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Nantes vs Toulouse: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 17 May, 2026 14:00
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16
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(18 total)
xG
1.10
(17.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(182 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(30% acc)
Corners
3.9
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.1
(194 total)
Offsides
0.8
(12 total)
17
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6
(11 total)
xG
1.00
(16.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(175 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(30% acc)
Corners
3.3
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.4
(211 total)
Offsides
1.6
(27 total)
33
Played
5
Wins
8
Draws
20
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(29 total)
xG
1.00
(33.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(357 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(30% acc)
Corners
3.6
(118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
12.3
(405 total)
Offsides
1.2
(39 total)
17
Played
6
Wins
6
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(25 total)
xG
1.40
(24.6 total)
Shots per Match
14.3
(243 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(33% acc)
Corners
5
(85 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
13.6
(231 total)
Offsides
0.9
(16 total)
16
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(22 total)
xG
1.00
(15.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.7
(171 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(35% acc)
Corners
3.7
(59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.5
(232 total)
Offsides
1.2
(19 total)
33
Played
12
Wins
8
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(47 total)
xG
1.20
(40.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(414 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(34% acc)
Corners
4.4
(144 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(5 total)
Fouls
14
(463 total)
Offsides
1.1
(35 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.41 vs 1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.28%
⭐
0:1
8.86%
0:2
5.39%
0:3
2.19%
0:4
0.67%
0:5
0.16%
1
1:0
8.71%
1:1
12.15%
🔥
1:2
8.34%
1:3
3.77%
1:4
1.26%
1:5
0.34%
2
2:0
5.21%
2:1
8.2%
2:2
6.29%
2:3
3.14%
2:4
1.16%
2:5
0.34%
3
3:0
2.08%
3:1
3.64%
3:2
3.09%
3:3
1.7%
3:4
0.68%
⭐
3:5
0.22%
⭐
4
4:0
0.62%
4:1
1.2%
4:2
1.12%
4:3
0.67%
⭐
4:4
0.3%
⭐
4:5
0.1%
⭐
5
5:0
0.15%
5:1
0.31%
5:2
0.32%
5:3
0.21%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Nantes
Toulouse
LineUps
Substitutes
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Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nantes vs Toulouse Sunday, May 17th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
1 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Nantes vs Toulouse Football 17 May, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Nantes vs Toulouse.
🏆 Match Winner — Toulouse @ 2.70 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNantes
Relegation BattleLeague
Nantes are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Toulouse confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.12 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsNantes1 TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Nantes scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1675%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Toulouse Win or Draw @ 1.53 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsNantes
Relegation BattleLeague
Nantes are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak Trends90%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Toulouse confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNantes1 Trends — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Nantes average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 2.0) — rank #4 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends16 / 1684.5%
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Unlock Streak TrendsToulouse1 Trends — avg 2.5 (+28% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Toulouse average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+15% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends16 / 1687.5%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Toulouse aggressive drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 2.10
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.87 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNantes2 Trends — avg 2.9 (-38% below league)Few CornersLeague
Nantes average 2.9 corners/match at home (-38% below league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 885%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew CornersRecent
Nantes win 4 or fewer corners in 13 of their last 15 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1587%
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Unlock Streak TrendsToulouse1 Trends — avg 4.0 (-14% below league)Few CornersLeague
Toulouse average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-14% below league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 879%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 6.9 corners/match (Nantes 2.9 + Toulouse 4.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nantes vs Toulouse
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Nantes is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Nantes is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Nantes is stronger in the second half (15 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Nantes is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Nantes is stronger in the second half (15 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nantes
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Toulouse
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nantes - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Toulouse - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nantes - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Toulouse - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Nantes often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Nantes scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Nantes is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Nantes to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nantes shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Nantes winning the second half
- Overall Result: Toulouse has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Toulouse handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.06
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nantes):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Toulouse):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Nantes vs Toulouse Head-to-head statistics for Sun 17 May, 2026 @ 14:00 Ligue 1
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
11
12
11
48
51
-3
45
10
12
8
13
47
46
1
44
11
11
11
12
47
50
-3
44
16
7
11
16
37
60
-23
32
17
5
8
20
29
52
-23
23
18
3
8
23
32
76
-44
17
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Toulouse
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Nantes
VS
Toulouse
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
4
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (8)
0.9 (6)
xG
0.90
1.40
Shots
9.9 (69)
12 (84)
Shots on Target
3 (21)
4.7 (33)
Corners
4 (28)
6.9 (48)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 (6)
1.1 (8)
xGa
1.40
0.90
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (12)
2 (14)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
12.3 (86)
11.7 (82)
Offsides
1 (7)
1.6 (11)
Last 6 Matches
Nantes
VS
Toulouse
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.83
PPG
1.17
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
2.33
33%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.55
Avg xG
0.85
Nantes vs Toulouse: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nantes and away matches for Toulouse
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
Nantes
Toulouse
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
60%
6
50%
5
Double Chance
Nantes
Toulouse
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
40%
4
50%
5
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Nantes
Toulouse
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
50%
5
Total Corners
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Nantes
Toulouse
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
50%
5
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Nantes
Toulouse
xG
1.25
0.86
xGa
1.25
1.35
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Nantes
Toulouse
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
80%
8
20%
2
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Nantes
Toulouse
12
20%
2
80%
8
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Nantes
Toulouse
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Toulouse
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Nantes
Toulouse
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
70%
7
30%
3
Double Chance
Nantes
Toulouse
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
30%
3
70%
7
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Nantes
Toulouse
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Toulouse
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.39
xG
1.37
52%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
5
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nantes will take on Toulouse as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-05-17 at 2026-05-17 in the famous Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau.
The referee for the game will be S. Frappart. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nantes, and the visiting side, Toulouse. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Toulouse.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-17
Time: 19:00
Location: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!