Form
Form
La Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Girona
Girona
Form
VS
19:00
23 May 2026
Elche
Elche
Form
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Elche
1 1.88 X 4.02 2 4.4
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Girona vs Elche: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 15:00

Winner (1x2)1.88
Girona to Win
Probability 51%
Total Goals2.25
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Both Teams to Score1.68
Yes
Probability 52%
Girona Total1.33
Home Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Elche Total1.40
Away Under 1.5
Probability 74%
Double Chance1.26
Girona/Draw
Probability 76%
Asian Handicap1.40
Elche +1.5
Probability 73%
<
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Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
La Liga 2025-2026
• 19:00
Girona W 51%
:
Elche W 24%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.61 vs 0.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.12%
⭐
0:1
7.22%
⭐
0:2
2.86%
0:3
0.75%
0:4
0.15%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
12.96%
🔥
⭐
1:1
11.98%
1:2
5.42%
1:3
1.61%
1:4
0.35%
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
9.21%
2:1
9.74%
2:2
4.98%
2:3
1.66%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.08%
3
3:0
4.37%
3:1
5.19%
3:2
2.97%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
1.55%
4:1
2.05%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
0.53%
4:4
0.16%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.44%
5:1
0.64%
5:2
0.45%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.1%
0
20.2%
1
24.1%
2
20.3%
3
13.5%
4
7.5%
5
3.5%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

GironaHDPElche
11.2%
Very Low@ 6.00
-2.5
2.0%
@ 13.00Very Low
19.2%
Very Low@ 5.25
-2
4.8%
Very Low
27.2%
Low@ 3.18
-1.5
7.7%
@ 8.50Very Low
39.6%
Low@ 2.46
-1
15.1%
@ 7.50Very Low
52.1%
Medium@ 1.80
-0.5
22.5%
@ 4.02Low
77.5%
High@ 1.25
+0.5
47.9%
@ 2.13Medium
84.9%
Very High@ 1.03
+1
60.4%
@ 1.62High
92.3%
Very High@ 1.05
+1.5
72.8%
@ 1.40High
95.2%
Very High
+2
80.8%
@ 1.16Very High
98.0%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
88.8%
@ 1.12Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

GironaOutcomeElche
47.8%
Medium@ 1.76
Over 1.5
25.7%
@ 3.15Low
52.2%
Medium@ 2.11
Under 1.5
74.3%
@ 1.40High
21.9%
Low@ 3.43
Over 2.5
7.7%
@ 9.00Very Low
78.1%
High@ 1.33
Under 2.5
92.3%
@ 1.09Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Girona vs Elche Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 15:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Girona vs Elche

5 Found

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Goals Over/under Under 2.5
High Value
2.25
Prob 53%
EV +19.2%
Stake $2.00
Bet Now
Correct Score 1:0
Value
9.00
Prob 12.3%
EV +10.7%
Stake $0.31
Bet Now
Away Total Elche Under 1.5
Value
1.40
Prob 74.3%
EV +4.0%
Stake $6.25
Bet Now
Home Total Girona Under 2.5
Value
1.33
Prob 78.1%
EV +3.8%
Stake $7.58
Bet Now
Asian Handicap Elche +1.5
Value
1.40
Prob 72.8%
EV +2.0%
Stake $6.25
Bet Now
Sorted by: Ev
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-22 02:34:17
Home Draw Away
10Bet 1.76 3.75 4.20
William Hill 1.80 3.75 3.90
Bet365 1.80 3.90 4.20
Unibet 1.75 3.85 4.40
Betfair 1.75 3.90 4.40
Pinnacle 1.79 4.02 4.40
SBO 1.78 3.42 3.68
Betano 1.78 3.90 4.25
888Sport 1.80 3.75 3.90
Dafabet 1.80 4.00 4.30
spinner

Trends for Girona vs Elche Football 23 May, 2026 15:00

Team Form Comparison

Girona Home
Form Index 51
Goals 7:5
PPG 1.40
Elche Away
Form Index 32
Goals 5:11
PPG 0.60
BILWVILWBETLMALLRSOD
REALRAYLOVIWCELLBETL
2/5
Won
1/5
4/5
Scored
4/5
2/5
Scored 2+
1/5
2/5
Clean sheet
0/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
2/5
BTTS
4/5

Girona

BILWVILWBETLMALLRSOD
Won 2/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 2/5

Elche

REALRAYLOVIWCELLBETL
Won 1/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 3
BTTS 1/3
Over 2.5 2/3

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Girona rarely concede quality chances (0.96 xGA avg) — disciplined defensive structure

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Girona Home
Elche Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • First half: Elche is stronger (10 vs 6).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.18 factor
Home Pressure 0.13 Away 0.12

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
3 0.15
6 0.30
First Half (0–45)
10 0.50
13 0.65
Second Half (46–90)
10 0.50
9 0.45
Final Stage (76–90)
8 0.40

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.045 Weak
Pressure Home +0.010 Weak
Timing Away +0.003 Weak
Defense Home +0.105 Strong

Momentum

Girona Metric Elche
1 Positive Sequences 3
7 Comeback Goals 10
0 Negative Sequences 2
7 Killer Goals 10

Pressure

Girona Metric Elche
3 Early Pressure 3
9 Late Pressure 8
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Girona Metric Elche
3 Fast Starts 3
3 Half-time Spurts 7
4 Second Half Starts 2
9 Late Surges 8

Defense

Girona Metric Elche
1 Early Conceded 7
4 Late Conceded 6
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • First half result: consider Elche to win the first half.
  • Match outcome: Girona holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Girona

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Elche

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Girona
Elche

Girona vs Elche Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 15:00 La Liga

18 Played 18
33% 6-5-7 Win Rate 6% 1-4-13
51 Form Index 32
6.85 Team Rating 6.72
68 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Girona Elche Results 83 17 Attack 92 8 Defense 87 13 Control 48 52 Discipline 47 53 Efficiency 49 51 Average 68 32 32

Attack

1.11
Goals
1
1.22
Expected Goals
0.68
11.4
Shots
8.2
3.9
Shots on Target
2.9
4.9
Corners
2.8

Defense

1.44
Conceded
2.06
1.44
Expected Goals Against
1.63
13.3
Shots Allowed
14.9
-0.33
Goal Difference
-1.06
28%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

52%
Possession
56%
86%
Pass Accuracy
85%
477
Passes
483
413
Accurate Passes
411

Discipline

1.83
Yellow Cards
2.11
0.33
Red Cards
0.28
9.7
Fouls
12.8
2
Offsides
1.3

Efficiency

1.28
PPG
0.39
-0.11
Goals vs xG
+0.32
10%
Shot Conversion
12%
73%
Save %
60%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Elche
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Girona vs Elche: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Girona and away matches for Elche

Number of goals
Girona
Under
Over
Elche
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Girona
Elche
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
1X2
Girona
Elche
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Girona
Elche
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Girona
Elche
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
30% 3
Total Corners
Girona
Under
Over
Elche
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Girona
Elche
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Girona
Elche
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Girona
Elche
xG
1.13
1
xGa
1.29
1.24
Number of goals
Girona
Under
Over
Elche
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Girona
Elche
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Girona
Elche
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
50% 5
60% 6
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Girona
Elche
12
50% 5
40% 4
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Girona
Elche
0-1
90% 9
50% 5
2-3
10% 1
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Girona
Elche
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
Girona
Under
Over
Elche
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Girona
Elche
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2
Girona
Elche
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Girona
Elche
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Girona
Elche
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Girona
Elche
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
Missing Players
Girona
1
g
Juan Carlos
- Injured - Knee Injury
8
f
Portu
- Injured - Knee Injury
9
f
Abel Ruiz
- Injured - Injury
19
f
V. Vanat
- Injured - Muscle Injury
M. ter Stegen
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
21
m
Bryan Gil
- Injured - (questionable) Neck Injury
Elche
32
f
Adam Boayar
- Injured - Muscle Injury
7
f
Yago Santiago
- Injured - Knee Injury
1.57 Expected goals 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
Elche
Girona
No Posts Found
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Girona will take on Elche as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Girona, and the visiting side, Elche. The scoreline predictions suggest Girona Under 2.5 Goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-23 Time: 19:00 Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

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