Form
Form
Premier League 2026-2027 • Matchweek 1
Preview
Brighton
Brighton
8th place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
5th place
Form
P. Bankes
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Aston Villa
1 2.29 X 3.62 2 3.31
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Brighton vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 23 August, 2026 8:00

Winner (1x2)2.25
Brighton to Win
Probability 38%
Total Goals1.83
Over 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score1.62
Yes
Probability 58%
Brighton Total1.24
Home Under 2.5
Probability 83%
Aston Villa Total1.32
Away Over 0.5
Probability 76%
Double Chance1.39
Brighton/Draw
Probability 63%
Asian Handicap1.23
Aston Villa +1.5
Probability 85%
<
>
Best Tip PREMIUM

Today free quota for this competition is already allocated.

Upgrade to Premium
Prediction League
Premier League 2026-2027
• 8:00
Brighton W 38%
:
Aston Villa W 37%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.43 vs 1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.75%
0:1
8.23%
⭐
0:2
5.89%
⭐
0:3
2.81%
⭐
0:4
1.01%
⭐
0:5
0.29%
⭐
1
1:0
8.23%
1:1
11.78%
🔥
1:2
8.43%
⭐
1:3
4.02%
⭐
1:4
1.44%
⭐
1:5
0.41%
⭐
2
2:0
5.9%
2:1
8.44%
2:2
6.04%
2:3
2.88%
2:4
1.03%
⭐
2:5
0.29%
⭐
3
3:0
2.81%
3:1
4.03%
3:2
2.88%
3:3
1.37%
3:4
0.49%
3:5
0.14%
4
4:0
1.01%
4:1
1.44%
4:2
1.03%
4:3
0.49%
4:4
0.18%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.29%
5:1
0.41%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.14%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.8%
0
16.5%
1
23.6%
2
22.5%
3
16.1%
4
9.2%
5
4.3%
6
1.6%
7
0.5%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BrightonHDPAston Villa
4.8%
Very Low@ 8.50
-2.5
4.8%
@ 12.00Very Low
9.9%
Very Low@ 6.90
-2
9.9%
Very Low
15.0%
Very Low@ 4.00
-1.5
15.0%
@ 6.25Very Low
25.5%
Low@ 3.42
-1
25.5%
@ 5.50Low
36.0%
Low@ 2.24
-0.5
35.9%
@ 3.22Low
64.1%
High@ 1.40
+0.5
64.0%
@ 1.71High
74.6%
High@ 1.15
+1
74.5%
@ 1.34High
85.0%
Very High@ 1.12
+1.5
85.0%
@ 1.23Very High
90.1%
Very High
+2
90.1%
@ 1.04Very High
95.2%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
95.2%
@ 1.05Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

BrightonOutcomeAston Villa
38.5%
Low@ 2.04
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.59Low
61.5%
High@ 1.81
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.53High
15.8%
Very Low@ 4.30
Over 2.5
15.8%
@ 6.30Very Low
84.2%
Very High@ 1.23
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.14Very High
Missing Players
Brighton
E. Ferguson
- Injured - Ankle Injury
11
f
Y. Minteh
- Injured - Injury
17
m
C. Baleba
- Injured - (questionable) Ankle Injury
22
f
K. Mitoma
- Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
S. Tzimas
- Injured - (questionable) Knee Injury
Aston Villa
35
m
João Gomes
- Injured - Calf Injury
39
f
Brian Madjo
- Injured - Injury
24
m
A. Onana
- Injured - Knee Injury
18
f
T. Abraham
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
31
f
L. Bailey
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
49
f
A. Garnacho
- Injured - (questionable) Concussion
44
m
J. Manzambi
- Injured - (questionable) Knee Injury
23
g
E. Martínez
- Injured - (questionable) Finger Injury

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Brighton vs Aston Villa Sunday, Aug 23rd, 2026 at 8:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Brighton vs Aston Villa

Premium

PREMIUM AI Value Bets

Value bets, expected value and Kelly stakes are available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-08-22 09:59:15
Home Draw Away
William Hill 2.15 3.40 3.20
Bet365 2.20 3.60 3.10
Unibet 2.23 3.55 3.10
Betfair 2.20 3.60 3.20
Pinnacle 2.24 3.58 3.25
SBO 2.20 3.12 2.82
Betano 2.22 3.55 3.15
888Sport 2.15 3.30 3.10
Dafabet 2.24 3.60 3.20
spinner

Trends for Brighton vs Aston Villa Football 23 Aug, 2026 8:00

Team Form Comparison

Brighton Home
Form Index 58
Goals 8:5
PPG 1.80
Aston Villa Away
Form Index 46
Goals 7:5
PPG 1.40
ARSLLIVWCHEWWOLWMUNL
FULLNOTLBURDFREWMACW
3/5
Won
2/5
3/5
Scored
3/5
3/5
Scored 2+
3/5
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
1/5
BTTS
2/5

Brighton

ARSLLIVWCHEWWOLWMUNL
Won 3/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 1/5

Aston Villa

FULLNOTLBURDFREWMACW
Won 2/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 7
BTTS 4/7
Over 2.5 5/7
Aston Villa unbeaten 4/4

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Brighton Home
Aston Villa Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: Brighton is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
  • Second half: Aston Villa is stronger (18 vs 12).
  • Final stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the closing minutes (12 vs 9).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.05 factor
Home Pressure 0.18 Away 0.17

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
7 0.35
Fast Start (0–15)
4 0.20
9 0.45
First Half (0–45)
10 0.50
12 0.60
Second Half (46–90)
18 0.90
9 0.45
Final Stage (76–90)
12 0.60

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.092 Moderate
Pressure Home +0.009 Weak
Timing Away +0.018 Weak
Defense Away +0.008 Weak

Momentum

Brighton Metric Aston Villa
2 Positive Sequences 4
3 Comeback Goals 5
1 Negative Sequences 6
7 Killer Goals 9

Pressure

Brighton Metric Aston Villa
7 Early Pressure 4
9 Late Pressure 12
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Brighton Metric Aston Villa
7 Fast Starts 4
2 Half-time Spurts 6
3 Second Half Starts 6
9 Late Surges 12

Defense

Brighton Metric Aston Villa
3 Early Conceded 2
3 Late Conceded 4
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Home fast start: Brighton often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
  • First goal: high probability of Brighton scoring first.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Aston Villa winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Aston Villa excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Aston Villa holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Brighton

Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Aston Villa

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Aston Villa has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and away win markets.

Brighton
Aston Villa

Brighton vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Sun 23 Aug, 2026 @ 8:00 Premier League

0 Played 0
— 0-0-0 Win Rate — 0-0-0
— Form Index —
— Team Rating —
50 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Brighton Aston Villa Attack 50 50 Defense 50 50 Control 50 50 Discipline 50 50 Average 50 50 50

Attack

0
Goals
0
—
Expected Goals
—
0
Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0

Defense

0
Conceded
0
—
Expected Goals Against
—
0
Shots Allowed
0
0
Goal Difference
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

—
Possession
—
—
Pass Accuracy
—
0
Passes
0
0
Accurate Passes
0

Discipline

0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Fouls
0
0
Offsides
0

Efficiency

—
PPG
—
—
Goals vs xG
—
—
Shot Conversion
—
—
Save %
—
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw
Under/Over: Over 2.5
Goals Home: 1.4
Goals Away: 1.4
Expected goals from the eScored model. Over/Under is the most likely 2.5 line.
Who Will Win

Brighton vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Brighton and away matches for Aston Villa

Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Aston Villa
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
50% 5
60% 6
X
10% 1
10% 1
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Brighton
Aston Villa
12
90% 9
90% 9
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
50% 5
40% 4
Total Goals
Brighton
Aston Villa
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
20% 2
50% 5
Total Corners
Brighton
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Aston Villa
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Brighton
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Brighton
Aston Villa
xG
1.58
1.61
xGa
1.07
1.19
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Aston Villa
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Brighton
Aston Villa
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Brighton
Aston Villa
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Aston Villa
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Aston Villa
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
50% 5
60% 6
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
10% 1
Double Chance
Brighton
Aston Villa
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
50% 5
40% 4
Total Goals
Brighton
Aston Villa
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Aston Villa
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
1.43 Expected goals 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
Aston Villa
brighton
UEFA Champions League 2025 Winner Prediction: Analysis & Betting Insights
Posted on
In this exciting Premier League 2026-2027 matchup, Brighton will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2026-2027 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-08-23 at 2026-08-23 in the famous . The referee for the game will be P. Bankes. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Brighton, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Aston Villa Over 0.5 Goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-08-23 Time: 13:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.