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Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 29 11 Apr 2026 - 16:30
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
16th place
Form
0 : 5
0.49
xG
3.39
Full Time
Half Time: 0-1
Bayern München
Bayern München
1st place
Form
J. Musiala
9'
L. Goretzka
53'
M. Olise
55'
N. Jackson
66'
R. Guerreiro
89'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 11 April, 2026 11:30

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
2'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
6'
Winner (1x2)1.40
Bayern München to Win
Probability 88%
Total Goals1.54
Over 2.5
Probability 75%
Both Teams to Score2.05
No (NG)
Probability 56%
FC St. Pauli Total1.25
Home Under 1.5
Probability 87%
Bayern München Total1.23
Away Under 3.5
Probability 57%
Double Chance1.12
Draw/Bayern München
Probability 97%
Asian Handicap1.60
Bayern München -1
Probability 81%

FC St. Pauli vs. Bayern München: Match Preview

Title: Crucial Clash at the Bottom and Top of the Table

This match brings together FC St. Pauli, fighting to avoid relegation in 16th place, and league leaders Bayern München, who are in pursuit of yet another Bundesliga title. With FC St. Pauli struggling to gain points, every match is crucial for their survival, while Bayern looks to maintain their dominance in the league.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams enter this fixture with noticeably different trajectories in their recent performances.

  • FC St. Pauli: The home side has been struggling to find consistency, with only one win in their last five matches (DLLDW). They average a mere 0.6 goals scored per match, indicating significant offensive challenges, while conceding 1 goal per match, which highlights their vulnerability in defense.
  • Bayern München: In stark contrast, Bayern is in excellent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five outings (WWDWW). They are particularly prolific, averaging 3 goals per match and displaying a strong attacking front that shows no signs of slowing down.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Bayern has dominated this matchup. In their last three encounters, Bayern has secured all victories, with an average of 3.33 goals per match. The most recent results include a convincing 3-1 win, a 3-2 thriller, and a tighter 0-1 match, showcasing Bayern's attacking prowess against St. Pauli's defenses.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Stylistically, Bayern will look to exploit St. Pauli's defensive weaknesses, particularly targeting their full-backs with the pace and skill of players like H. Kane and M. Olise. For St. Pauli, the presence of goalkeeper N. Vasilj will be critical; he will need to perform at his best to keep the rampant Bayern attackers at bay. Meanwhile, St. Pauli will rely on their midfielders, especially J. Fujita, to control the pace and disrupt Bayern's rhythm.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win
Predicted Score: 0:3
Reasoning: Given Bayern's strong attacking form and St. Pauli's struggles to score, the statistical predictions heavily favor an away victory. The xG metrics and current form suggest a dominant performance from Bayern.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals some promising betting opportunities.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Match Winner - Away @ 1.4 (88.2% probability).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.54 (74.7% probability, +22.7% value vs. 50% implied).

Bet responsibly.

FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
9' 0:1 Goal
J. Musiala
Assistant: K. Laimer
J. Musiala
19' Yellow Card
K. Laimer
Roughing
K. Laimer
J. Fujita
Yellow Card 53'
J. Fujita
53' Yellow Card
M. Olise
Unsportsmanlike conduct
M. Olise
53' 0:2 Goal
L. Goretzka
L. Goretzka
55' 0:3 Goal
M. Olise
Assistant: L. Goretzka
M. Olise
59' Substitute
In:J. Stanišić
Out:K. Laimer
J. Stanišić
59' Substitute
In:A. Davies
Out:J. Kimmich
A. Davies
59' Substitute
In:L. Díaz
Out:M. Olise
L. Díaz
66' 0:4 Goal
N. Jackson
Assistant: J. Musiala
N. Jackson
C. Metcalfe
Substitute 66'
In:C. Metcalfe
Out:J. Fujita
67' Substitute
In:J. Tah
Out:H. Ito
J. Tah
Louis Oppie
Substitute 77'
In:Louis Oppie
Out:L. Ritzka
M. Kaars
Substitute 77'
In:M. Kaars
Out:A. Hountondji
84' Substitute
In:B. Ndiaye
Out:J. Musiala
B. Ndiaye
T. Hara
Substitute 89'
In:T. Hara
Out:M. Pereira Lage
89' 0:5 Goal
R. Guerreiro
R. Guerreiro
90' +5' VAR
Goal Disallowed - offside
L. Goretzka

FC St. Pauli vs. Bayern München: Match Preview

Title: Crucial Clash at the Bottom and Top of the Table

This match brings together FC St. Pauli, fighting to avoid relegation in 16th place, and league leaders Bayern München, who are in pursuit of yet another Bundesliga title. With FC St. Pauli struggling to gain points, every match is crucial for their survival, while Bayern looks to maintain their dominance in the league.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams enter this fixture with noticeably different trajectories in their recent performances.

  • FC St. Pauli: The home side has been struggling to find consistency, with only one win in their last five matches (DLLDW). They average a mere 0.6 goals scored per match, indicating significant offensive challenges, while conceding 1 goal per match, which highlights their vulnerability in defense.
  • Bayern München: In stark contrast, Bayern is in excellent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five outings (WWDWW). They are particularly prolific, averaging 3 goals per match and displaying a strong attacking front that shows no signs of slowing down.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Bayern has dominated this matchup. In their last three encounters, Bayern has secured all victories, with an average of 3.33 goals per match. The most recent results include a convincing 3-1 win, a 3-2 thriller, and a tighter 0-1 match, showcasing Bayern's attacking prowess against St. Pauli's defenses.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Stylistically, Bayern will look to exploit St. Pauli's defensive weaknesses, particularly targeting their full-backs with the pace and skill of players like H. Kane and M. Olise. For St. Pauli, the presence of goalkeeper N. Vasilj will be critical; he will need to perform at his best to keep the rampant Bayern attackers at bay. Meanwhile, St. Pauli will rely on their midfielders, especially J. Fujita, to control the pace and disrupt Bayern's rhythm.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win
Predicted Score: 0:3
Reasoning: Given Bayern's strong attacking form and St. Pauli's struggles to score, the statistical predictions heavily favor an away victory. The xG metrics and current form suggest a dominant performance from Bayern.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals some promising betting opportunities.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Match Winner - Away @ 1.4 (88.2% probability).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.54 (74.7% probability, +22.7% value vs. 50% implied).

Bet responsibly.

FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München Formation Lineups for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 11:30 Bundesliga

Formation
6.2
FC St. Pauli
3-4-2-1
7.4
Bayern München
4-2-3-1
N. Vasilj
5.2
Vasilj 22
K. Mets
5.3
Mets 3
H. Wahl
6.5
Wahl 5
Ando 15
L. Ritzka
6.2
77'
Ritzka 21
J. Fujita
6.2
66'
Fujita 16
M. Rasmussen
7
Rasmussen 20
Arkadiusz Pyrka
6.2
Pyrka 11
M. Pereira Lage
6.7
89'
Lage 28
D. Sinani
6.2
Sinani 10
A. Hountondji
6.5
77'
Hountondji 27
M. Neuer
7.2
Neuer 1
T. Bischof
7.3
Bischof 20
H. Ito
7
67'
Ito 21
M. Kim
8.2
Kim 3
K. Laimer
7.3
59'
Laimer 27
L. Goretzka
8.2
Goretzka 8
J. Kimmich
8.9
59'
Kimmich 6
J. Musiala
6.9
84'
Musiala 10
R. Guerreiro
7
Guerreiro 22
M. Olise
7.9
59'
Olise 17
N. Jackson
7.3
Jackson 11
field field
Substitutes
Metcalfe
6.3
66'
Metcalfe 24
Oppie
6.2
77'
Oppie 23
Kaars
6.5
77'
Kaars 19
Stanišić
6.6
59'
Stanišić 44
Davies
7
59'
Davies 19
Díaz
6
59'
Díaz 14
Tah
8.2
67'
Tah 4
LineUps
FC St. Pauli
22
g
5.2
5.3
5
d
6.5
3
d
5.3
6.2
7
16
m
53'66'
6.2
21
d
77'
6.2
10
f
6.2
89'
6.7
77'
6.5
Substitutes
18
f
89'
9
f
77'
6.2
4
d
19
f
77'
6.5
1
g
66'
6.3
Coach
Bayern München
1
g
7.2
27
d
19'59'
7.3
3
d
8.2
21
d
67'
7
20
m
7.3
59'
8.9
53'
8.2
17
m
53'55'59'
7.9
89'
7
10
m
9'84'
6.9
11
f
66'
7.3
Substitutes
59'
6.6
19
d
59'
7
40
g
84'
6.9
9
f
4
d
67'
8.2
14
m
59'
6
Coach
Missing Players
FC St. Pauli
- Injured - Muscle Injury
7
m
- Suspended - Red Card
17
f
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
6
m
- Injured - Ankle Injury
8
d
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
7
m
- Suspended - Red Card
17
f
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
6
m
- Injured - Ankle Injury
8
d
- Injured - Injury
Bayern München
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Hip Injury
26
g
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Hip Injury
26
g
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury

FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 11:30 Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
Off Target 2 Blocked 1
On Target 3
On Target 8
Off Target 12 Blocked 7
0 Goals 5
23 Ball Possession 77
6 Shots 20
3 Shots on Goal 8
2 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 7
4 Shots insidebox 16
2 Shots outsidebox 4
273 Total passes 944
74 Passes accurate % 92
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
9 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
2 Offsides 2
3 Corners 4
0.49 Expected Goals 3.39

Stats for FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München Saturday, Apr 11th, 2026 at 11:30 Football

FC St. Pauli
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Bayern München
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
J. Kimmich
8.9
Midfielder
2
J. Tah
Defender
8.2
3
M. Rasmussen
Midfielder
7.0
4
Mathias Pereira Lage
6.7