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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
9th place
Form
VS
17:00
3 Apr 2026
Tondela
Tondela
17th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Guimaraes or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Guimaraes vs Tondela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 3 April, 2026 12:00

Winner (1x2)1.82
Guimaraes to Win
Probability 50%
Total Goals2.13
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Both Teams to Score2.02
Yes
Probability 55%
Guimaraes Total1.26
Home Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Tondela Total1.04
Away Under 2.5
Probability 90%
Double Chance1.21
Guimaraes/Draw
Probability 78%
Asian Handicap1.36
Tondela +1.5
Probability 77%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
17:00
Guimaraes W 50%
:
Tondela W 22%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Guimaraes
l d l l l
14 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (19 total)
xG
1.10 (16.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (187 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (32% acc)
Corners
4.4 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
16 (224 total)
Offsides
1.7 (24 total)
13 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (10 total)
xG
1.10 (14.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (167 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (27% acc)
Corners
4.2 (54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.2 (172 total)
Offsides
1.9 (25 total)
27 Played
9 Wins
5 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (29 total)
xG
1.10 (30.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.1 (354 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (29% acc)
Corners
4.3 (115 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
14.7 (396 total)
Offsides
1.8 (49 total)
Tondela
d w d l d
14 Played
1 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (9 total)
xG
1.00 (14.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.7 (150 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (29% acc)
Corners
3.4 (48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.3 (186 total)
Offsides
2.3 (32 total)
12 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (10 total)
xG
1.20 (13.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.3 (112 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (36% acc)
Corners
4.1 (49 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
15 (180 total)
Offsides
2.2 (26 total)
26 Played
4 Wins
8 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (19 total)
xG
1.10 (28.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (262 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (32% acc)
Corners
3.7 (97 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.1 (366 total)
Offsides
2.2 (58 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.63 vs 1.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.96%
0:1
7.23%
0:2
3.28%
0:3
0.99%
0:4
0.23%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
11.37%
1:1
11.93%
🔥
1:2
6.15%
1:3
2.08%
1:4
0.52%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
8.12%
2:1
9.67%
2:2
5.59%
2:3
2.11%
2:4
0.58%
2:5
0.13%
3
3:0
3.87%
3:1
5.15%
3:2
3.31%
3:3
1.38%
3:4
0.42%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.38%
4:1
2.03%
4:2
1.44%
4:3
0.66%
4:4
0.22%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.39%
5:1
0.64%
5:2
0.49%
5:3
0.25%
5:4
0.09%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.0%
0
18.6%
1
23.3%
2
20.7%
3
14.4%
4
8.4%
5
4.1%
6
1.7%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

GuimaraesHDPTondela
8.4%
Very Low@ 6.80
-2.5
1.6%
Very Low
15.8%
Very Low@ 5.90
-2
4.3%
Very Low
23.1%
Low@ 3.33
-1.5
7.0%
@ 10.00Very Low
36.0%
Low@ 2.51
-1
14.8%
@ 9.30Very Low
48.9%
Medium@ 1.80
-0.5
22.7%
@ 4.56Low
77.3%
High@ 1.21
+0.5
51.1%
@ 2.09Medium
85.2%
Very High@ 1.00
+1
64.0%
@ 1.57High
93.0%
Very High@ 1.04
+1.5
76.9%
@ 1.36High
95.7%
Very High
+2
84.2%
@ 1.13Very High
98.4%
Very High
+2.5
91.6%
@ 1.10Very High

Team Total Predictions

GuimaraesOutcomeTondela
48.5%
Medium@ 2.01
Over 1.5
30.5%
@ 4.16Low
51.5%
Medium@ 1.90
Under 1.5
69.5%
@ 1.25High
22.4%
Low@ 4.23
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 13.00Very Low
77.6%
High@ 1.26
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.04Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Guimaraes will take on Tondela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-03 at 2026-04-03 in the famous Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Guimaraes, and the visiting side, Tondela. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Guimaraes or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-03 Time: 17:00 Location: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Guimaraes vs Tondela Friday, Apr 3rd, 2026 at 12:00 Football

AI Value Bets
3 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 55.4%
EV: +11.8%
Stake: $2.45
2.02
Asian Handicap Tondela +1.5
Value
Prob: 76.9%
EV: +4.6%
Stake: $6.94
1.36
Win to Nil Guimaraes NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 74.9%
EV: +4.2%
Stake: $6.41
1.39
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-29 02:45:21
spinner

Trends for Guimaraes vs Tondela Football 3 Apr, 2026 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Tondela struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent away matches

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Guimaraes vs Tondela

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Guimaraes

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Tondela

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Guimaraes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Tondela - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Guimaraes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Tondela - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Guimaraes has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Guimaraes handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.138
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.012
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Guimaraes):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Tondela):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Guimaraes
Tondela

Guimaraes vs Tondela Head-to-head statistics for Fri 3 Apr, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Moreirense
l d d l l
>
27
10
5
12
31
39
-8
35
9
Guimaraes
l d l l l
>
27
9
5
13
29
42
-13
32
10
Rio Ave
l d w w w
>
27
7
9
11
28
46
-18
30

16
Nacional
l l d l l
>
27
5
7
15
29
39
-10
22
17
Tondela
d w d l d
>
26
4
8
14
19
39
-20
20
18
AVS
l d d l d
>
27
1
8
18
18
58
-40
11
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Guimaraes or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Guimaraes
VS
Tondela
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
0 (0)
xG
1.30
0.90
Shots
11 (11)
13 (13)
Shots on Target
2 (2)
4 (4)
Corners
3 (3)
3 (3)
Defense
Conceded
0 (0)
1 (1)
xGa
0.90
1.30
Clean Sheets
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (2)
3 (3)
Fouls
11 (11)
14 (14)
Offsides
2 (2)
1 (1)
8 Nov
- 18:00
Tondela
Guimaraes
0.94
xG
1.27
0
1
Prob 72%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.49
Last 6 Matches
Guimaraes
VS
Tondela
1/6 (17%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 4/6 (67%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.67 PPG 1.17
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
67% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.06 Avg xG 1.13
Guimaraes
L D L L L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
3 0
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Guimaraes
1 2
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Santa Clara
2 0
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 20:30
Guimaraes
1 1
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 20:30
SC Braga
3 2
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Guimaraes
2 1
Estrela
Tondela
D W D L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Tondela
0 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Mar 2026 - 20:15
Tondela
0 1
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Tondela
2 2
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Feb 2026 - 20:45
Estrela
0 2
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 20:45
Tondela
1 1
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Estoril
2 2
Tondela

Guimaraes vs Tondela: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Guimaraes and away matches for Tondela

Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Tondela
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
1X2
Guimaraes
Tondela
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
10% 1
50% 5
2
70% 7
40% 4
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Tondela
12
90% 9
50% 5
1X
30% 3
60% 6
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Tondela
0-1
20% 2
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Total Corners
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Tondela
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Guimaraes
Tondela
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT X - FT X
10% 1
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Guimaraes
Tondela
xG
1.3
0.93
xGa
1.58
1.06
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Tondela
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Guimaraes
Tondela
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
40% 4
70% 7
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Tondela
12
60% 6
30% 3
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Tondela
0-1
50% 5
80% 8
2-3
50% 5
10% 1
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Tondela
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Tondela
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Guimaraes
Tondela
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Tondela
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Tondela
0-1
40% 4
80% 8
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Tondela
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1.45 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found