Login
Register
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
0
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 March, 2026 12:30
Betting Tip
-2.5 goalsNo high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.
Prediction League
12
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(13 total)
xG
0.90
(10.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.7
(128 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(40% acc)
Corners
5.8
(70 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(120 total)
Offsides
2
(24 total)
14
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(10 total)
xG
0.70
(10.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(131 total)
Shots on Target
2.4
(25% acc)
Corners
3.2
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.4
(132 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
26
Played
6
Wins
6
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(23 total)
xG
0.80
(21.0 total)
Shots per Match
10
(259 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(32% acc)
Corners
4.4
(115 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.7
(252 total)
Offsides
1.9
(49 total)
17
Played
11
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(30 total)
xG
1.80
(30.3 total)
Shots per Match
15.7
(267 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(35% acc)
Corners
5.2
(88 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.1
(154 total)
Offsides
1.7
(29 total)
18
Played
3
Wins
5
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(17 total)
xG
1.10
(19.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(182 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(34% acc)
Corners
4.2
(75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.3
(186 total)
Offsides
1.8
(33 total)
35
Played
14
Wins
9
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(47 total)
xG
1.40
(50.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(449 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(35% acc)
Corners
4.7
(163 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
9.7
(340 total)
Offsides
1.8
(62 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.86 vs 1.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
17.46%
🔥
⭐
0:1
15.83%
⭐
0:2
6.64%
0:3
1.9%
0:4
0.41%
0:5
0.07%
1
1:0
12.59%
⭐
1:1
13.31%
1:2
7.29%
1:3
2.49%
1:4
0.62%
1:5
0.12%
2
2:0
4.15%
2:1
5.76%
2:2
3.71%
2:3
1.5%
2:4
0.43%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
0.94%
3:1
1.56%
3:2
1.19%
3:3
0.56%
3:4
0.19%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
0.16%
4:1
0.31%
4:2
0.27%
4:3
0.15%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.05%
5:2
0.05%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:0 (17.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC St. Pauli will take on SC Freiburg as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-03-22 at 2026-03-22 in the famous Millerntor-Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC St. Pauli, and the visiting side, SC Freiburg. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-22
Time: 16:30
Location: Millerntor-Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Sunday, Mar 22nd, 2026 at 12:30 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Football 22 Mar, 2026 12:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
SC Freiburg create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg.
🏆 Match Winner — SC Freiburg @ 2.82 ✅ 
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsSC Freiburg
High xG PerformanceH2H
SC Freiburg create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends3 / 3100%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
SC Freiburg create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends15 / 15100%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli
Relegation BattleLeague
FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends90%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — SC Freiburg to win looks justified.
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.28
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends2 / 366.7%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends💡Balanced match with potential for goals
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — SC Freiburg Win or Draw @ 1.50 ⚠️ 
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli
Relegation BattleLeague
FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends90%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends💡SC Freiburg confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli1 Trends — avg 1.6 (-19% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
FC St. Pauli average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends15 / 1590%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsSC Freiburg1 Trends — avg 1.6 (-19% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
SC Freiburg average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0)
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends15 / 1590%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli2 Trends — avg 7.0 (+43% above league)Few CornersH2H
FC St. Pauli win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends3 / 3100%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak TrendsMany CornersLeague
FC St. Pauli average 7.0 corners/match at home (+43% above league avg 4.9)
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends7 / 785%
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.75
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: SC Freiburg is stronger in the second half (20 vs 15).
⚡ Final Stage: SC Freiburg is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: SC Freiburg is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FC St. Pauli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.06
✈️ SC Freiburg
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ SC Freiburg - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
20
Avg. Goals per Match
1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ SC Freiburg - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: SC Freiburg shows superior performance after the break (20 vs 15 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of SC Freiburg winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: SC Freiburg excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of SC Freiburg scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: SC Freiburg has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider SC Freiburg handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.054
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.078
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Mar, 2026 @ 12:30 Bundesliga
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
10
8
8
49
49
0
38
8
9
7
10
37
43
-6
34
9
▲
8
7
11
31
42
-11
31
15
▼
6
7
13
29
47
-18
25
16
6
6
14
23
42
-19
24
17
5
6
15
35
56
-21
21
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-3.5*
Goals Away:
-3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FC St. Pauli
VS
SC Freiburg
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
1 (3)
xG
0.60
1.10
Shots
7 (21)
7.3 (22)
Shots on Target
2.3 (7)
3 (9)
Corners
2.3 (7)
6.3 (19)
Defense
Conceded
1 (3)
1.3 (4)
xGa
1.10
0.60
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (6)
1.7 (5)
Fouls
12.7 (38)
8.3 (25)
Offsides
1.7 (5)
4.7 (14)
Last 6 Matches
FC St. Pauli
VS
SC Freiburg
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.67
PPG
1.17
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
33%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.71
Avg xG
1.13
FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC St. Pauli and away matches for SC Freiburg
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
40%
4
60%
6
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
60%
6
40%
4
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Total Corners
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
50%
5
HT X - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
xG(xGa)
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
xG
0.87
1.06
xGa
1.3
1.14
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
50%
5
60%
6
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
50%
5
40%
4
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0-1
80%
8
80%
8
2-3
20%
2
10%
1
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
10%
1
0%
0
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
90%
9
100%
10
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
0.78
xG
0.98
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
Kane's Impact as a Substitute: Bayern Star Enters Exclusive Bundesliga Ranks