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FC St. Pauli
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SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 11:30
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
13
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(14 total)
xG
0.90
(11.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(138 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(40% acc)
Corners
5.6
(73 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.9
(129 total)
Offsides
2.2
(29 total)
14
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(10 total)
xG
0.70
(10.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(131 total)
Shots on Target
2.4
(25% acc)
Corners
3.2
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.4
(132 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
27
Played
6
Wins
6
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(24 total)
xG
0.80
(21.7 total)
Shots per Match
10
(269 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(33% acc)
Corners
4.4
(118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.7
(261 total)
Offsides
2
(54 total)
19
Played
17
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.8
(72 total)
xG
3.00
(56.3 total)
Shots per Match
20.8
(396 total)
Shots on Target
8.6
(41% acc)
Corners
6.6
(125 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(37%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.4
(179 total)
Offsides
1.8
(35 total)
18
Played
14
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.2
(57 total)
xG
2.40
(43.9 total)
Shots per Match
16
(288 total)
Shots on Target
7.8
(49% acc)
Corners
4.7
(84 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
9.2
(166 total)
Offsides
2.3
(41 total)
37
Played
31
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.5
(129 total)
xG
2.70
(100.2 total)
Shots per Match
18.5
(684 total)
Shots on Target
8.2
(45% acc)
Corners
5.6
(209 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
9.3
(345 total)
Offsides
2.1
(76 total)
No lambda data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC St. Pauli will take on Bayern München as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous Millerntor-Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC St. Pauli, and the visiting side, Bayern München. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Bayern München.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 16:30
Location: Millerntor-Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München Saturday, Apr 11th, 2026 at 11:30 Football
No prediction data available for this match.
Trends for FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München Football 11 Apr, 2026 11:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Bayern München have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München.
🏆 Match Winner — Bayern München @ 1.36 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBayern München
WonH2H
Bayern München have won their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceH2H
Bayern München create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringH2H
Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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Bayern München are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
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Bayern München rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (3.43 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
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Bayern München score 3.43 goals/match in away matches (+117% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Bayern München concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 15 15 matches
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Bayern München create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Bayern München efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsWonRecent
Bayern München have won 13 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli
Not WinH2H
FC St. Pauli have not won their last 3 3 matches
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FC St. Pauli have lost their last 3 3 matches
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FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Bayern München dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.82
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Unlock Streak TrendsBayern München1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Bayern München score well (3.43/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.71 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 57% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.52 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBayern München7 TrendsHigh ScoringH2H
Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Bayern München rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (3.43 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Bayern München score 3.43 goals/match in away matches (+117% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsOver 2.5 GoalsRecent
Over 2.5 goals in their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Teams average combined 3.4 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Bayern München Win or Draw @ 1.10 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsBayern München
UnbeatenH2H
Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
Bayern München are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches
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Bayern München are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Bayern München concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 15 15 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Bayern München are undefeated at half time in their last 15 15 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli
Not WinH2H
FC St. Pauli have not won their last 3 3 matches
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FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
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FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Bayern München dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBayern München
League Top ScorerLeague
Bayern München rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (3.43 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Bayern München score 3.43 goals/match in away matches (+117% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Bayern München scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFirst Half SpecialistsRecent
Bayern München score in first half in their last 3 3 matches
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Bayern München scored 1+ goals in their last 15 15 matches
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Bayern München scored 2+ goals in their last 15 15 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🏟️ Away dominance — Bayern München scored 2+ goals in 15 recent away matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Bayern München maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli1 Trends — avg 1.6 (-20% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
FC St. Pauli average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 3 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli1 Trends — avg 7.0 (+43% above league)Many CornersLeague
FC St. Pauli average 7.0 corners/match at home (+43% above league avg 4.9)
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Unlock Streak TrendsBayern München1 Trends — avg 6.1 (+25% above league)Corner DominanceH2H
Bayern München dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡FC St. Pauli drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.97
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Bayern München is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FC St. Pauli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Bayern München
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.05
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Bayern München - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Bayern München - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
11
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
12
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
16
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bayern München excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bayern München scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Bayern München has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Bayern München handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.117
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.052
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.12
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bayern München):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 11:30 Bundesliga
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
22
4
1
97
25
72
70
2
18
7
2
58
28
30
61
15
▼
6
8
13
38
47
-9
26
16
6
6
15
24
44
-20
24
17
5
6
16
35
57
-22
21
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Bayern München
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-4.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FC St. Pauli
VS
Bayern München
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
3
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (3)
2.3 (7)
xG
0.50
2.20
Shots
7.7 (23)
17 (51)
Shots on Target
1.7 (5)
6 (18)
Corners
3.7 (11)
8.3 (25)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 (7)
1 (3)
xGa
2.20
0.50
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (3)
2 (6)
Fouls
7.3 (22)
8.3 (25)
Offsides
1.3 (4)
2.3 (7)
Last 6 Matches
FC St. Pauli
VS
Bayern München
2/6 (33%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.17
PPG
2.67
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
3.67
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
33%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
83%
0.53
Avg xG
3.34
FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC St. Pauli and away matches for Bayern München
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
10%
1
90%
9
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
20%
2
80%
8
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
50%
5
50%
5
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
1X2
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
1
30%
3
80%
8
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
40%
4
0%
0
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
60%
6
100%
10
X2
70%
7
20%
2
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
10%
1
80%
8
Total Corners
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
70%
7
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
xG(xGa)
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
xG
0.89
3.25
xGa
1.2
1.52
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
1
30%
3
70%
7
X
50%
5
10%
1
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
12
50%
5
90%
9
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
70%
7
30%
3
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
0-1
80%
8
30%
3
2-3
20%
2
60%
6
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
1
10%
1
80%
8
X
50%
5
10%
1
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
12
50%
5
90%
9
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
90%
9
20%
2
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
0-1
50%
5
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
0%
0
30%
3
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
0.49
xG
2.96
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
6
7
Shots Off Goal
7
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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