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Norwich
0
2
Ipswich
Norwich vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 21 April, 2026 13:45
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22
Played
9
Wins
2
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(29 total)
xG
1.10
(24.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(300 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(33% acc)
Corners
5.8
(128 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.6
(211 total)
Offsides
2
(43 total)
21
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(31 total)
xG
1.20
(25.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.7
(225 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(39% acc)
Corners
4.5
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.7
(204 total)
Offsides
2
(43 total)
43
Played
18
Wins
7
Draws
18
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(60 total)
xG
1.20
(50.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(525 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(36% acc)
Corners
5.2
(223 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.7
(415 total)
Offsides
2
(86 total)
22
Played
9
Wins
6
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(30 total)
xG
1.10
(23.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(237 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(33% acc)
Corners
5.1
(112 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.2
(247 total)
Offsides
1.6
(36 total)
21
Played
9
Wins
3
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(32 total)
xG
1.20
(24.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.7
(203 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(33% acc)
Corners
3.2
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.3
(258 total)
Offsides
1.1
(24 total)
43
Played
18
Wins
9
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(62 total)
xG
1.10
(48.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.2
(440 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(33% acc)
Corners
4.2
(180 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.7
(505 total)
Offsides
1.4
(60 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.23 vs 1.39
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.9%
0:1
10.63%
⭐
0:2
6.34%
0:3
2.52%
0:4
0.75%
0:5
0.18%
⭐
1
1:0
9.2%
1:1
12.73%
🔥
1:2
8.64%
1:3
3.85%
1:4
1.27%
1:5
0.33%
⭐
2
2:0
4.76%
2:1
7.48%
2:2
5.72%
2:3
2.84%
2:4
1.04%
2:5
0.3%
⭐
3
3:0
1.64%
3:1
2.89%
3:2
2.46%
3:3
1.35%
3:4
0.54%
3:5
0.17%
⭐
4
4:0
0.42%
4:1
0.83%
4:2
0.78%
4:3
0.47%
4:4
0.21%
⭐
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.09%
5:1
0.19%
5:2
0.19%
5:3
0.13%
5:4
0.06%
⭐
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.7%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Norwich vs Derby Tuesday, Apr 21st, 2026 at 13:45 Football
AI Value Bets
3 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Norwich vs Derby Football 21 Apr, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 70% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Norwich vs Derby.
🏆 Match Winner — Derby @ 3.65 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby
Efficient ScoringH2H
Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNorwich
Relegation BattleLeague
Norwich are currently 23th in the table (2nd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Norwich have not won in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Derby to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.61 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsNorwich1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Norwich score (1.10/match) and concede (1.60/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Derby Win or Draw @ 1.78 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsNorwich
Relegation BattleLeague
Norwich are currently 23th in the table (2nd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Norwich have not won in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Derby confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Derby Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.70 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby
Above League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Derby scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
Derby score in second half in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Derby maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby2 Trends — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)Many CardsH2H
Derby receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Norwich disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.20 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 Trends — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)Few CornersLeague
Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.20
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Norwich vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Derby is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Derby is stronger in the first half (13 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Derby is stronger in the first half (13 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Norwich
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.04
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Norwich - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Norwich - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Derby often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Derby scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Derby is stronger in the first half (13 vs 4)
- First Half Result: Consider Derby to win the first half
- Overall Result: Norwich has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Norwich handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.009
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.075
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Norwich):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Norwich vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Tue 21 Apr, 2026 @ 13:45 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
17
13
12
63
60
3
64
8
18
9
15
61
53
8
63
9
17
7
18
55
50
5
58
10
16
10
16
52
51
1
58
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Derby
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Norwich
VS
Derby
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
1.3 (4)
xG
1.20
1.10
Shots
11.7 (35)
10 (30)
Shots on Target
3.7 (11)
3.3 (10)
Corners
6.7 (20)
6 (18)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (4)
1.3 (4)
xGa
1.10
1.20
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (5)
2.3 (7)
Fouls
7.3 (22)
11 (33)
Offsides
1.7 (5)
3.3 (10)
Last 6 Matches
Norwich
VS
Derby
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.67
PPG
1.50
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
33%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.12
Avg xG
1.46
Norwich vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Norwich and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Norwich
Derby
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Norwich
Derby
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
10%
1
0%
0
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Norwich
Derby
12
90%
9
100%
10
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Norwich
Derby
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
80%
8
40%
4
4+
0%
0
30%
3
Total Corners
Norwich
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Derby
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Norwich
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Norwich
Derby
xG
1.31
1.62
xGa
0.96
0.96
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Norwich
Derby
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
Norwich
Derby
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Norwich
Derby
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Norwich
Derby
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Derby
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Number of goals
Norwich
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Norwich
Derby
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Norwich
Derby
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Norwich
Derby
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Norwich
Derby
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Norwich
Derby
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Missing Players
1.16
xG
1.42
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Norwich will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 44 and will take place on 2026-04-21 at 2026-04-21 in the famous Carrow Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Norwich, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Derby.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-21
Time: 18:45
Location: Carrow Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!