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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
18th place
Form
VS
17:45
21 Jan 2026
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
8th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 21 January, 2026 11:45

Winner (1x2)-
Galatasaray to Win
Probability 52%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 59%
Galatasaray Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 73%
Atletico Madrid Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 89%
Double Chance-
Galatasaray/Draw
Probability 76%
Asian Handicap-
Galatasaray +2.5
Probability 98%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
17:45
Galatasaray W 52%
:
Atletico Madrid W 24%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Galatasaray
d w l w w
12 Played
9 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (26 total)
xG
2.20 (26.5 total)
Shots per Match
18.8 (225 total)
Shots on Target
6.7 (36% acc)
Corners
5.4 (65 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
10.1 (121 total)
Offsides
1.7 (20 total)
11 Played
7 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (21 total)
xG
1.80 (19.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (142 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (37% acc)
Corners
3.1 (34 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.5 (149 total)
Offsides
1.6 (18 total)
23 Played
16 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (47 total)
xG
2.00 (46.3 total)
Shots per Match
16 (367 total)
Shots on Target
5.7 (36% acc)
Corners
4.3 (99 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (39%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.7 (270 total)
Offsides
1.7 (38 total)
Atletico Madrid
l w w w d
12 Played
11 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7 (32 total)
xG
2.20 (26.1 total)
Shots per Match
14.6 (175 total)
Shots on Target
6.8 (47% acc)
Corners
8.1 (97 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.2 (122 total)
Offsides
1.8 (22 total)
13 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (17 total)
xG
1.00 (13.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (142 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (38% acc)
Corners
5 (65 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.9 (155 total)
Offsides
2.2 (28 total)
25 Played
15 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (49 total)
xG
1.60 (39.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.7 (317 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (43% acc)
Corners
6.5 (162 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.1 (277 total)
Offsides
2 (50 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.82 vs 1.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.97%
0:1
6.03%
0:2
3.05%
0:3
1.03%
0:4
0.26%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
10.09%
1:1
10.97%
🔥
1:2
5.93%
1:3
2.13%
1:4
0.57%
1:5
0.12%
2
2:0
8.53%
2:1
9.93%
2:2
5.73%
2:3
2.18%
2:4
0.62%
2:5
0.14%
3
3:0
4.81%
3:1
5.96%
3:2
3.66%
3:3
1.48%
3:4
0.44%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
2.03%
4:1
2.68%
4:2
1.74%
4:3
0.74%
4:4
0.24%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.69%
5:1
0.96%
5:2
0.66%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.0%
0
16.1%
1
22.5%
2
21.7%
3
16.1%
4
9.8%
5
4.9%
6
2.0%
7
0.6%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

GalatasarayHDPAtletico Madrid
12.7%
Very Low
-2.5
2.2%
Very Low
20.9%
Low
-2
5.2%
Very Low
29.1%
Low
-1.5
8.1%
Very Low
41.2%
Medium
-1
15.3%
Very Low
53.3%
Medium
-0.5
22.6%
Low
77.4%
High
+0.5
46.7%
Medium
84.7%
Very High
+1
58.8%
Medium
91.9%
Very High
+1.5
70.9%
High
94.8%
Very High
+2
79.1%
High
97.7%
Very High
+2.5
87.3%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

GalatasarayOutcomeAtletico Madrid
83.8%
Very High
Over 0.5
68.0%
High
16.2%
Very Low
Under 0.5
32.0%
Low
54.3%
Medium
Over 1.5
31.6%
Low
45.7%
Medium
Under 1.5
68.4%
High
27.5%
Low
Over 2.5
10.8%
Very Low
72.5%
High
Under 2.5
89.2%
Very High
11.2%
Very Low
Over 3.5
2.9%
Very Low
88.8%
Very High
Under 3.5
97.1%
Very High
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Galatasaray will take on Atletico Madrid as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-21 at 2026-01-21 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Galatasaray, and the visiting side, Atletico Madrid. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-21 Time: 17:45 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid Wednesday, Jan 21st, 2026 at 11:45 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid Football 21 Jan, 2026 11:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Galatasaray have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Galatasaray create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
🔄 Second Half: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the second half (16 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Atletico Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Galatasaray

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Atletico Madrid

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.21

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Galatasaray - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Galatasaray - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Atletico Madrid - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Atletico Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Atletico Madrid shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Atletico Madrid winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Atletico Madrid excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Atletico Madrid scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.009
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.141
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Galatasaray):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atletico Madrid):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid

Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Wed 21 Jan, 2026 @ 11:45 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Galatasaray
VS
Atletico Madrid
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.50 PPG 2.00
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
50% BTTS % 67%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.27 Avg xG 1.19
Galatasaray
D W L W W
Süper Lig 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Galatasaray
3 0
Kasimpasa
Süper Lig 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Antalyaspor
1 4
Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Monaco
1 0
Galatasaray
Süper Lig 2025-2026
5 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Galatasaray
3 2
Samsunspor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
1 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Fenerbahce
1 1
Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Galatasaray
0 1
Union St. Gilloise
Atletico Madrid
L W W W D
La Liga 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Real Sociedad
1 1
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 13:00
Girona
0 3
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 13:00
Atletico Madrid
2 1
Valencia
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 20:00
PSV Eindhoven
2 3
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Athletic Club
1 0
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Barcelona
3 1
Atletico Madrid

Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Galatasaray and away matches for Atletico Madrid

Number of goals
Galatasaray
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
1
50% 5
70% 7
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
50% 5
30% 3
Total Goals
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
0-1
40% 4
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Galatasaray
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
xG
1.59
1.42
xGa
1.15
1.51
Number of goals
Galatasaray
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7
1X2
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
Yes
80% 8
70% 7
No
20% 2
30% 3
Number of goals
Galatasaray
Under
Over
Atletico Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1.61 xG 1.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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