Form
Form
Premier League 2026-2027 • Matchweek 1
Preview
Manchester City
Manchester City
14th place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
4th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Manchester City or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Manchester City vs Bournemouth: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 23 August, 2026 8:00

Winner (1x2)1.52
Manchester City to Win
Probability 57%
Total Goals3.00
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score2.63
No (NG)
Probability 54%
Manchester City Total1.22
Home Under 3.5
Probability 91%
Bournemouth Total1.39
Away Under 1.5
Probability 80%
Double Chance1.15
Manchester City/Draw
Probability 81%
Asian Handicap1.27
Bournemouth +2.5
Probability 89%
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Prediction League
Premier League 2026-2027
8:00
Manchester City W 57%
:
Bournemouth W 19%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.68 vs 0.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.12%
0:1
6.79%
0:2
2.84%
0:3
0.79%
0:4
0.17%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
13.67%
🔥
1:1
11.43%
1:2
4.78%
1:3
1.33%
1:4
0.28%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
11.49%
2:1
9.61%
2:2
4.02%
2:3
1.12%
2:4
0.23%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
6.44%
3:1
5.39%
3:2
2.25%
3:3
0.63%
3:4
0.13%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
2.71%
4:1
2.27%
4:2
0.95%
4:3
0.26%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.91%
5:1
0.76%
5:2
0.32%
5:3
0.09%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.1%
0
20.5%
1
25.8%
2
21.6%
3
13.6%
4
6.9%
5
2.6%
6
0.8%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Manchester CityHDPBournemouth
10.6%
Very Low@ 4.00
-2.5
1.0%
Very Low
18.9%
Very Low@ 3.31
-2
3.0%
Very Low
27.2%
Low@ 2.29
-1.5
5.0%
@ 11.50Very Low
40.8%
Medium@ 1.77
-1
11.7%
@ 10.50Very Low
54.3%
Medium@ 1.50
-0.5
18.4%
@ 5.90Very Low
81.6%
Very High@ 1.13
+0.5
45.7%
@ 2.75Medium
88.3%
Very High@ 1.02
+1
59.2%
@ 2.16Medium
95.0%
Very High@ 1.03
+1.5
72.8%
@ 1.73High
97.0%
Very High
+2
81.1%
@ 1.37Very High
99.0%
Very High
+2.5
89.4%
@ 1.26Very High

Team Total Predictions

Manchester CityOutcomeBournemouth
45.1%
Medium@ 1.40
Over 1.5
21.1%
@ 3.25Low
54.9%
Medium@ 3.00
Under 1.5
78.9%
@ 1.39High
20.9%
Low@ 2.29
Over 2.5
5.7%
@ 10.00Very Low
79.1%
High@ 1.66
Under 2.5
94.4%
@ 1.09Very High
Missing Players
Manchester City
11
m
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - Injury
26
f
- Injured - Illness
27
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Bournemouth
21
m
- Injured - Injury
22
d
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Suspended - Red Card
22
f
- Injured - Foot Injury
- Injured - Injury
12
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
7
f
- Injured - (questionable) Injury

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Manchester City vs Bournemouth Sunday, Aug 23rd, 2026 at 8:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Manchester City vs Bournemouth

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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-08-22 09:59:15
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Trends for Manchester City vs Bournemouth Football 23 Aug, 2026 8:00

Team Form Comparison

Manchester City Home
Form Index 66
Goals 10:5
PPG 1.80
Bournemouth Away
Form Index 61
Goals 6:3
PPG 2.20
REALARSWBREWCRYWASTL
BURDARSWNEWWFULWNOTD
3/5
Won
3/5
5/5
Scored
4/5
3/5
Scored 2+
2/5
2/5
Clean sheet
2/5
2/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
5/5
Over 2.5
2/5
3/5
BTTS
3/5

Manchester City

REALARSWBREWCRYWASTL
Won 3/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 2/5
Over 2.5 5/5
BTTS 3/5

Bournemouth

BURDARSWNEWWFULWNOTD
Won 3/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 0/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 3/5
Head-to-Head · Last 7
BTTS 6/7
Over 2.5 5/7
Manchester City unbeaten 3/3

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Manchester City Home
Bournemouth Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Second half: Bournemouth is stronger (11 vs 6).
  • Final stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the closing minutes (8 vs 3).

Recommendation: Teams are evenly matched. Consider draw or exact score markets.

Home Early Strength Moderate 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.18 factor
Home Pressure 0.05 Away 0.11

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
2 0.10
12 0.60
First Half (0–45)
9 0.45
6 0.30
Second Half (46–90)
11 0.55
3 0.15
Final Stage (76–90)
8 0.40

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.066 Moderate
Pressure Away +0.054 Moderate
Timing Away +0.005 Weak
Defense Away +0.023 Weak

Momentum

Manchester City Metric Bournemouth
7 Positive Sequences 1
5 Comeback Goals 10
3 Negative Sequences 3
10 Killer Goals 10

Pressure

Manchester City Metric Bournemouth
3 Early Pressure 2
3 Late Pressure 8
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Manchester City Metric Bournemouth
3 Fast Starts 2
9 Half-time Spurts 7
3 Second Half Starts 3
3 Late Surges 8

Defense

Manchester City Metric Bournemouth
2 Early Conceded 1
7 Late Conceded 6
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Second half winner: high probability of Bournemouth winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Bournemouth excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: teams are evenly matched — consider draw or exact score markets.

Summary

Manchester City

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Bournemouth

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes. Consider late goals and last-goal markets.

Manchester City
Bournemouth

Manchester City vs Bournemouth Head-to-head statistics for Sun 23 Aug, 2026 @ 8:00 Premier League

0 Played 0
0-0-0 Win Rate 0-0-0
Form Index
Team Rating
50 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Manchester City Bournemouth Attack 50 50 Defense 50 50 Control 50 50 Discipline 50 50 Average 50 50 50

Attack

0
Goals
0
Expected Goals
0
Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0

Defense

0
Conceded
0
Expected Goals Against
0
Shots Allowed
0
0
Goal Difference
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

Possession
Pass Accuracy
0
Passes
0
0
Accurate Passes
0

Discipline

0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Fouls
0
0
Offsides
0

Efficiency

PPG
Goals vs xG
Shot Conversion
Save %
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Manchester City
Under/Over: Under 2.5
Goals Home: 1.7
Goals Away: 0.8
Expected goals from the eScored model. Over/Under is the most likely 2.5 line.
Who Will Win

Manchester City vs Bournemouth: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Manchester City and away matches for Bournemouth

Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
1X2
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
Manchester City
Bournemouth
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
50% 5
60% 6
Total Goals
Manchester City
Bournemouth
0-1
10% 1
30% 3
2-3
80% 8
50% 5
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Total Corners
Manchester City
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
7.5
10% 1
90% 9
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
20% 2
80% 8
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Manchester City
Bournemouth
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Manchester City
Bournemouth
xG
1.85
1.76
xGa
1.34
1.3
Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
50% 5
60% 6
2
10% 1
10% 1
Double Chance
Manchester City
Bournemouth
12
50% 5
40% 4
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Manchester City
Bournemouth
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2
Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Manchester City
Bournemouth
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
50% 5
60% 6
Total Goals
Manchester City
Bournemouth
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1.68 Expected goals 0.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 4
13 Shots Off Goal 7
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Premier League 2026-2027 matchup, Manchester City will take on Bournemouth as part of the 2026-2027 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-08-23 at 2026-08-23 in the famous Etihad Stadium. The referee for the game will be J. Gillett. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Manchester City, and the visiting side, Bournemouth. The scoreline predictions suggest Bournemouth AH+1.5. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-08-23 Time: 13:00 Location: Etihad Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!