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Form
Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Manchester City
Manchester City
2nd place
Form
VS
15:00
24 May 2026
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
4th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Manchester City or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 24 May, 2026 10:00

Winner (1x2)1.35
Manchester City to Win
Probability 70%
Total Goals1.34
Over 2.5
Probability 57%
Both Teams to Score2.45
No (NG)
Probability 51%
Manchester City Total1.25
Home Over 1.5
Probability 65%
Aston Villa Total1.34
Away Under 1.5
Probability 82%
Double Chance1.10
Manchester City/Draw
Probability 88%
Asian Handicap1.47
Aston Villa +2.5
Probability 75%
Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
15:00
Manchester City W 70%
:
Aston Villa W 12%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Manchester City
w d w w d
24 Played
18 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6 (63 total)
xG
1.80 (43.5 total)
Shots per Match
16.5 (396 total)
Shots on Target
6.5 (39% acc)
Corners
6.8 (163 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
8.9 (214 total)
Offsides
1 (24 total)
24 Played
11 Wins
7 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (39 total)
xG
1.60 (39.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (338 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (34% acc)
Corners
5.6 (135 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10 (239 total)
Offsides
1.3 (30 total)
48 Played
29 Wins
10 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (102 total)
xG
1.70 (83.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.3 (734 total)
Shots on Target
5.7 (37% acc)
Corners
6.2 (298 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
19 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (2 total)
Fouls
9.4 (453 total)
Offsides
1.1 (54 total)
Aston Villa
l w d w w
26 Played
19 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (50 total)
xG
1.40 (36.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.3 (345 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (40% acc)
Corners
5.4 (140 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10 (259 total)
Offsides
1.2 (31 total)
27 Played
13 Wins
6 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (37 total)
xG
1.10 (29.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.3 (305 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (37% acc)
Corners
4.8 (130 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.3 (277 total)
Offsides
1 (28 total)
53 Played
32 Wins
8 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (87 total)
xG
1.30 (66.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.3 (650 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (38% acc)
Corners
5.1 (270 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
18 (34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10.1 (536 total)
Offsides
1.1 (59 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.23 vs 0.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.99%
0:1
3.67%
0:2
1.12%
0:3
0.23%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
12.35%
1:1
8.56%
1:2
2.93%
1:3
0.66%
1:4
0.11%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
12.73%
🔥
2:1
9.87%
2:2
3.74%
2:3
0.93%
2:4
0.17%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
8.75%
3:1
7.5%
3:2
3.12%
3:3
0.85%
3:4
0.17%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
4.51%
4:1
4.23%
4:2
1.92%
4:3
0.57%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
1.86%
5:1
1.9%
5:2
0.94%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 2:0 (12.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.0%
0
16.0%
1
22.4%
2
21.8%
3
16.4%
4
10.3%
5
4.9%
6
1.7%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Manchester CityHDPAston Villa
25.3%
Low@ 2.80
-2.5
0.7%
Very Low
35.9%
Low@ 2.25
-2
1.9%
Very Low
46.5%
Medium@ 1.86
-1.5
3.2%
@ 13.00Very Low
58.5%
Medium@ 1.45
-1
7.3%
@ 11.50Very Low
70.5%
High@ 1.42
-0.5
11.4%
@ 6.75Very Low
88.6%
Very High@ 1.12
+0.5
29.5%
@ 3.55Low
92.7%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
41.5%
@ 3.05Medium
96.8%
Very High@ 1.01
+1.5
53.5%
@ 2.17Medium
98.1%
Very High
+2
64.1%
@ 1.69High
99.3%
Very High
+2.5
74.7%
@ 1.47High

Team Total Predictions

Manchester CityOutcomeAston Villa
65.3%
High@ 1.25
Over 1.5
18.4%
@ 3.50Very Low
34.7%
Low@ 4.43
Under 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.34Very High
38.5%
Low@ 1.83
Over 2.5
4.5%
@ 11.00Very Low
61.5%
High@ 2.13
Under 2.5
95.5%
@ 1.07Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Manchester City vs Aston Villa Sunday, May 24th, 2026 at 10:00 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

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Total Home Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 62.9%
EV: +34.0%
Stake: $2.21
2.13
Correct Score 2:0
High Value
Prob: 12.3%
EV: +22.8%
Stake: $0.28
10.00
Home Total Manchester City Under 3.5
High Value
Prob: 81.9%
EV: +15.4%
Stake: $6.10
1.41
Total Home Under 3.5
High Value
Prob: 81.9%
EV: +15.4%
Stake: $6.10
1.41
Asian Handicap Aston Villa +2.5
Value
Prob: 74.7%
EV: +9.8%
Stake: $5.32
1.47
Away Total Aston Villa Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 81.6%
EV: +9.3%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 81.6%
EV: +9.3%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Asian Handicap Aston Villa +2
Value
Prob: 64.1%
EV: +8.3%
Stake: $3.62
1.69
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-22 02:04:16
spinner

Trends for Manchester City vs Aston Villa Football 24 May, 2026 10:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Manchester City have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Manchester City score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Manchester City vs Aston Villa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the second half (19 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Aston Villa is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Manchester City

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Aston Villa

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.17

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Manchester City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Aston Villa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Manchester City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Aston Villa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Aston Villa shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Aston Villa winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Aston Villa excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Aston Villa scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.198
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.113
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Manchester City):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Manchester City
Aston Villa

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Sun 24 May, 2026 @ 10:00 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Arsenal
l w w w w
>
37
25
7
5
69
26
43
82
2
Manchester City
w d w w d
>
37
23
9
5
76
33
43
78
3
37
19
11
7
66
50
16
68
4
Aston Villa
w l l d w
>
37
18
8
11
54
48
6
62
5
Liverpool
w w l d l
>
37
17
8
12
62
52
10
59
Team comparison
Prediction
Manchester City Under 3.5 Goals
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Manchester City
VS
Aston Villa
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
7 Wins
1 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (20)
1.1 (12)
xG
1.10
1.30
Shots
16.5 (182)
8.9 (98)
Shots on Target
5.9 (65)
3.4 (37)
Corners
7.6 (84)
3.1 (34)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 (12)
1.8 (20)
xGa
1.30
1.10
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 (16)
1.8 (20)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
9.5 (104)
10.8 (119)
Offsides
1.9 (21)
1.8 (20)
26 Oct
- 14:00
Aston Villa
Manchester City
0.56
xG
1.03
1
0
Prob 78%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.40
22 Apr
- 19:00
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1.09
xG
1.58
2
1
21 Dec
- 12:30
Aston Villa
Manchester City
1.67
xG
1.03
2
1
3 Apr
- 19:15
Manchester City
Aston Villa
4
1
6 Dec
- 20:15
Aston Villa
Manchester City
1
0
12 Feb
- 16:30
Manchester City
Aston Villa
3
1
3 Sep
- 16:30
Aston Villa
Manchester City
1
1
22 May
- 15:00
Manchester City
Aston Villa
3
2
1 Dec
- 20:15
Aston Villa
Manchester City
1
2
21 Apr
- 19:15
Aston Villa
Manchester City
1
2
Last 6 Matches
Manchester City
VS
Aston Villa
4/6 (67%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
2.33 PPG 1.33
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
50% BTTS % 50%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.91 Avg xG 1.48
Manchester City
W D W W D
Premier League 2025-2026
19 May 2026 - 18:30
Bournemouth
1 1
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
13 May 2026 - 19:00
Manchester City
3 0
Crystal Palace
Premier League 2025-2026
9 May 2026 - 16:30
Manchester City
3 0
Brentford
Premier League 2025-2026
4 May 2026 - 19:00
Everton
3 3
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
22 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Burnley
0 1
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
19 Apr 2026 - 15:30
Manchester City
2 1
Arsenal
Aston Villa
L W D W W
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
20 May 2026 - 19:00
SC Freiburg
0 3
Aston Villa
Premier League 2025-2026
15 May 2026 - 19:00
Aston Villa
4 2
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 13:00
Burnley
2 2
Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
7 May 2026 - 19:00
Aston Villa
4 0
Nottingham Forest
Premier League 2025-2026
3 May 2026 - 18:00
Aston Villa
1 2
Tottenham
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
30 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Nottingham Forest
1 0
Aston Villa

Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Manchester City and away matches for Aston Villa

Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Manchester City
Aston Villa
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
Manchester City
Aston Villa
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
80% 8
30% 3
4+
10% 1
50% 5
Total Corners
Manchester City
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
10% 1
90% 9
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
20% 2
80% 8
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
50% 5
50% 5
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Manchester City
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Manchester City
Aston Villa
xG
1.77
1.53
xGa
1.42
1.18
Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Manchester City
Aston Villa
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Manchester City
Aston Villa
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
20% 2
10% 1
Double Chance
Manchester City
Aston Villa
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
Manchester City
Aston Villa
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Yes
80% 8
60% 6
No
20% 2
40% 4
2.14 xG 0.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
English Premier League 2025/26 Season Preview
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In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Manchester City will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-24 at 2026-05-24 in the famous Etihad Stadium. The referee for the game will be A. Madley. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Manchester City, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Manchester City or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-24 Time: 15:00 Location: Etihad Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!