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Estrela
Estrela vs Tondela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 February, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
▼
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
▼
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
15
2
3
7
13
26
-13
9
16
▲
2
3
7
7
20
-13
9
17
▼
2
3
7
13
34
-21
9
Last 6 Matches
Estrela
VS
Tondela
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.17
PPG
1.17
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
50%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.48
Avg xG
0.92
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.21
xG [Total: 2.03]
0.82
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 7]
4
4
Corners [Total: 9]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
3
14
Fouls [Total: 33]
19
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
4
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Estrela will take on Tondela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-22 at 2026-02-22 in the famous Estádio José Gomes.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Estrela, and the visiting side, Tondela. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-22
Time: 17:00
Location: Estádio José Gomes
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Estrela vs Tondela Football 22 Feb, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Tondela struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent away matches
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Estrela create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Estrela vs Tondela, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Estrela(3 trends)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Estrela create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent13/1587%Estrela have not won in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Estrela have not won in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Tondela(2 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/1283%Tondela have not won in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Estrela(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/650%Estrela score (1.17/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Tondela(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/771%Tondela struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Estrela(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent24/3080%Estrela scored 0-1 goals in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Tondela(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent9/1275%Tondela scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (80% + 75%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Estrela(2 trends)
- Not WinRecent13/1587%Estrela have not won in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent25/3083%Estrela have not won in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Tondela(2 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/1283%Tondela have not won in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Tondela(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/771%Tondela struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Estrela(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent26/3087%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 26 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Tondela(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent6/786%Tondela receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent9/1275%Tondela receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 7 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Tondela(2 trends) — avg 3.9 (-16% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/781%Tondela average 3.9 corners/match in away matches (-16% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent10/1283%Tondela win 4 or fewer corners in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Estrela vs Tondela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Estrela is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 0).
⏰ First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Estrela
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Tondela
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
12
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Estrela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Tondela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Estrela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Tondela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Estrela often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 0)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Estrela scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Estrela to win the first half
- Overall Result: Estrela has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Estrela handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.084
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.001 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.018
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estrela):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Tondela):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Estrela vs Tondela Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga
Estrela vs Tondela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estrela and away matches for Tondela
Number of goals
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Estrela
Tondela
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Estrela
Tondela
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Estrela
Tondela
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Estrela
Tondela
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Estrela
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Tondela
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Estrela
Tondela
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Estrela
Tondela
xG
1.31
1.22
xGa
1.34
1.65
Number of goals
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Estrela
Tondela
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Estrela
Tondela
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
50%
5
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Estrela
Tondela
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
50%
5
50%
5
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Estrela
Tondela
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Tondela
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Estrela
Tondela
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Estrela
Tondela
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Estrela
Tondela
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Estrela
Tondela
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Tondela
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Estrela
Tondela
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
0
Goals
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
3
3
Yellow Cards
4
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
1
Clean Sheets
1
1
2
2
Corners
4
4
12
12
Fouls
16
16
3
3
Offsides
4
4
8
8
Shots
15
15
3
3
Shots on Goal
7
7
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.8 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 2.5 | 15 | 3.4 | 41 |
| Fouls | 13 | 78 | 13.5 | 81 | 13.3 | 159 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Shots | 14 | 84 | 8.7 | 52 | 11.3 | 136 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.5 | 21 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.6 | 43 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.4 | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.6 | 7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 7 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.7 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 11 | 3 | 21 | 2.7 | 32 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 14 | 3.9 | 27 | 3.4 | 41 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 66 | 15.4 | 108 | 14.5 | 174 |
| Offsides | 3.4 | 17 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 66 | 9.3 | 65 | 10.9 | 131 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.2 | 21 | 3.4 | 24 | 3.8 | 45 |
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