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Nacional
Nacional vs Guimaraes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 16 May, 2026 12:00
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16
Played
5
Wins
2
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(21 total)
xG
1.20
(18.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(193 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(35% acc)
Corners
4.8
(76 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
13.6
(218 total)
Offsides
1.3
(21 total)
17
Played
3
Wins
5
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(14 total)
xG
0.90
(16.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.4
(210 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(34% acc)
Corners
3.9
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.7
(250 total)
Offsides
1.4
(24 total)
33
Played
8
Wins
7
Draws
18
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(35 total)
xG
1.10
(34.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(403 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(34% acc)
Corners
4.3
(143 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(7 total)
Fouls
14.2
(468 total)
Offsides
1.4
(45 total)
17
Played
8
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(26 total)
xG
1.20
(20.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(225 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(31% acc)
Corners
4.3
(73 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
15.1
(256 total)
Offsides
1.7
(29 total)
16
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(13 total)
xG
1.20
(18.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(204 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(29% acc)
Corners
4.3
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.1
(210 total)
Offsides
1.9
(31 total)
33
Played
12
Wins
6
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(39 total)
xG
1.20
(39.3 total)
Shots per Match
13
(429 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(30% acc)
Corners
4.3
(141 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
14.1
(466 total)
Offsides
1.8
(60 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.35 vs 1.15
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.93%
⭐
0:1
9.57%
⭐
0:2
4.61%
⭐
0:3
1.48%
⭐
0:4
0.36%
⭐
0:5
0.07%
1
1:0
11.55%
1:1
12.98%
🔥
1:2
7.15%
⭐
1:3
2.58%
⭐
1:4
0.69%
⭐
1:5
0.15%
⭐
2
2:0
6.72%
2:1
8.63%
2:2
5.37%
2:3
2.17%
2:4
0.64%
2:5
0.15%
⭐
3
3:0
2.61%
3:1
3.76%
3:2
2.62%
3:3
1.18%
3:4
0.38%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.76%
4:1
1.22%
4:2
0.94%
4:3
0.46%
4:4
0.17%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.18%
5:1
0.31%
5:2
0.26%
5:3
0.14%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.0%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nacional vs Guimaraes Saturday, May 16th, 2026 at 12:00 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Nacional vs Guimaraes Football 16 May, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
Guimaraes struggle to score — failed to find net in 7/7 recent away matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Nacional vs Guimaraes.
🏆 Match Winner — Guimaraes @ 4.40 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes
UnbeatenH2H
Guimaraes are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringH2H
Guimaraes efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional
Not WinH2H
Nacional have not won in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Guimaraes to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.83 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Nacional score (1.29/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 44%)
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 771%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Guimaraes struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.78 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Guimaraes struggle to score in away matches (0.57/match) - fail to score in 100% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 7100%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Guimaraes Win or Draw @ 2.02 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes
UnbeatenH2H
Guimaraes are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
Guimaraes are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional
Not WinH2H
Nacional have not won in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Guimaraes to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Guimaraes Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.25 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes
Scored 1+Recent
Guimaraes scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 2+Recent
Guimaraes scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFirst Half SpecialistsRecent
Guimaraes score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
Guimaraes score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Guimaraes maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional2 Trends — avg 2.9 (+10% above league)Few CardsH2H
Nacional receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes1 Trends — avg 2.2 (-17% below league)Many CardsRecent
Guimaraes receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nacional vs Guimaraes
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Guimaraes
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Guimaraes - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Guimaraes - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nacional excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nacional scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Nacional has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Nacional handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.174
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.041
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Guimaraes):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Nacional vs Guimaraes Head-to-head statistics for Sat 16 May, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
12
6
15
37
49
-12
42
8
12
6
15
39
49
-10
42
9
10
9
14
53
54
-1
39
13
▼
8
11
14
34
56
-22
35
14
8
7
18
35
45
-10
31
15
6
11
16
36
54
-18
29
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Guimaraes
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Nacional
VS
Guimaraes
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
2 (6)
xG
0.90
1.00
Shots
12.7 (38)
12 (36)
Shots on Target
2.7 (8)
3.7 (11)
Corners
3.3 (10)
4 (12)
Defense
Conceded
2 (6)
1.3 (4)
xGa
1.00
0.90
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 (4)
1.3 (4)
Fouls
14 (42)
16 (48)
Offsides
1.7 (5)
1.3 (4)
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Guimaraes
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
1.67
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
17%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.75
Avg xG
1.42
Nacional vs Guimaraes: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Guimaraes
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
60%
6
50%
5
Double Chance
Nacional
Guimaraes
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
40%
4
50%
5
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Nacional
Guimaraes
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
70%
7
60%
6
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Guimaraes
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Guimaraes
xG
0.73
1.21
xGa
1.52
1.34
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Nacional
Guimaraes
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Nacional
Guimaraes
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Nacional
Guimaraes
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Nacional
Guimaraes
0-1
90%
9
50%
5
2-3
10%
1
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Guimaraes
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1.28
xG
1.14
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
5
4
Yellow Cards
3
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Guimaraes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-05-16 at 2026-05-16 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Guimaraes. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Guimaraes.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-16
Time: 17:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!