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Lille
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1
Lorient
Lille vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 12 March, 2026 12:45
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
18
Played
10
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(30 total)
xG
1.50
(26.9 total)
Shots per Match
14.4
(259 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(32% acc)
Corners
6.8
(123 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.6
(191 total)
Offsides
1.3
(24 total)
17
Played
7
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(22 total)
xG
1.30
(22.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(219 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(34% acc)
Corners
5.6
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
11.7
(199 total)
Offsides
1.5
(26 total)
35
Played
17
Wins
5
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(52 total)
xG
1.40
(49.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(478 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(33% acc)
Corners
6.2
(218 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(6 total)
Fouls
11.1
(390 total)
Offsides
1.4
(50 total)
19
Played
13
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(29 total)
xG
1.30
(24.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.3
(253 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(37% acc)
Corners
5.6
(106 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(37%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.9
(189 total)
Offsides
1.3
(25 total)
19
Played
10
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(26 total)
xG
1.10
(21.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(215 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(39% acc)
Corners
4.8
(91 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.1
(192 total)
Offsides
1
(19 total)
38
Played
23
Wins
6
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(55 total)
xG
1.20
(45.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(468 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(38% acc)
Corners
5.2
(197 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(381 total)
Offsides
1.2
(44 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.17 vs 1.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.14%
0:1
4.13%
0:2
3.05%
0:3
1.6%
0:4
0.63%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
4.57%
1:1
7.58%
1:2
6.96%
1:3
4.07%
1:4
1.77%
⭐
1:5
0.61%
⭐
2
2:0
3.79%
2:1
7.76%
🔥
2:2
7.73%
⭐
2:3
5.02%
⭐
2:4
2.4%
⭐
2:5
0.9%
⭐
3
3:0
2.21%
3:1
5.06%
⭐
3:2
5.59%
⭐
3:3
4.01%
⭐
3:4
2.1%
⭐
3:5
0.86%
⭐
4
4:0
0.97%
⭐
4:1
2.45%
⭐
4:2
2.98%
⭐
4:3
2.34%
⭐
4:4
1.34%
⭐
4:5
0.6%
⭐
5
5:0
0.34%
⭐
5:1
0.94%
⭐
5:2
1.25%
⭐
5:3
1.07%
⭐
5:4
0.66%
⭐
5:5
0.32%
Hotspot:
2:1 (7.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase matchup, Lille will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-12 at 2026-03-12 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lille, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Aston Villa.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-12
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lille vs Aston Villa Thursday, Mar 12th, 2026 at 12:45 Football
AI Value Bets
4 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Lille vs Aston Villa Football 12 Mar, 2026 12:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Aston Villa have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Lille score in 2nd half 80% of matches — expect late goals
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Lille vs Aston Villa.
🏆 Match Winner — Aston Villa @ 2.51 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
League Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.75 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 470%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Aston Villa efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 8100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.08 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLille1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Lille score 2.00 goals/match at home (+49% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa1 TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 8100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 2.0 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Aston Villa Win or Draw @ 1.42 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
League Best DefenseLeague
Aston Villa concede only 0.75 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 470%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Aston Villa are undefeated at half time in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 888%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.50 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAston Villa
Scored 1+Recent
Aston Villa scored 1+ goals in their last 8 8 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 8100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFirst Half SpecialistsRecent
Aston Villa score in first half in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Aston Villa's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsLille1 Trends — avg 1.8 (-19% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Lille average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 2.1)
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1084.5%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.20 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLille1 Trends — avg 8.6 (+86% above league)Many CornersLeague
Lille average 8.6 corners/match at home (+86% above league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 585%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lille drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.20
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Lille vs Aston Villa
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the second half (14 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Lille
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Lille - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Lille - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Aston Villa shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 10 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Aston Villa winning the second half
- Overall Result: Aston Villa has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Aston Villa handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.006
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lille):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Lille vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Thu 12 Mar, 2026 @ 12:45 UEFA Europa League
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Aston Villa
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Lille
VS
Aston Villa
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.00
PPG
0.00
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
33%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.03
Avg xG
1.02
Lille vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lille and away matches for Aston Villa
Number of goals
Lille
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lille
Aston Villa
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Lille
Aston Villa
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Lille
Aston Villa
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Lille
Aston Villa
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Total Corners
Lille
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Lille
Aston Villa
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Lille
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT X
30%
3
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Lille
Aston Villa
xG
1.07
1.17
xGa
0.84
1.54
Number of goals
Lille
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lille
Aston Villa
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2
Lille
Aston Villa
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Lille
Aston Villa
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Lille
Aston Villa
0-1
90%
9
90%
9
2-3
10%
1
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lille
Aston Villa
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Number of goals
Lille
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lille
Aston Villa
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Lille
Aston Villa
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
60%
6
20%
2
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Lille
Aston Villa
12
40%
4
80%
8
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Lille
Aston Villa
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Lille
Aston Villa
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
1.53
xG
1.86
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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