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Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 22 January, 2026 11:45
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Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
13
Played
9
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(28 total)
xG
1.90
(24.2 total)
Shots per Match
18.8
(244 total)
Shots on Target
7.2
(38% acc)
Corners
5.4
(70 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.50
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.5
(163 total)
Offsides
1.9
(25 total)
14
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(26 total)
xG
1.30
(18.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(190 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(36% acc)
Corners
5.4
(76 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.6
(177 total)
Offsides
2
(28 total)
27
Played
15
Wins
9
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(54 total)
xG
1.60
(42.4 total)
Shots per Match
16.1
(434 total)
Shots on Target
6
(37% acc)
Corners
5.4
(146 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
12.6
(340 total)
Offsides
2
(53 total)
13
Played
11
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(23 total)
xG
1.30
(16.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(159 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(42% acc)
Corners
5.2
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(130 total)
Offsides
1.3
(17 total)
14
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(20 total)
xG
1.10
(15.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(151 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(36% acc)
Corners
4.7
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.3
(130 total)
Offsides
1
(14 total)
27
Played
18
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(43 total)
xG
1.20
(32.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.5
(310 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(39% acc)
Corners
5
(134 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.6
(260 total)
Offsides
1.1
(31 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.83 vs 1.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.45%
0:1
5.96%
0:2
3.26%
0:3
1.19%
0:4
0.32%
0:5
0.07%
1
1:0
8.79%
1:1
10.79%
🔥
1:2
6.54%
1:3
2.62%
1:4
0.78%
1:5
0.18%
2
2:0
7.09%
⭐
2:1
9.66%
2:2
6.45%
2:3
2.82%
2:4
0.91%
2:5
0.23%
3
3:0
3.81%
⭐
3:1
5.71%
⭐
3:2
4.17%
⭐
3:3
1.98%
⭐
3:4
0.7%
⭐
3:5
0.19%
4
4:0
1.54%
⭐
4:1
2.51%
⭐
4:2
1.99%
⭐
4:3
1.03%
⭐
4:4
0.39%
⭐
4:5
0.11%
⭐
5
5:0
0.5%
⭐
5:1
0.88%
⭐
5:2
0.75%
⭐
5:3
0.42%
⭐
5:4
0.17%
⭐
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot:
1:1 (10.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, Fenerbahce will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 7 and will take place on 2026-01-22 at 2026-01-22 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fenerbahce, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Fenerbahçe or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-22
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa Thursday, Jan 22nd, 2026 at 11:45 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa Football 22 Jan, 2026 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Fenerbahce have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Fenerbahce @ 2.79 ✅ 
Fenerbahce
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Fenerbahce concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent6/6100%Fenerbahce create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Europa League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent6/6100%Fenerbahce have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Europa League matches
- UnbeatenRecent5/683%Fenerbahce are unbeaten in their last 5 6 matches
Fenerbahce demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.62 
Fenerbahce(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague2/367%Fenerbahce score (1.33/match) and concede (0.67/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 51%)
Aston Villa(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague2/367%Aston Villa score (1.67/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 51%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.80 ✅
Fenerbahce(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent6/6100%Fenerbahce have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Europa League matches
Aston Villa(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/372%Aston Villa score 1.67 goals/match in away matches (+24% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent6/6100%Aston Villa have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Europa League matches
Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Fenerbahce Win or Draw @ 1.55 ✅
Fenerbahce
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Fenerbahce concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent6/6100%Fenerbahce are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
- UnbeatenRecent5/683%Fenerbahce are unbeaten in their last 5 6 matches
Fenerbahce demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.25 ✅ 
Aston Villa
- Above League AverageLeague3/372%Aston Villa score 1.67 goals/match in away matches (+24% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent6/6100%Aston Villa scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches
Aston Villa's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Fenerbahce(2 trends) — avg 3.6 (+59% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague6/690%Fenerbahce average 3.7 cards/match in all matches (+72% above league avg 2.1) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent5/683%Fenerbahce receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Europa League matches
Aston Villa disciplined play balances Fenerbahce aggression —
+6 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Fenerbahce
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Aston Villa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Fenerbahce - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Aston Villa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Fenerbahce - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Aston Villa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Aston Villa to win the first half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.066
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.007
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fenerbahce):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Thu 22 Jan, 2026 @ 11:45 UEFA Europa League
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Fenerbahce or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Fenerbahce
VS
Aston Villa
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.83
PPG
2.50
2.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
50%
BTTS %
83%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.86
Avg xG
1.40
Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fenerbahce and away matches for Aston Villa
Number of goals
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
1X2
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
1
60%
6
80%
8
X
40%
4
10%
1
2
0%
0
10%
1
Double Chance
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
12
60%
6
90%
9
1X
100%
10
90%
9
X2
40%
4
20%
2
Total Goals
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
50%
5
40%
4
Total Corners
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
40%
4
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
xG
1.93
1.41
xGa
0.8
1.4
Number of goals
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
1
60%
6
70%
7
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
0%
0
10%
1
Double Chance
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
100%
10
90%
9
X2
40%
4
30%
3
Total Goals
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Fenerbahce
Aston Villa
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1.65
xG
1.44
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
2
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