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Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
15th place
Form
VS
18:45
22 May 2026
Atalanta
Atalanta
7th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Atalanta
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 22 May, 2026 13:45

Winner (1x2)2.56
Atalanta to Win
Probability 36%
Total Goals2.24
Under 2.5
Probability 60%
Both Teams to Score2.43
No (NG)
Probability 52%
Fiorentina Total1.25
Home Over 0.5
Probability 67%
Atalanta Total1.20
Away Under 2.5
Probability 89%
Double Chance1.48
Draw/Atalanta
Probability 66%
Asian Handicap1.20
Atalanta +1
Probability 76%
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Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
18:45
Fiorentina W 34%
:
Atalanta W 36%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Fiorentina
d d l d w
25 Played
9 Wins
8 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (33 total)
xG
1.50 (37.7 total)
Shots per Match
15.7 (393 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (28% acc)
Corners
5.8 (146 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
11.9 (297 total)
Offsides
1.7 (42 total)
26 Played
9 Wins
6 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (32 total)
xG
1.10 (29.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (281 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (30% acc)
Corners
3.5 (90 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
12.1 (314 total)
Offsides
1.5 (40 total)
51 Played
18 Wins
14 Draws
19 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (65 total)
xG
1.30 (67.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (674 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (29% acc)
Corners
4.6 (236 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
14 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (6 total)
Fouls
12 (611 total)
Offsides
1.6 (82 total)
Atalanta
d l d w l
25 Played
12 Wins
7 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (36 total)
xG
1.70 (42.7 total)
Shots per Match
16.5 (412 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (29% acc)
Corners
6.1 (152 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.6 (264 total)
Offsides
1.9 (48 total)
24 Played
8 Wins
7 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (30 total)
xG
1.30 (31.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (276 total)
Shots on Target
4 (34% acc)
Corners
4.2 (101 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.2 (268 total)
Offsides
2.2 (53 total)
49 Played
20 Wins
14 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (66 total)
xG
1.50 (73.8 total)
Shots per Match
14 (688 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (31% acc)
Corners
5.2 (253 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
16 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (2 total)
Fouls
10.9 (532 total)
Offsides
2.1 (101 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.12 vs 1.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.71%
0:1
12.03%
0:2
6.17%
0:3
2.11%
0:4
0.54%
0:5
0.11%
1
1:0
11.56%
1:1
13.43%
🔥
1:2
7.7%
1:3
2.91%
1:4
0.82%
1:5
0.18%
2
2:0
5.7%
2:1
7.4%
2:2
4.69%
2:3
1.95%
2:4
0.6%
2:5
0.14%
3
3:0
1.88%
3:1
2.69%
3:2
1.87%
3:3
0.85%
3:4
0.28%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
0.46%
4:1
0.72%
4:2
0.55%
4:3
0.27%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.09%
5:1
0.16%
5:2
0.13%
5:3
0.07%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.4%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.7%
0
23.6%
1
25.3%
2
19.1%
3
11.3%
4
5.6%
5
2.3%
6
0.8%
7
0.2%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

FiorentinaHDPAtalanta
3.9%
Very Low@ 11.50
-2.5
4.4%
@ 10.00Very Low
8.5%
Very Low@ 10.50
-2
9.4%
@ 9.10Very Low
13.2%
Very Low@ 5.50
-1.5
14.4%
@ 4.65Very Low
23.6%
Low@ 4.77
-1
25.3%
@ 4.03Low
34.1%
Low@ 2.80
-0.5
36.1%
@ 2.51Low
63.9%
High@ 1.60
+0.5
65.9%
@ 1.50High
74.7%
High@ 1.33
+1
76.4%
@ 1.21High
85.6%
Very High@ 1.18
+1.5
86.9%
@ 1.15Very High
90.6%
Very High@ 1.00
+2
91.5%
@ 1.02Very High
95.6%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
96.1%
@ 1.03Very High

Team Total Predictions

FiorentinaOutcomeAtalanta
30.8%
Low@ 2.30
Over 1.5
32.3%
@ 2.14Low
69.2%
High@ 1.65
Under 1.5
67.7%
@ 1.74High
10.4%
Very Low@ 5.50
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 4.80Very Low
89.6%
Very High@ 1.18
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.20Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fiorentina vs Atalanta Friday, May 22nd, 2026 at 13:45 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 60.5%
EV: +35.4%
Stake: $2.02
2.24
Total Away Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 68.2%
EV: +18.7%
Stake: $3.38
1.74
Total Home Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 69.5%
EV: +14.6%
Stake: $3.85
1.65
Home Total Fiorentina Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 69.2%
EV: +14.1%
Stake: $3.85
1.65
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 66.6%
EV: +7.3%
Stake: $4.10
1.61
Total Away Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 88.8%
EV: +6.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.20
Asian Handicap Fiorentina +1.5
Value
Prob: 85.6%
EV: +1.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-20 02:01:20
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Trends for Fiorentina vs Atalanta Football 22 May, 2026 13:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 88% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Fiorentina vs Atalanta

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Atalanta is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Fiorentina

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Atalanta

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Fiorentina - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Atalanta - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Fiorentina - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Atalanta - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Atalanta is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Atalanta to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Fiorentina has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Fiorentina handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.099
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.058
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fiorentina):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atalanta):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Fiorentina
Atalanta

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Head-to-head statistics for Fri 22 May, 2026 @ 13:45 Serie A

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
Juventus
w d d w l
>
37
19
11
7
59
32
27
68
7
Atalanta
d l d w l
>
37
15
13
9
50
35
15
58
8
Bologna
l l d w w
>
37
16
7
14
46
43
3
55

14
Genoa
w l d d l
>
37
10
11
16
41
50
-9
41
15
Fiorentina
d d l d w
>
37
9
14
14
40
49
-9
41
16
Cagliari
l w d l w
>
37
10
10
17
38
52
-14
40
Team comparison
Prediction
Fiorentina Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Fiorentina
VS
Atalanta
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
5 Wins
1 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (13)
1.3 (12)
xG
1.70
1.50
Shots
12.1 (109)
11.4 (103)
Shots on Target
4.6 (41)
3.9 (35)
Corners
3.4 (31)
3.8 (34)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (12)
1.4 (13)
xGa
1.50
1.70
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (18)
2.3 (21)
Fouls
11.4 (103)
14.4 (130)
Offsides
1.7 (15)
2.4 (22)
30 Nov
- 17:00
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1.75
xG
1.43
2
0
Prob 79%
Home Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.30
30 Mar
- 13:00
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1.61
xG
1.22
1
0
15 Sep
- 13:00
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1.65
xG
1.95
3
2
2 Jun
- 16:00
Atalanta
Fiorentina
2
3
17 Sep
- 16:00
Fiorentina
Atalanta
3
2
17 Apr
- 18:45
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
2 Oct
- 16:00
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1
0
20 Feb
- 11:30
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
0
11 Sep
- 18:45
Atalanta
Fiorentina
1
2
Last 6 Matches
Fiorentina
VS
Atalanta
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.50 PPG 0.83
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
33% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.03 Avg xG 1.10
Fiorentina
D D L D W
Serie A 2025-2026
17 May 2026 - 10:00
Juventus
0 2
Fiorentina
Serie A 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 13:00
Fiorentina
0 0
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
4 May 2026 - 18:45
AS Roma
4 0
Fiorentina
Serie A 2025-2026
26 Apr 2026 - 10:30
Fiorentina
0 0
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
20 Apr 2026 - 18:45
Lecce
1 1
Fiorentina
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
16 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Fiorentina
2 1
Crystal Palace
Atalanta
D L D W L
Serie A 2025-2026
17 May 2026 - 16:00
Atalanta
0 1
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 18:45
AC Milan
2 3
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
2 May 2026 - 18:45
Atalanta
0 0
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
27 Apr 2026 - 16:30
Cagliari
3 2
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
18 Apr 2026 - 18:45
AS Roma
1 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 18:45
Atalanta
0 1
Juventus

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fiorentina and away matches for Atalanta

Number of goals
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Fiorentina
Atalanta
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
30% 3
Total Corners
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Fiorentina
Atalanta
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Fiorentina
Atalanta
xG
0.97
1.3
xGa
1.48
1.28
Number of goals
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Fiorentina
Atalanta
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8
1X2
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Fiorentina
Atalanta
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0-1
100% 10
70% 7
2-3
0% 0
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
1.11 xG 1.15
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Fiorentina will take on Atalanta as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-22 at 2026-05-22 in the famous Stadio Artemio Franchi. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fiorentina, and the visiting side, Atalanta. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Atalanta. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-22 Time: 18:45 Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!