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QPR
Norwich vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 21 April, 2026 13:45
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
6
8
4
23
20
3
26
11
7
5
6
25
25
0
26
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
22
4
5
9
15
25
-10
17
23
3
4
11
19
29
-10
13
24
1
5
12
14
36
-22
8
Last 6 Matches
Norwich
VS
Derby
1/6 (17%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.83
PPG
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.34
Avg xG
0.94
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
0.94
xG [Total: 2.11]
1.17
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
3
5
Corners [Total: 9]
4
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
10
Fouls [Total: 23]
13
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 6]
2
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Norwich will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 44 and will take place on 2026-04-21 at 2026-04-21 in the famous Carrow Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Norwich, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-21
Time: 18:45
Location: Carrow Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Norwich vs Derby Football 21 Apr, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Norwich vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Norwich(4 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Norwich are currently 23th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Norwich have not won in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Norwich have not won in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent24/3080%Norwich efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 24 of their last 30 Championship matches
Derby(3 trends)
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches vs Norwich
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Norwich(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/967%Norwich score (1.00/match) and concede (1.67/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Derby score (1.44/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 58%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Norwich(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent23/3077%Norwich scored 0-1 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
Norwich(4 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Norwich are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches vs Derby
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Norwich are currently 23th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Norwich have not won in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Norwich have not won in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Derby(3 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H3/3100%Derby scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Norwich
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H3/3100%Derby score in second half in their last 3 3 matches vs Norwich
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(4 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Derby receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches vs Norwich
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Derby receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
Norwich disciplined play balances Derby aggression — • H2H average: 4 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Derby(2 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/976%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent12/1486%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+24 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Norwich vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Norwich is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Norwich is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Norwich is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Norwich
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Norwich - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Norwich - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Norwich often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Norwich scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Norwich is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Norwich to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Derby excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Derby scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.231
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.009
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Norwich):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Norwich vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Tue 21 Apr, 2026 @ 13:45 Championship
Norwich vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Norwich and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Norwich
Derby
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Norwich
Derby
1
10%
1
60%
6
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
70%
7
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Norwich
Derby
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
30%
3
70%
7
X2
90%
9
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Norwich
Derby
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Norwich
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Derby
Yes
0%
0
20%
2
No
100%
10
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Norwich
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
50%
5
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Norwich
Derby
xG
1.14
0.98
xGa
1.46
1.28
Number of goals
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Norwich
Derby
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Norwich
Derby
1
20%
2
70%
7
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Norwich
Derby
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
80%
8
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
Norwich
Derby
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Derby
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Norwich
Derby
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Norwich
Derby
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
10%
1
50%
5
2
80%
8
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Norwich
Derby
12
90%
9
50%
5
1X
20%
2
70%
7
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Norwich
Derby
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Derby
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Norwich
Derby
Played:
3
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
1.3
Goals
1.3
4
4
1.3
Goals Conceded
1.3
4
5
1.7
Yellow Cards
2.3
7
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
20
6.7
Corners
6
18
22
7.3
Fouls
11
33
5
1.7
Offsides
3.3
10
35
11.7
Shots
10
30
11
3.7
Shots on Goal
3.3
10
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 7 | 4 | 11 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 9 | 1.1 | 10 | 1.1 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 15 | 1.6 | 14 | 1.6 | 29 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.1 | 10 | 2.6 | 23 | 1.8 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Corners | 5.1 | 46 | 5.2 | 47 | 5.2 | 93 |
| Fouls | 8.6 | 77 | 9.4 | 85 | 9 | 162 |
| Offsides | 2.2 | 20 | 1.8 | 16 | 2 | 36 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 120 | 10.8 | 97 | 12.1 | 217 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 35 | 3.6 | 32 | 3.7 | 67 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |