Form
Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 34
Preview
Nantes
Nantes
Form
VS
19:00
17 May 2026
Toulouse
Toulouse
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Toulouse
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Nantes vs Toulouse: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 17 May, 2026 14:00

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
19:00
Nantes W 37%
:
Toulouse W 38%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.41 vs 1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.32%
0:1
8.58%
0:2
5.83%
0:3
2.64%
0:4
0.9%
0:5
0.24%
1
1:0
8.46%
1:1
11.94%
🔥
1:2
8.42%
1:3
3.95%
1:4
1.39%
1:5
0.39%
2
2:0
5.66%
2:1
8.29%
2:2
6.06%
2:3
2.94%
2:4
1.07%
2:5
0.31%
3
3:0
2.53%
3:1
3.84%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
1.46%
3:4
0.55%
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
0.85%
4:1
1.33%
4:2
1.04%
4:3
0.54%
4:4
0.21%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.23%
5:1
0.37%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.16%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.3%
0
17.0%
1
23.4%
2
21.9%
3
15.6%
4
9.0%
5
4.3%
6
1.7%
7
0.5%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Nantes
4-2-3-1
Toulouse
3-4-2-1
A. Lopes
Lopes 1
Sékou Doucoure
Doucoure 72
N. Cozza
Cozza 3
C. Awaziem
Awaziem 6
M. Acapandié
Acapandié 22
I. Sissoko
Sissoko 28
J. Lepenant
Lepenant 8
R. Cabella
Cabella 20
M. Kaba
Kaba 21
M. Abline
Abline 10
I. Ganago
Ganago 37
G. Restes
Restes 1
R. Nicolaisen
Nicolaisen 2
S. Koumbassa
Koumbassa 35
M. McKenzie
McKenzie 3
D. Methalie
Methalie 24
C. Cásseres
Cásseres 23
Pape Diop
Diop 18
D. Sidibé
Sidibé 19
G. Gboho
Gboho 10
S. Hidalgo
Hidalgo 11
Emersonn
Emersonn 20
field field

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nantes vs Toulouse Sunday, May 17th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-17 18:00:28
spinner

Trends for Nantes vs Toulouse Football 17 May, 2026 14:00

Team Form Comparison

Nantes Home
Form Index 46
Goals 8:5
PPG 1.40
Toulouse Away
Form Index 48
Goals 9:11
PPG 1.20
HAVWANGLSTRLBREDMARW
RENLMETWPARLLENLSTRW
2/5
Won
2/5
4/5
Scored
4/5
3/5
Scored 2+
3/5
2/5
Clean sheet
0/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
2/5
BTTS
4/5

Nantes

HAVWANGLSTRLBREDMARW
Won 2/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 2/5

Toulouse

RENLMETWPARLLENLSTRW
Won 2/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 7
BTTS 4/7
Over 2.5 4/7
Nantes unbeaten 4/4

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Nantes create high-quality chances consistently (1.54 xG avg) — strong attacking threat

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Nantes rarely concede quality chances (0.99 xGA avg) — disciplined defensive structure

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Nantes Home
Toulouse Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: Nantes is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
  • First half: Nantes is stronger (10 vs 6).
  • Second half: Nantes is stronger (15 vs 11).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.24 factor
Home Pressure 0.14 Away 0.12

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
5 0.25
Fast Start (0–15)
2 0.10
10 0.50
First Half (0–45)
6 0.30
15 0.75
Second Half (46–90)
11 0.55
7 0.35
Final Stage (76–90)
9 0.45

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.000 Weak
Pressure Home +0.019 Weak
Timing Home +0.020 Weak
Defense Home +0.060 Moderate

Momentum

Nantes Metric Toulouse
6 Positive Sequences 7
3 Comeback Goals 9
0 Negative Sequences 5
7 Killer Goals 6

Pressure

Nantes Metric Toulouse
5 Early Pressure 2
7 Late Pressure 9
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Nantes Metric Toulouse
5 Fast Starts 2
5 Half-time Spurts 4
8 Second Half Starts 2
7 Late Surges 9

Defense

Nantes Metric Toulouse
1 Early Conceded 6
8 Late Conceded 6
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Home fast start: Nantes often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
  • First goal: high probability of Nantes scoring first.
  • First half result: consider Nantes to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Nantes winning the second half.
  • Match outcome: Toulouse holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Nantes

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Toulouse

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Nantes
Toulouse

Nantes vs Toulouse Head-to-head statistics for Sun 17 May, 2026 @ 14:00 Ligue 1

16 Played 16
19% 3-3-10 Win Rate 38% 6-2-8
46 Form Index 48
6.78 Team Rating 6.77
46 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Nantes Toulouse Results 33 67 Attack 45 55 Defense 37 63 Control 50 50 Discipline 94 6 Efficiency 14 86 Average 46 54 54

Attack

1.13
Goals
1.38
1.08
Expected Goals
0.99
11.4
Shots
10.7
3.4
Shots on Target
3.7
3.9
Corners
3.7

Defense

1.69
Conceded
1.38
1.36
Expected Goals Against
1.40
12.3
Shots Allowed
14.1
-0.56
Goal Difference
0
19%
Clean Sheets
19%

Possession & Passing

44%
Possession
41%
79%
Pass Accuracy
81%
346
Passes
354
274
Accurate Passes
288

Discipline

1.88
Yellow Cards
2.81
0.06
Red Cards
0.13
12.1
Fouls
14.5
0.8
Offsides
1.2

Efficiency

0.75
PPG
1.25
+0.05
Goals vs xG
+0.38
10%
Shot Conversion
13%
68%
Save %
67%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Toulouse
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Nantes vs Toulouse: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nantes and away matches for Toulouse

Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
1X2
Nantes
Toulouse
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
60% 6
50% 5
Double Chance
Nantes
Toulouse
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
40% 4
50% 5
X2
90% 9
60% 6
Total Goals
Nantes
Toulouse
0-1
50% 5
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
10% 1
50% 5
Total Corners
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Nantes
Toulouse
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
50% 5
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Nantes
Toulouse
xG
1.25
0.86
xGa
1.25
1.35
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Nantes
Toulouse
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
80% 8
20% 2
2
10% 1
50% 5
Double Chance
Nantes
Toulouse
12
20% 2
80% 8
1X
90% 9
50% 5
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Nantes
Toulouse
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
70% 7
30% 3
No
30% 3
70% 7
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Nantes
Toulouse
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
70% 7
30% 3
Double Chance
Nantes
Toulouse
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
30% 3
70% 7
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Nantes
Toulouse
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
Missing Players
Nantes
98
d
- Injured - Groin Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Injury
78
d
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
Toulouse
15
f
- Suspended - Red Card
9
f
- Injured - Knee Injury
22
m
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.82 Expected goals 1.74
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 5
11 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nantes will take on Toulouse as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-05-17 at 2026-05-17 in the famous Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The referee for the game will be S. Frappart. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nantes, and the visiting side, Toulouse. The scoreline predictions suggest Draw or Toulouse. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-17 Time: 19:00 Location: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!