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Nantes vs Toulouse: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 17 May, 2026 15:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.41 vs 1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.28%
⭐
0:1
8.86%
0:2
5.39%
0:3
2.19%
0:4
0.67%
0:5
0.16%
1
1:0
8.71%
1:1
12.15%
🔥
1:2
8.34%
1:3
3.77%
1:4
1.26%
1:5
0.34%
2
2:0
5.21%
2:1
8.2%
2:2
6.29%
2:3
3.14%
2:4
1.16%
2:5
0.34%
3
3:0
2.08%
3:1
3.64%
3:2
3.09%
3:3
1.7%
3:4
0.68%
⭐
3:5
0.22%
⭐
4
4:0
0.62%
4:1
1.2%
4:2
1.12%
4:3
0.67%
⭐
4:4
0.3%
⭐
4:5
0.1%
⭐
5
5:0
0.15%
5:1
0.31%
5:2
0.32%
5:3
0.21%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Nantes
Toulouse
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Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nantes vs Toulouse Sunday, May 17th, 2026 at 15:00 Football
Trends for Nantes vs Toulouse Football 17 May, 2026 15:00
Team Form Comparison
Nantes
Home
Form Index
46
Goals
8:5
PPG
1.40
Toulouse
Away
Form Index
48
Goals
9:11
PPG
1.20
HAVWANGLSTRLBREDMARW
RENLMETWPARLLENLSTRW
2/5
Won
2/5
4/5
Scored
4/5
3/5
Scored 2+
3/5
2/5
Clean sheet
0/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
2/5
BTTS
4/5
Nantes
HAVWANGLSTRLBREDMARW
Won
2/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
Over 2.5
2/5
BTTS
2/5
Toulouse
RENLMETWPARLLENLSTRW
Won
2/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
4/5
Nantes
Home
Form Index
46
Goals
12:15
PPG
0.80
Toulouse
Away
Form Index
48
Goals
17:16
PPG
1.30
LORDLENLPARLNICLLYOLHAVWANGLSTRLBREDMARW
MARDPARWBREWANGLHAVLRENLMETWPARLLENLSTRW
2/10
Won
4/10
8/10
Scored
8/10
3/10
Scored 2+
6/10
2/10
Clean sheet
2/10
4/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
5/10
Over 2.5
7/10
6/10
BTTS
6/10
Nantes
LORDLENLPARLNICLLYOLHAVWANGLSTRLBREDMARW
Won
2/10
Scored
8/10
Scored 2+
3/10
Clean sheet
2/10
Conceded 2+
4/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
6/10
Toulouse
MARDPARWBREWANGLHAVLRENLMETWPARLLENLSTRW
Won
4/10
Scored
8/10
Scored 2+
6/10
Clean sheet
2/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
7/10
BTTS
6/10
Nantes
Home team
Form Index
44
Goals
5:7
PPG
0.80
Toulouse
Away team
Form Index
46
Goals
8:11
PPG
1.40
BREDPARLRENLMARWLENL
LILLLENLMONDSTRWLYOW
1/5
Won
2/5
3/5
Scored
4/5
1/5
Scored 2+
4/5
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
2/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
3/5
Over 2.5
5/5
2/5
BTTS
4/5
Nantes
BREDPARLRENLMARWLENL
Won
1/5
Scored
3/5
Scored 2+
1/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
2/5
Toulouse
LILLLENLMONDSTRWLYOW
Won
2/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
4/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
Over 2.5
5/5
BTTS
4/5
Nantes
Home team
Form Index
44
Goals
7:12
PPG
0.60
Toulouse
Away team
Form Index
46
Goals
14:19
PPG
1.30
LILLANGLSTRLMETDAUXDBREDPARLRENLMARWLENL
RENLMARLMETWLORWPARLLILLLENLMONDSTRWLYOW
1/10
Won
4/10
4/10
Scored
7/10
2/10
Scored 2+
5/10
3/10
Clean sheet
1/10
3/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
4/10
Over 2.5
7/10
3/10
BTTS
6/10
Nantes
LILLANGLSTRLMETDAUXDBREDPARLRENLMARWLENL
Won
1/10
Scored
4/10
Scored 2+
2/10
Clean sheet
3/10
Conceded 2+
3/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
3/10
Toulouse
RENLMARLMETWLORWPARLLILLLENLMONDSTRWLYOW
Won
4/10
Scored
7/10
Scored 2+
5/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
7/10
BTTS
6/10
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Nantes create high-quality chances consistently (1.54 xG avg) — strong attacking threat
-
Chance Suppression
Nantes rarely concede quality chances (0.99 xGA avg) — disciplined defensive structure
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsPeriod Timing Analysis
Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.
Nantes
Home
Toulouse
Away
Main Prediction by Periods
- Match start: Nantes is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
- First half: Nantes is stronger (10 vs 6).
- Second half: Nantes is stronger (15 vs 11).
Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.
Match Periods
Goals scored in sample
Avg / match
5
0.25
Fast Start (0–15)
2
0.10
10
0.50
First Half (0–45)
6
0.30
15
0.75
Second Half (46–90)
11
0.55
7
0.35
Final Stage (76–90)
9
0.45
Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.
Factor Breakdown
Momentum
Home +0.000
Weak
Pressure
Home +0.019
Weak
Timing
Home +0.020
Weak
Defense
Home +0.060
Moderate
Momentum
Nantes
Metric
Toulouse
6
Positive Sequences
7
3
Comeback Goals
9
0
Negative Sequences
5
7
Killer Goals
6
Pressure
Nantes
Metric
Toulouse
5
Early Pressure
2
7
Late Pressure
9
0
Pressure Goals
0
0
Set Pieces
0
Timing Patterns
Nantes
Metric
Toulouse
5
Fast Starts
2
5
Half-time Spurts
4
8
Second Half Starts
2
7
Late Surges
9
Defense
Nantes
Metric
Toulouse
1
Early Conceded
6
8
Late Conceded
6
0
Set Piece Conceded
0
0
Pressure Conceded
0
Betting Recommendations
- Home fast start: Nantes often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
- First goal: high probability of Nantes scoring first.
- First half result: consider Nantes to win the first half.
- Second half winner: high probability of Nantes winning the second half.
- Match outcome: Toulouse holds the overall timing advantage.
Summary
Nantes
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Toulouse
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.
Final advice
Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.
Nantes vs Toulouse Head-to-head statistics for Sun 17 May, 2026 @ 15:00 Ligue 1
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings (all competitions)
1
Nantes
3
Draws
1
Toulouse
16
Played
16
19% 3-3-10
Win Rate
38% 6-2-8
46
Form Index
48
6.78
Team Rating
6.77
46
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Nantes
Toulouse
Results
33
67
Attack
45
55
Defense
37
63
Control
50
50
Discipline
94
6
Efficiency
14
86
Average
46
54
54
Attack
1.13
Goals
1.38
1.08
Expected Goals
0.99
11.4
Shots
10.7
3.4
Shots on Target
3.7
3.9
Corners
3.7
Defense
1.69
Conceded
1.38
1.36
Expected Goals Against
1.40
12.3
Shots Allowed
14.1
-0.56
Goal Difference
0
19%
Clean Sheets
19%
Possession & Passing
44%
Possession
41%
79%
Pass Accuracy
81%
346
Passes
354
274
Accurate Passes
288
Discipline
1.88
Yellow Cards
2.81
0.06
Red Cards
0.13
12.1
Fouls
14.5
0.8
Offsides
1.2
Efficiency
0.75
PPG
1.25
+0.05
Goals vs xG
+0.38
10%
Shot Conversion
13%
68%
Save %
67%
16
Played
17
19% 3-3-10
Win Rate
35% 6-6-5
46
Form Index
51
6.78
Team Rating
6.86
35
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Nantes
Toulouse
Results
29
71
Attack
6
94
Defense
11
89
Control
41
59
Discipline
74
26
Efficiency
51
49
Average
35
65
65
Attack
1.13
Goals
1.47
1.08
Expected Goals
1.44
11.4
Shots
14.3
3.4
Shots on Target
4.7
3.9
Corners
5
Defense
1.69
Conceded
1.41
1.36
Expected Goals Against
1.07
12.3
Shots Allowed
10.2
-0.56
Goal Difference
+0.06
19%
Clean Sheets
35%
Possession & Passing
44%
Possession
43%
79%
Pass Accuracy
82%
346
Passes
382
274
Accurate Passes
315
Discipline
1.88
Yellow Cards
1.76
0.06
Red Cards
0.18
12.1
Fouls
13.6
0.8
Offsides
0.9
Efficiency
0.75
PPG
1.41
+0.05
Goals vs xG
+0.03
10%
Shot Conversion
10%
68%
Save %
64%
17
Played
16
12% 2-5-10
Win Rate
38% 6-2-8
40
Form Index
48
6.75
Team Rating
6.77
36
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Nantes
Toulouse
Results
24
76
Attack
31
69
Defense
46
54
Control
47
53
Discipline
58
42
Efficiency
13
87
Average
36
64
64
Attack
0.65
Goals
1.38
0.97
Expected Goals
0.99
10.3
Shots
10.7
3.1
Shots on Target
3.7
3.3
Corners
3.7
Defense
1.47
Conceded
1.38
1.40
Expected Goals Against
1.40
13.9
Shots Allowed
14.1
-0.82
Goal Difference
0
24%
Clean Sheets
19%
Possession & Passing
40%
Possession
41%
79%
Pass Accuracy
81%
336
Passes
354
266
Accurate Passes
288
Discipline
2.06
Yellow Cards
2.81
0.12
Red Cards
0.13
12.4
Fouls
14.5
1.6
Offsides
1.2
Efficiency
0.65
PPG
1.25
-0.33
Goals vs xG
+0.38
6%
Shot Conversion
13%
70%
Save %
67%
33
Played
33
15% 5-8-20
Win Rate
36% 12-8-13
44
Form Index
46
6.76
Team Rating
6.82
33
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Nantes
Toulouse
Results
32
68
Attack
15
85
Defense
23
77
Control
44
56
Discipline
69
31
Efficiency
14
86
Average
33
67
67
Attack
0.88
Goals
1.42
1.02
Expected Goals
1.23
10.8
Shots
12.5
3.2
Shots on Target
4.2
3.6
Corners
4.4
Defense
1.58
Conceded
1.39
1.38
Expected Goals Against
1.23
13.2
Shots Allowed
12.1
-0.70
Goal Difference
+0.03
21%
Clean Sheets
27%
Possession & Passing
42%
Possession
42%
79%
Pass Accuracy
82%
341
Passes
368
270
Accurate Passes
302
Discipline
1.97
Yellow Cards
2.27
0.09
Red Cards
0.15
12.3
Fouls
14.0
1.2
Offsides
1.1
Efficiency
0.70
PPG
1.33
-0.14
Goals vs xG
+0.20
8%
Shot Conversion
11%
69%
Save %
65%
5
Played
5
20% 1-3-1
Win Rate
20% 1-3-1
—
Form Index
—
6.96
Team Rating
6.93
44
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Nantes
Toulouse
Results
50
50
Attack
10
90
Defense
30
70
Control
32
68
Discipline
74
26
Efficiency
69
31
Average
44
56
56
Attack
1
Goals
1
0.93
Expected Goals
1.44
9
Shots
12.2
2.4
Shots on Target
4.8
3.8
Corners
6.6
Defense
1
Conceded
1
1.44
Expected Goals Against
0.93
12.2
Shots Allowed
9
0
Goal Difference
0
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
Possession & Passing
46%
Possession
54%
83%
Pass Accuracy
83%
414
Passes
486
344
Accurate Passes
403
Discipline
2.20
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0.20
12.4
Fouls
13.4
0.6
Offsides
1.2
Efficiency
1.20
PPG
1.20
-0.27
Goals vs xG
-0.77
11%
Shot Conversion
8%
75%
Save %
88%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Toulouse
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Nantes vs Toulouse: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nantes and away matches for Toulouse
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
Nantes
Toulouse
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
60%
6
50%
5
Double Chance
Nantes
Toulouse
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
40%
4
50%
5
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Nantes
Toulouse
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
50%
5
Total Corners
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Nantes
Toulouse
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
50%
5
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Nantes
Toulouse
xG
1.25
0.86
xGa
1.25
1.35
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Nantes
Toulouse
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
80%
8
20%
2
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Nantes
Toulouse
12
20%
2
80%
8
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Nantes
Toulouse
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Nantes
Toulouse
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
70%
7
30%
3
Double Chance
Nantes
Toulouse
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
30%
3
70%
7
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Nantes
Toulouse
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.39
Expected goals
1.38
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nantes will take on Toulouse as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-05-17 at 2026-05-17 in the famous Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau.
The referee for the game will be S. Frappart. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nantes, and the visiting side, Toulouse. The scoreline predictions suggest Draw or Toulouse.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-17
Time: 19:00
Location: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer
eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.