Login
Show privacy policy

— OR SIGN UP WITH —

Already subscribed? This will create your account and activate Premium!

up to 

for new 
customers

11 Dec 2025-20:00
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
- : -
11 Dec 2025 14:00
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

FC Basel 1893 vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 11 December, 2025 14:00

1×2 Prediction
FC Basel 1893
45%26%29%
FC Basel 1893DrawAston Villa
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
57%43%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
61%39%
YesNo
Team Total - FC Basel 1893
Under 2.5
74%26%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Aston Villa
Under 2.5
86%14%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
FC Basel 1893/Draw
71%29%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
FC Basel 1893 +1
82%18%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap FC Basel 1893 +1
Odds: 1.62
82.2%
EV: +33.1%
Bet Now
Premium Tip 💎 PREMIUM

Premium Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.

Upgrade to Premium

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.75 vs 1.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.34%
0:1
6.46%
0:2
3.3%
0:3
1.12%
0:4
0.29%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
9.38%
1:1
11.28%
🔥
1:2
6.62%
1:3
2.55%
1:4
0.73%
1:5
0.16%
2
2:0
6.94%
2:1
9.61%
2:2
6.42%
2:3
2.78%
2:4
0.88%
2:5
0.22%
3
3:0
3.42%
3:1
5.37%
3:2
4.04%
3:3
1.95%
3:4
0.69%
3:5
0.19%
4
4:0
1.27%
4:1
2.22%
4:2
1.86%
4:3
0.99%
4:4
0.39%
4:5
0.12%
5
5:0
0.37%
5:1
0.72%
5:2
0.67%
5:3
0.39%
5:4
0.17%
5:5
0.06%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.3%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.3%
0
15.8%
1
21.5%
2
20.8%
3
15.9%
4
10.2%
5
5.6%
6
2.6%
7
1.0%
8
0.3%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

FC Basel 1893
vs
Aston Villa
Dec 11, 20:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:
Last 6 Matches
FC Basel 1893
VS
Aston Villa
2/6 (33%) Victories 6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.20 PPG 2.40
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.50
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
50% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
- Avg xG 1.72
FC Basel 1893
L W L W L
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Genk
2 1
FC Basel 1893
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
FC Basel 1893
3 1
FCSB
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
23 Oct 2025 - 16:45
Lyon
2 0
FC Basel 1893
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
2 Oct 2025 - 19:00
FC Basel 1893
2 0
VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
24 Sep 2025 - 19:00
SC Freiburg
2 1
FC Basel 1893
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
27 Aug 2025 - 19:00
FC Copenhagen
2 0
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
W W W W W
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Brighton
3 4
Aston Villa
Premier League 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 14:05
Aston Villa
1 0
Wolves
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Aston Villa
2 1
BSC Young Boys
Premier League 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Leeds
1 2
Aston Villa
Premier League 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Aston Villa
4 0
Bournemouth
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Aston Villa
2 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
45% Draw 29%
57% Over 2.5 43%
61% Both Teams Score 39%
1.83 xPTS 1.17
1.75 xG [Total: 3.04] 1.29
3 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 2
4 Corners [Total: 9] 5
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
15 Fouls [Total: 25] 10
6 Shots on Goal [Total: 10] 4
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, FC Basel 1893 will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 6 and will take place on 2025-12-11 at 2025-12-11 in the famous St. Jakob-Park. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC Basel 1893, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Aston Villa. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-11 Time: 20:00 Location: St. Jakob-Park Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC Basel 1893 vs Aston Villa Thursday, Dec 11th, 2025 at 14:00 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
High Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 2.08
71.3%
EV: +48.3% Kelly: $22.36
Bet Now
High Value
Asian Handicap FC Basel 1893 +1
Odds: 1.62
82.2%
EV: +33.1% Kelly: $26.72
Bet Now
High Value
Asian Handicap FC Basel 1893 +1.5
Odds: 1.39
90.4%
EV: +25.7% Kelly: $32.95
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Aston Villa NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.25
88.9%
EV: +11.1% Kelly: $22.23
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap FC Basel 1893 +2
Odds: 1.16
93.9%
EV: +8.9% Kelly: $27.74
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 03:00:19
spinner

Trends for FC Basel 1893 vs Aston Villa Football 11 Dec, 2025 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    FC Basel 1893 score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    FC Basel 1893 create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

FC Basel 1893 vs Aston Villa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the second half (10 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FC Basel 1893

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
9
Momentum
-0.2
Pressure
0.2

✈️ Aston Villa

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FC Basel 1893 - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.44
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.78
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.67
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.44

✈️ Aston Villa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FC Basel 1893 - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
1

✈️ Aston Villa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Aston Villa is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider Aston Villa to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Aston Villa shows superior performance after the break (10 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Aston Villa winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Aston Villa has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Aston Villa handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.248
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.079
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.058

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC Basel 1893):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa

FC Basel 1893 vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Thu 11 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 UEFA Europa League

FC Basel 1893 vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC Basel 1893 and away matches for Aston Villa

Number of goals

Number of goals
FC Basel 1893
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
22% 2
78% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
67% 6
33% 3
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
89% 8
11% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 9
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
Yes
67% 6
50% 5
No
33% 3
50% 5

1X2

1X2
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
1
33% 3
80% 8
X
11% 1
0% 0
2
56% 5
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
12
89% 8
100% 10
1X
44% 4
80% 8
X2
67% 6
20% 2

Total Goals

Total Goals
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
0-1
0% 0
20% 2
2-3
78% 7
60% 6
4+
22% 2
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
FC Basel 1893
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
89% 8
11% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
Yes
11% 1
40% 4
No
89% 8
60% 6

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
33% 3
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
11% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
33% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
11% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
11% 1
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
xG
1.67
1.38
xGa
1.36
1.08

Number of goals

Number of goals
FC Basel 1893
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
44% 4
56% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
89% 8
11% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
Yes
22% 2
30% 3
No
78% 7
70% 7

1X2

1X2
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
1
44% 4
40% 4
X
22% 2
40% 4
2
33% 3
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
12
78% 7
60% 6
1X
67% 6
80% 8
X2
56% 5
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
0-1
67% 6
50% 5
2-3
33% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
Yes
44% 4
50% 5
No
56% 5
50% 5

Number of goals

Number of goals
FC Basel 1893
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
56% 5
44% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
89% 8
11% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 9
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
Yes
22% 2
10% 1
No
78% 7
90% 9

1X2

1X2
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
1
33% 3
60% 6
X
33% 3
10% 1
2
33% 3
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
12
67% 6
90% 9
1X
67% 6
70% 7
X2
67% 6
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
0-1
56% 5
70% 7
2-3
44% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
Yes
44% 4
60% 6
No
56% 5
40% 4
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Aston Villa
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
9.4%
Low
17.00
2.7%
Low
5.90
-2
16.6%
Low
16.00
6.1%
Low
5.25
-1.5
23.8%
Low
8.60
9.6%
Low
3.15
-1
35.8%
Low
7.60
17.8%
Low
2.48
-0.5
47.8%
Low
3.59
26.1%
Low
1.85
+0.5
73.9%
High
2.05
52.2%
Medium
1.39
+1
82.2%
High
1.62
64.2%
Medium
1.10
+1.5
90.4%
High
1.39
76.2%
High
1.01
+2
93.9%
High
1.16
83.4%
High
1.01
+2.5
97.3%
High
1.13
90.6%
High
1.01
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.90%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.552.21%Medium2.75
Under 1.547.79%Low1.54
AwayOver 1.536.96%Low1.71
Under 1.563.04%Medium2.26
HomeOver 2.525.60%Low6.80
Under 2.574.40%High1.13
AwayOver 2.514.06%Low3.10
Under 2.585.94%High1.40
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 2 3 5
Wins 2 0 2
Draws 0 0 0
Losses 0 3 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.5 5 0.7 2 1.4 7
Goals Conceded 0.5 1 2 6 1.4 7
Yellow Cards 2.5 5 1.3 4 1.8 9
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.5 1 0 0.2 1
Corners 4.5 9 4 12 4.2 21
Fouls 16 32 12.7 38 14 70
Offsides 1.5 3 0.3 1 0.8 4
Shots 17 34 12.7 38 14.4 72
Shots on Goal 6 12 3.7 11 4.6 23
Home Away All
Played 3 2 5
Wins 3 1 4
Draws 0 0 0
Losses 0 1 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.7 5 1.5 3 1.6 8
Goals Conceded 0.3 1 1 2 0.6 3
Yellow Cards 1.3 4 2 4 1.6 8
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.7 2 0.5 1 0.6 3
Corners 5.7 17 4.5 9 5.2 26
Fouls 13 39 5 10 9.8 49
Offsides 1.7 5 1.5 3 1.6 8
Shots 14.7 44 11.5 23 13.4 67
Shots on Goal 6.7 20 5 10 6 30
Jamie Carragher: Arsenal Needs to Control Their Emotions in the Title Race
Posted on
Premier League Saturday Insights: How Many Chances Do the Black Cats Have?
Posted on
Midweek Matchday Highlights: Key Insights for Premier League Fans
Posted on
Who might be the next Premier League footballer to score 100 goals?
Posted on
Aston Villa Targets Brentford Ace: Is This the Smart Choice?
Posted on
Ex-Premier League manager believes Aston Villa star "desires a transfer"
Posted on
Why Are This Weekend's Premier League Kick-Off Times on Sunday So Unusual?
Posted on
UEFA Champions League 2025 Winner Prediction: Analysis & Betting Insights
Posted on
Full-Time: Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion in Premier League Clash
Posted on