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Newcastle
4
3
Leeds
Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 25 January, 2026 8:00
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14
Played
9
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(28 total)
xG
1.80
(25.3 total)
Shots per Match
13
(182 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(43% acc)
Corners
7
(98 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.9
(153 total)
Offsides
1.9
(27 total)
13
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(17 total)
xG
1.20
(16.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(160 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(34% acc)
Corners
5.2
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
7.3
(95 total)
Offsides
0.6
(8 total)
27
Played
12
Wins
6
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(45 total)
xG
1.50
(41.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(342 total)
Shots on Target
5
(39% acc)
Corners
6.1
(166 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.2
(248 total)
Offsides
1.3
(35 total)
13
Played
11
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(23 total)
xG
1.30
(16.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(159 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(42% acc)
Corners
5.2
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(130 total)
Offsides
1.3
(17 total)
14
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(20 total)
xG
1.10
(15.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(151 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(36% acc)
Corners
4.7
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.3
(130 total)
Offsides
1
(14 total)
27
Played
18
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(43 total)
xG
1.20
(32.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.5
(310 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(39% acc)
Corners
5
(134 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.6
(260 total)
Offsides
1.1
(31 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.23 vs 1.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.47%
0:1
3.71%
0:2
2.79%
0:3
1.4%
0:4
0.52%
0:5
0.16%
1
1:0
5.47%
1:1
8.25%
1:2
6.23%
1:3
3.14%
1:4
1.18%
⭐
1:5
0.36%
⭐
2
2:0
6.05%
2:1
9.18%
🔥
2:2
6.97%
2:3
3.53%
⭐
2:4
1.34%
⭐
2:5
0.41%
⭐
3
3:0
4.46%
3:1
6.8%
⭐
3:2
5.19%
⭐
3:3
2.64%
⭐
3:4
1.01%
⭐
3:5
0.31%
⭐
4
4:0
2.46%
⭐
4:1
3.78%
⭐
4:2
2.9%
⭐
4:3
1.48%
⭐
4:4
0.57%
⭐
4:5
0.17%
⭐
5
5:0
1.09%
⭐
5:1
1.68%
⭐
5:2
1.3%
⭐
5:3
0.67%
⭐
5:4
0.26%
⭐
5:5
0.08%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.2%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Newcastle will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-01-25 at 2026-01-25 in the famous St. James' Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Newcastle, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Newcastle or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-25
Time: 14:00
Location: St. James' Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Newcastle vs Aston Villa Sunday, Jan 25th, 2026 at 8:00 Football
AI Value Bets
7 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Newcastle vs Aston Villa Football 25 Jan, 2026 8:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 78% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Newcastle create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Newcastle vs Aston Villa, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Newcastle @ 2.13 ⚠️ 
Newcastle
- Above League AverageLeague9/973%Newcastle score 1.78 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Newcastle demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.57 ⚠️ 
Newcastle(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Newcastle score (1.78/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 53%)
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Aston Villa score (1.50/match) and concede (1.38/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.71 ⚠️
Newcastle(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/973%Newcastle score 1.78 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H6/1060%Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 H2H matches (60.0%%)
Combined 1.8 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Aston Villa Win or Draw @ 1.81 
Aston Villa
- Top Table FormLeague65%Aston Villa are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
Aston Villa demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Newcastle Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.87 ⚠️
Newcastle
- Above League AverageLeague9/973%Newcastle score 1.78 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent13/1776%Newcastle scored 1+ goals in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Newcastle's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Newcastle(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-21% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Newcastle average 1.4 cards/match in all matches (-26% below league avg 1.9) — rank #2 lowest in league
Aston Villa(1 trends) — avg 1.7 (-11% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Aston Villa average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 1.9) — rank #3 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.7 cards per match in their last 10 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.50 ⚠️ 
Newcastle(1 trends) — avg 7.1 (+48% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/985%Newcastle average 7.1 corners/match at home (+48% above league avg 4.8)
Newcastle drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.50
+15 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Newcastle is stronger in the second half (19 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Newcastle is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
🔄 Second Half: Newcastle is stronger in the second half (19 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Newcastle is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Newcastle
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Aston Villa
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Newcastle - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
✈️ Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Newcastle - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Aston Villa to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Newcastle shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Newcastle winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Newcastle excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Newcastle scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.252
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.057
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Newcastle):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Sun 25 Jan, 2026 @ 8:00 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
13
4
4
45
19
26
43
3
13
4
4
33
24
9
43
4
10
5
6
32
28
4
35
5
▲
10
3
8
35
28
7
33
6
▲
9
5
7
32
27
5
32
7
▼
8
8
5
36
32
4
32
Team comparison
Prediction
Both Teams to Score
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Newcastle
VS
Aston Villa
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
4
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (18)
1.3 (14)
xG
1.70
0.90
Shots
13.1 (144)
11.5 (126)
Shots on Target
4.4 (48)
4 (44)
Corners
4.8 (53)
4.6 (51)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (14)
1.6 (18)
xGa
0.90
1.70
Clean Sheets
4 (36%)
4 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (25)
2.1 (23)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (2)
Fouls
14.1 (155)
11.7 (129)
Offsides
2.4 (26)
1.9 (21)
Last 6 Matches
Newcastle
VS
Aston Villa
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.67
PPG
2.17
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
50%
BTTS %
83%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.69
Avg xG
1.40
Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Newcastle and away matches for Aston Villa
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
70%
7
80%
8
No
30%
3
20%
2
1X2
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
50%
5
80%
8
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Newcastle
Aston Villa
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
50%
5
20%
2
Total Goals
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
60%
6
40%
4
Total Corners
Newcastle
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
50%
5
50%
5
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Newcastle
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
40%
4
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Newcastle
Aston Villa
xG
1.79
1.41
xGa
1.1
1.4
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Newcastle
Aston Villa
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
40%
4
70%
7
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Newcastle
Aston Villa
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
60%
6
30%
3
Total Goals
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1.90
xG
1.43
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
7
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
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