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Fluminense
Fluminense vs Flamengo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 16:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
5
Played
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(10 total)
xG
1.60
(8.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(77 total)
Shots on Target
7
(45% acc)
Corners
5
(25 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
14.4
(72 total)
Offsides
1
(5 total)
5
Played
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(7 total)
xG
1.30
(6.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.4
(72 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(38% acc)
Corners
6.2
(31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.2
(66 total)
Offsides
2.2
(11 total)
10
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(17 total)
xG
1.50
(14.6 total)
Shots per Match
14.9
(149 total)
Shots on Target
6.2
(42% acc)
Corners
5.6
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.8
(138 total)
Offsides
1.6
(16 total)
4
Played
3
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(9 total)
xG
1.40
(5.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.5
(62 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(29% acc)
Corners
4.3
(17 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.8
(55 total)
Offsides
1.5
(6 total)
5
Played
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(7 total)
xG
0.90
(4.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(53 total)
Shots on Target
3
(28% acc)
Corners
3.8
(19 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.6
(3 total)
Fouls
13
(65 total)
Offsides
1.2
(6 total)
9
Played
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(16 total)
xG
1.10
(10.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(115 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(29% acc)
Corners
4
(36 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
13.3
(120 total)
Offsides
1.3
(12 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.24 vs 1.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.49%
0:1
4%
0:2
1.79%
0:3
0.53%
0:4
0.12%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
9.03%
1:1
9.08%
1:2
4.5%
1:3
1.48%
1:4
0.36%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
9.08%
⭐
2:1
10.16%
🔥
⭐
2:2
5.57%
2:3
2%
2:4
0.53%
2:5
0.11%
3
3:0
6.09%
⭐
3:1
7.51%
⭐
3:2
4.51%
⭐
3:3
1.76%
⭐
3:4
0.51%
⭐
3:5
0.11%
⭐
4
4:0
3.06%
⭐
4:1
4.12%
⭐
4:2
2.69%
⭐
4:3
1.14%
⭐
4:4
0.36%
⭐
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
1.23%
⭐
5:1
1.8%
⭐
5:2
1.27%
⭐
5:3
0.58%
⭐
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot:
2:1 (10.2%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Fluminense will take on Flamengo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fluminense, and the visiting side, Flamengo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Fluminense or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 21:30
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fluminense vs Flamengo Saturday, Apr 11th, 2026 at 16:30 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Fluminense vs Flamengo Football 11 Apr, 2026 16:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Flamengo create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
Comprehensive betting trends for Fluminense vs Flamengo.
🏆 Match Winner — Flamengo @ 2.55 ⚠️ 
Flamengo
High xG PerformanceH2H
Flamengo create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Good Goal RatioH2H
Flamengo have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Flamengo demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.28 ⚠️
Flamengo1 TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Flamengo have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Fluminense Win or Draw @ 1.57 ⚠️ 
Fluminense
Undefeated at HTH2H
Fluminense are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Fluminense demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Flamengo Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.70 ✅
Flamengo
Scored 1+Recent
Flamengo scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Second Half SpecialistsRecent
Flamengo score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Flamengo's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Flamengo1 Trends — avg 2.4 (-5% below league)Many CardsH2H
Flamengo receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.5 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
%
💡Fluminense disciplined play balances Flamengo aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.87 ⚠️
Fluminense1 Trends — avg 5.3 (+6% above league)Few CornersH2H
Fluminense win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Flamengo1 Trends — avg 5.3 (+6% above league)Corner DominanceH2H
Flamengo dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.87
🎯 Betting Analysis
Fluminense vs Flamengo
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Flamengo is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Fluminense is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚡ Final Stage: Fluminense is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Fluminense
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.38
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Flamengo
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Fluminense - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Flamengo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Fluminense - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Flamengo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Flamengo is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider Flamengo to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Fluminense excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Fluminense scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.123
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.014
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fluminense):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Flamengo):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Fluminense vs Flamengo Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 16:30 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Fluminense or draw
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Fluminense
VS
Flamengo
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (2)
1 (2)
xG
1.00
1.30
Shots
7.5 (15)
11 (22)
Shots on Target
2.5 (5)
3.5 (7)
Corners
3 (6)
6.5 (13)
Defense
Conceded
1 (2)
1 (2)
xGa
1.30
1.00
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 (5)
3 (6)
Fouls
10 (20)
13 (26)
Offsides
2 (4)
2.5 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Fluminense
VS
Flamengo
4/6 (67%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
2.17
PPG
2.17
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
67%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.25
Avg xG
0.89
Fluminense vs Flamengo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fluminense and away matches for Flamengo
Number of goals
Fluminense
Under
Over
Flamengo
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fluminense
Flamengo
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1X2
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Fluminense
Flamengo
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Fluminense
Flamengo
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
80%
8
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Fluminense
Under
Over
Flamengo
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Fluminense
Flamengo
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Fluminense
Flamengo
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Fluminense
Flamengo
xG
1.46
1.23
xGa
0.91
1.11
Number of goals
Fluminense
Under
Over
Flamengo
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fluminense
Flamengo
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Fluminense
Flamengo
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Fluminense
Flamengo
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Fluminense
Flamengo
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Fluminense
Under
Over
Flamengo
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fluminense
Flamengo
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Fluminense
Flamengo
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Fluminense
Flamengo
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Fluminense
Flamengo
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
2.30
xG
0.94
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
8
4
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
2
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