Form
Form
Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Form
VS
18:45
22 May 2026
Atalanta
Atalanta
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Atalanta
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 22 May, 2026 13:45

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
18:45
Fiorentina W 33%
:
Atalanta W 37%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.12 vs 1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.33%
0:1
11.91%
0:2
6.86%
0:3
2.64%
0:4
0.76%
0:5
0.18%
1
1:0
11.08%
1:1
13.26%
🔥
1:2
7.92%
1:3
3.15%
1:4
0.94%
1:5
0.22%
2
2:0
5.94%
2:1
7.37%
2:2
4.56%
2:3
1.88%
2:4
0.58%
2:5
0.14%
3
3:0
2.12%
3:1
2.73%
3:2
1.75%
3:3
0.74%
3:4
0.24%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
0.57%
4:1
0.76%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.22%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.12%
5:1
0.17%
5:2
0.11%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.3%
0
23.0%
1
26.1%
2
20.1%
3
11.8%
4
5.6%
5
2.2%
6
0.7%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fiorentina vs Atalanta Friday, May 22nd, 2026 at 13:45 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-22 04:00:28
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Trends for Fiorentina vs Atalanta Football 22 May, 2026 13:45

Team Form Comparison

Fiorentina Home
Form Index 58
Goals 4:2
PPG 1.80
Atalanta Away
Form Index 57
Goals 10:10
PPG 1.40
INTDLAZWCRYWSASDGEND
BAYLLECWROMDCAGLMILW
2/5
Won
2/5
3/5
Scored
5/5
1/5
Scored 2+
3/5
3/5
Clean sheet
1/5
0/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
1/5
Over 2.5
4/5
2/5
BTTS
4/5

Fiorentina

INTDLAZWCRYWSASDGEND
Won 2/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 0/5
Over 2.5 1/5
BTTS 2/5

Atalanta

BAYLLECWROMDCAGLMILW
Won 2/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 7
BTTS 4/7
Over 2.5 3/7

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Fiorentina keep clean sheets in 100% of home games — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Scoring Concern

    Fiorentina failed to score in their last 2 home league matches — short streak; treat sample size cautiously

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Fiorentina Home
Atalanta Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • First half: Atalanta is stronger (9 vs 5).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.21 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.13

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
5 0.25
5 0.25
First Half (0–45)
9 0.45
11 0.55
Second Half (46–90)
10 0.50
5 0.25
Final Stage (76–90)
6 0.30

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.099 Moderate
Pressure Away +0.058 Moderate
Timing Away +0.007 Weak
Defense Home +0.030 Weak

Momentum

Fiorentina Metric Atalanta
3 Positive Sequences 4
7 Comeback Goals 7
2 Negative Sequences 4
2 Killer Goals 7

Pressure

Fiorentina Metric Atalanta
3 Early Pressure 5
5 Late Pressure 6
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Fiorentina Metric Atalanta
3 Fast Starts 5
2 Half-time Spurts 4
6 Second Half Starts 4
5 Late Surges 6

Defense

Fiorentina Metric Atalanta
1 Early Conceded 3
5 Late Conceded 5
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • First half result: consider Atalanta to win the first half.
  • Match outcome: Fiorentina holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Fiorentina

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Atalanta

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Fiorentina
Atalanta

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Head-to-head statistics for Fri 22 May, 2026 @ 13:45 Serie A

18 Played 18
22% 4-8-6 Win Rate 33% 6-7-5
58 Form Index 57
6.91 Team Rating 6.88
46 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Fiorentina Atalanta Results 33 67 Attack 66 34 Defense 52 48 Control 47 53 Discipline 69 31 Efficiency 10 90 Average 46 54 54

Attack

1.11
Goals
1.39
1.56
Expected Goals
1.27
15.6
Shots
11.6
4
Shots on Target
3.9
5.6
Corners
4.4

Defense

1.11
Conceded
1.11
1.08
Expected Goals Against
1.28
10.5
Shots Allowed
13.2
0
Goal Difference
+0.28
33%
Clean Sheets
33%

Possession & Passing

53%
Possession
55%
86%
Pass Accuracy
84%
441
Passes
476
378
Accurate Passes
400

Discipline

2.22
Yellow Cards
1.89
0.06
Red Cards
0.11
11.6
Fouls
11.4
1.4
Offsides
2.1

Efficiency

1.11
PPG
1.39
-0.45
Goals vs xG
+0.12
7%
Shot Conversion
12%
70%
Save %
81%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Atalanta
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fiorentina and away matches for Atalanta

Number of goals
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Fiorentina
Atalanta
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
30% 3
Total Corners
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Fiorentina
Atalanta
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Fiorentina
Atalanta
xG
0.97
1.3
xGa
1.48
1.28
Number of goals
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Fiorentina
Atalanta
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8
1X2
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Fiorentina
Atalanta
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0-1
100% 10
70% 7
2-3
0% 0
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Missing Players
Fiorentina
65
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
20
f
- Injured - (questionable) Calf Injury
- Suspended - Red Card
Atalanta
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Knee Injury
1.21 Expected goals 1.28
60% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 4
12 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Fiorentina will take on Atalanta as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-22 at 2026-05-22 in the famous Stadio Artemio Franchi. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fiorentina, and the visiting side, Atalanta. The scoreline predictions suggest Fiorentina Under 1.5 Goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-22 Time: 18:45 Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!