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Form
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 30
Live
Karpaty
Karpaty
9th place
Form
- : -
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
8th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 10:00

Winner (1x2)-
Karpaty to Win
Probability 39%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 51%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 56%
Karpaty Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 84%
Zorya Luhansk Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 86%
Double Chance-
Karpaty/Draw
Probability 67%
Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026
15:00
Karpaty W 39%
:
Zorya Luhansk W 33%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Karpaty
l l l d w
10 Played
1 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (11 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
10 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (14 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
20 Played
5 Wins
8 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (25 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
Zorya Luhansk
l d l w d
10 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (14 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
10 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (13 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
20 Played
7 Wins
7 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (27 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.39 vs 1.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.5%
0:1
9.18%
0:2
4.96%
0:3
1.78%
0:4
0.48%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
10.12%
1:1
12.63%
🔥
1:2
7.74%
1:3
3.12%
1:4
0.93%
1:5
0.22%
2
2:0
6.02%
2:1
8.52%
2:2
5.87%
2:3
2.63%
2:4
0.87%
2:5
0.22%
3
3:0
2.39%
3:1
3.78%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
1.43%
3:4
0.52%
3:5
0.15%
4
4:0
0.71%
4:1
1.24%
4:2
1.05%
4:3
0.57%
4:4
0.23%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.17%
5:1
0.32%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.18%
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.5%
0
19.3%
1
23.6%
2
20.4%
3
14.0%
4
8.0%
5
3.9%
6
1.6%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

KarpatyHDPZorya Luhansk
5.6%
Very Low
-2.5
4.1%
Very Low
11.1%
Very Low
-2
8.7%
Very Low
16.7%
Very Low
-1.5
13.3%
Very Low
27.7%
Low
-1
23.2%
Low
38.6%
Low
-0.5
33.2%
Low
66.8%
High
+0.5
61.4%
High
76.8%
High
+1
72.4%
High
86.8%
Very High
+1.5
83.3%
Very High
91.3%
Very High
+2
88.9%
Very High
95.9%
Very High
+2.5
94.4%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

KarpatyOutcomeZorya Luhansk
40.5%
Medium
Over 1.5
36.6%
Low
59.5%
Medium
Under 1.5
63.4%
High
16.4%
Very Low
Over 2.5
13.8%
Very Low
83.6%
Very High
Under 2.5
86.2%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 10:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk Football 23 May, 2026 10:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Zorya Luhansk is stronger in the second half (13 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Zorya Luhansk is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Karpaty

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Zorya Luhansk

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Karpaty - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Zorya Luhansk - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Karpaty - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Zorya Luhansk - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Zorya Luhansk shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Zorya Luhansk winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Zorya Luhansk excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Zorya Luhansk scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Zorya Luhansk has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Zorya Luhansk handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.121
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.05
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Karpaty):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Zorya Luhansk):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk

Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 10:00 Ukrainian Premier League

Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
Kolos Kovalivka
d l w l d
>
20
7
8
5
19
20
-1
29
8
Zorya Luhansk
l d l w d
>
20
7
7
6
27
24
3
28
9
Karpaty
l l l d w
>
20
5
8
7
25
26
-1
23
10
Veres Rivne
l w l l d
>
19
5
7
7
16
23
-7
22
Team comparison
Who Will Win
Karpaty
VS
Zorya Luhansk
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (2)
2 (6)
Shots
2.7 (8)
4.3 (13)
Shots on Target
1.7 (5)
1 (3)
Corners
0.3 (1)
1.3 (4)
Defense
Conceded
2 (6)
0.7 (2)
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (6)
2.3 (7)
Fouls
3 (9)
4.7 (14)
Offsides
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
5 Dec
- 16:00
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1
0
Prob 63%
Goals Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.85
25 May
- 15:00
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
3
2 Dec
- 16:00
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
2
1
Last 6 Matches
Karpaty
VS
Zorya Luhansk
1/6 (17%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.67 PPG 1.33
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
33% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
Karpaty
L L L D W
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Mar 2026 - 11:00
SK Poltava
0 4
Karpaty
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 13:30
Karpaty
1 1
Kudrivka
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 16:00
Karpaty
0 1
Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Feb 2026 - 13:30
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 0
Karpaty
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Polessya
3 2
Karpaty
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Zorya Luhansk
1 0
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
L D L W D
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 13:30
Kolos Kovalivka
1 1
Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 11:00
Zorya Luhansk
4 0
SK Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 11:00
Kryvbas KR
3 1
Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Feb 2026 - 13:30
Kudrivka
2 2
Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 13:30
LNZ Cherkasy
2 0
Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Zorya Luhansk
1 0
Karpaty

Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Karpaty and away matches for Zorya Luhansk

Number of goals
Karpaty
Under
Over
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
0-1
50% 5
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
20% 2
50% 5
Total Corners
Karpaty
Under
Over
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
7.5
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
8.5
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
9.5
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
10.5
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Number of goals
Karpaty
Under
Over
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Number of goals
Karpaty
Under
Over
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1.29 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots Off Goal 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Karpaty will take on Zorya Luhansk as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ukrainian Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 30 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous Stadion Ukraina. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Karpaty, and the visiting side, Zorya Luhansk. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-23 Time: 15:00 Location: Stadion Ukraina Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!