Scored
4/5
1/5
Scored 2+
0/5
1/5
Clean sheet
1/5
2/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
1/5
Over 2.5
3/5
3/5
BTTS
4/5

Parma

CAGDCRELNAPDPISWROML
Won 1/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
BTTS 3/5

Sassuolo

LAZLJUVDGENLFIODTORL
Won 0/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 0/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 1
BTTS 1/1
Over 2.5 0/1

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • ⚡
    Second Half Surge

    Parma score in 2nd half 100% of home matches — expect late goals

  • 🟨
    Cards Over Lean

    Disciplinary trends lean toward more cards — modest confidence only

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Parma Home
Sassuolo Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • First half: Sassuolo is stronger (11 vs 6).
  • Second half: Parma is stronger (13 vs 8).
  • Final stage: Parma is stronger in the closing minutes (8 vs 5).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.01 factor
Home Pressure 0.15 Away 0.14

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
5 0.25
Fast Start (0–15)
7 0.35
6 0.30
First Half (0–45)
11 0.55
13 0.65
Second Half (46–90)
8 0.40
8 0.40
Final Stage (76–90)
5 0.25

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.084 Moderate
Pressure Home +0.004 Weak
Timing Home +0.000 Weak
Defense Home +0.000 Weak

Momentum

Parma Metric Sassuolo
2 Positive Sequences 4
4 Comeback Goals 5
3 Negative Sequences 3
5 Killer Goals 7

Pressure

Parma Metric Sassuolo
5 Early Pressure 7
8 Late Pressure 5
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Parma Metric Sassuolo
5 Fast Starts 7
1 Half-time Spurts 4
5 Second Half Starts 3
8 Late Surges 5

Defense

Parma Metric Sassuolo
2 Early Conceded 3
5 Late Conceded 3
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • First half result: consider Sassuolo to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Parma winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Parma excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Sassuolo holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Parma

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Sassuolo

Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Parma
Sassuolo

Parma vs Sassuolo Head-to-head statistics for Sun 24 May, 2026 @ 8:00 Serie A

18 Played 18
22% 4-6-8 Win Rate 28% 5-5-8
40 Form Index 45
6.74 Team Rating 6.79
38 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Parma Sassuolo Results 33 67 Attack 28 72 Defense 41 59 Control 46 54 Discipline 63 37 Efficiency 18 82 Average 38 62 62

Attack

0.83
Goals
1.17
0.86
Expected Goals
1.10
11.7
Shots
10.7
2.9
Shots on Target
3.9
4.1
Corners
3.6

Defense

1.39
Conceded
1.28
1.39
Expected Goals Against
1.45
13.3
Shots Allowed
14.7
-0.56
Goal Difference
-0.11
22%
Clean Sheets
22%

Possession & Passing

45%
Possession
45%
81%
Pass Accuracy
83%
359
Passes
382
291
Accurate Passes
317

Discipline

1.67
Yellow Cards
2.50
0.17
Red Cards
0.06
10.6
Fouls
11.6
1.4
Offsides
1.8

Efficiency

1
PPG
1.11
-0.03
Goals vs xG
+0.07
7%
Shot Conversion
11%
67%
Save %
75%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Sassuolo
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Parma vs Sassuolo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Parma and away matches for Sassuolo

Number of goals
Parma
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Parma
Sassuolo
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
1X2
Parma
Sassuolo
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
50% 5
50% 5
Double Chance
Parma
Sassuolo
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Parma
Sassuolo
0-1
40% 4
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
70% 7
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Total Corners
Parma
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Parma
Sassuolo
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Parma
Sassuolo
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Parma
Sassuolo
xG
0.58
1.1
xGa
1.41
1.37
Number of goals
Parma
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Parma
Sassuolo
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Parma
Sassuolo
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
20% 2
50% 5
Double Chance
Parma
Sassuolo
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
80% 8
50% 5
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Parma
Sassuolo
0-1
90% 9
70% 7
2-3
10% 1
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Parma
Sassuolo
Yes
70% 7
30% 3
No
30% 3
70% 7
Number of goals
Parma
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Parma
Sassuolo
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Parma
Sassuolo
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
60% 6
20% 2
Double Chance
Parma
Sassuolo
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
40% 4
80% 8
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Parma
Sassuolo
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Parma
Sassuolo
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
1.10 Expected goals 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots Off Goal 9
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Parma
Sassuolo
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Parma will take on Sassuolo as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-24 at 2026-05-24 in the famous Stadio Ennio Tardini. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Parma, and the visiting side, Sassuolo. The scoreline predictions suggest -2.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-24 Time: 13:00 Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

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