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FSV Mainz 05
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FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 8:30
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
6
3
6
20
23
-3
21
9
5
5
5
25
26
-1
20
10
▲
4
5
6
18
28
-10
17
17
3
2
10
13
34
-21
11
18
1
5
9
13
26
-13
8
1.18
xG
1.30
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1
Last 6 Matches
FSV Mainz 05
VS
SC Freiburg
1/6 (17%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.50
PPG
1.67
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
33%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
0.91
Avg xG
2.02
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FSV Mainz 05 will take on SC Freiburg as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous MEWA ARENA.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FSV Mainz 05, and the visiting side, SC Freiburg. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 13:30
Location: MEWA ARENA
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Football 11 Apr, 2026 8:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
Toothless Attack
FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
FSV Mainz 05(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H9/9100%FSV Mainz 05 have not won in 9 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
SC Freiburg(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H9/9100%SC Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 9 9 matches
- High xG PerformanceH2H9/9100%SC Freiburg create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%SC Freiburg create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score at home (0.63/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H8/989%FSV Mainz 05 scored 0-1 goals in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score at home (0.63/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%FSV Mainz 05 scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H6/966.7%Under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 9 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H9/9100%FSV Mainz 05 have not won in 9 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/978%FSV Mainz 05 are undefeated at half time in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
SC Freiburg(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H9/9100%SC Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 9 9 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/978%SC Freiburg are undefeated at half time in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends) — avg 2.2 (+10% above league)
- Many CardsH2H8/989%FSV Mainz 05 receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1590%FSV Mainz 05 average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+28% above league avg 2.0) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%FSV Mainz 05 receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
SC Freiburg(1 trends) — avg 1.6 (-20% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%SC Freiburg average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0)
SC Freiburg disciplined play balances FSV Mainz 05 aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
FSV Mainz 05(2 trends) — avg 5.6 (+15% above league)
- Few CornersH2H7/978%FSV Mainz 05 win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches
- Many CornersLeague8/880%FSV Mainz 05 average 5.6 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 4.9)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+8 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: SC Freiburg is stronger in the second half (20 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FSV Mainz 05
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.13
✈️ SC Freiburg
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ SC Freiburg - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
20
Avg. Goals per Match
1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
✈️ SC Freiburg - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: SC Freiburg shows superior performance after the break (20 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of SC Freiburg winning the second half
- Overall Result: SC Freiburg has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider SC Freiburg handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.105
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FSV Mainz 05 and away matches for SC Freiburg
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Total Corners
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
xG
1
1.7
xGa
1.77
1.15
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
Played:
9
Wins
0
0
Draws
6
6
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
6
0.7
Goals
1.3
12
12
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.7
6
20
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.4
13
2
0.2
Red Cards
0
2
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.4
4
40
4.4
Corners
4.9
44
128
14.2
Fouls
11.3
102
14
1.6
Offsides
1
9
111
12.3
Shots
13.8
124
35
3.9
Shots on Goal
5
45
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.6 | 5 | 1.1 | 8 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 11 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 15 | 2.7 | 19 | 2.3 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Corners | 5.6 | 45 | 4 | 28 | 4.9 | 73 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 91 | 11.6 | 81 | 11.5 | 172 |
| Offsides | 2.9 | 23 | 1.7 | 12 | 2.3 | 35 |
| Shots | 12.3 | 98 | 8.6 | 60 | 10.5 | 158 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.6 | 21 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 14 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.7 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 9 | 2.1 | 17 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.5 | 23 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 42 | 3.8 | 30 | 4.8 | 72 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 69 | 8.1 | 65 | 8.9 | 134 |
| Offsides | 2.9 | 20 | 2.1 | 17 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 100 | 11.8 | 94 | 12.9 | 194 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.1 | 36 | 3.5 | 28 | 4.3 | 64 |
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