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FSV Mainz 05
3
1
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 8:30
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
14
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(19 total)
xG
1.50
(20.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(191 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(29% acc)
Corners
6.2
(87 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.5
(161 total)
Offsides
2.5
(35 total)
13
Played
2
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(14 total)
xG
0.90
(12.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(129 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(32% acc)
Corners
4.5
(58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.1
(144 total)
Offsides
2.2
(28 total)
27
Played
8
Wins
7
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(33 total)
xG
1.20
(33.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(320 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(30% acc)
Corners
5.4
(145 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(6 total)
Fouls
11.3
(305 total)
Offsides
2.3
(63 total)
13
Played
9
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(24 total)
xG
1.90
(24.6 total)
Shots per Match
16.2
(210 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.5
(71 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.6
(125 total)
Offsides
1.7
(22 total)
13
Played
3
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(17 total)
xG
1.30
(17.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(147 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(36% acc)
Corners
4.1
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.3
(134 total)
Offsides
2
(26 total)
26
Played
12
Wins
8
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(41 total)
xG
1.60
(41.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(357 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(35% acc)
Corners
4.8
(124 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10
(259 total)
Offsides
1.8
(48 total)
No prediction data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FSV Mainz 05 will take on SC Freiburg as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous MEWA ARENA.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FSV Mainz 05, and the visiting side, SC Freiburg. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 13:30
Location: MEWA ARENA
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Football 11 Apr, 2026 8:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
Toothless Attack
FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
FSV Mainz 05(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H9/9100%FSV Mainz 05 have not won in 9 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
SC Freiburg(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H9/9100%SC Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 9 9 matches
- High xG PerformanceH2H9/9100%SC Freiburg create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%SC Freiburg create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score at home (0.63/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H8/989%FSV Mainz 05 scored 0-1 goals in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score at home (0.63/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%FSV Mainz 05 scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H6/966.7%Under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 9 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H9/9100%FSV Mainz 05 have not won in 9 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/978%FSV Mainz 05 are undefeated at half time in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
SC Freiburg(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H9/9100%SC Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 9 9 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/978%SC Freiburg are undefeated at half time in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends) — avg 2.1 (+6% above league)
- Many CardsH2H8/989%FSV Mainz 05 receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1590%FSV Mainz 05 average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+28% above league avg 2.0) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%FSV Mainz 05 receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
SC Freiburg(1 trends) — avg 1.6 (-20% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%SC Freiburg average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0)
SC Freiburg disciplined play balances FSV Mainz 05 aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
FSV Mainz 05(2 trends) — avg 5.6 (+15% above league)
- Few CornersH2H7/978%FSV Mainz 05 win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Many CornersLeague8/880%FSV Mainz 05 average 5.6 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 4.9)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+8 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: SC Freiburg is stronger in the second half (20 vs 16).
⚡ Final Stage: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FSV Mainz 05
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.15
✈️ SC Freiburg
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ SC Freiburg - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
20
Avg. Goals per Match
1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2
✈️ SC Freiburg - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
13
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
1
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: SC Freiburg shows superior performance after the break (20 vs 16 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of SC Freiburg winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: FSV Mainz 05 excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 7 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of FSV Mainz 05 scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: SC Freiburg has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider SC Freiburg handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.241
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.027
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
10
2
6
35
25
10
32
7
7
6
6
31
32
-1
27
8
7
6
6
39
42
-3
27
15
4
6
9
21
37
-16
18
16
3
6
10
21
32
-11
15
17
3
5
11
17
32
-15
14
FSV Mainz 05
VS
SC Freiburg
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
6
Draws
3
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (6)
1.3 (12)
xG
0.60
2.40
Shots
12.3 (111)
13.8 (124)
Shots on Target
3.9 (35)
5 (45)
Corners
4.4 (40)
4.9 (44)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (12)
0.7 (6)
xGa
2.40
0.60
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
4 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 (20)
1.4 (13)
Red Cards
0.2 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
14.2 (128)
11.3 (102)
Offsides
1.6 (14)
1 (9)
Last 6 Matches
FSV Mainz 05
VS
SC Freiburg
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.50
PPG
1.83
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.72
Avg xG
2.17
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FSV Mainz 05 and away matches for SC Freiburg
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
1
30%
3
60%
6
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
40%
4
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
40%
4
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
xG(xGa)
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
xG
1.32
2.07
xGa
1.91
1
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
1
20%
2
60%
6
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
40%
4
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1.53
xG
1.30
57%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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