Form
Form
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
Preview
Dender
Dender
Form
VS
16:15
23 May 2026
Lommel United
Lommel United
Form
DENDER Football Complex
AI Prediction Combo Winner : Lommel United and +1.5 goals
1 2.15 X 3.65 2 3.28
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Dender vs Lommel United: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 12:15

Winner (1x2)3.28
Lommel United to Win
Probability 78%
Total Goals1.73
Over 2.5
Probability 78%
Both Teams to Score1.62
Yes
Probability 63%
Dender Total1.24
Home Under 2.5
Probability 91%
Lommel United Total1.34
Away Over 0.5
Probability 96%
Double Chance1.73
Draw/Lommel United
Probability 90%
Asian Handicap1.25
Lommel United +1.5
Probability 97%
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Prediction League
Belgian Pro League 2025-2026
• 16:15
Dender W 10%
:
Lommel United W 78%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.05 vs 3.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.93%
0:1
5.8%
0:2
8.72%
⭐
0:3
8.75%
⭐
0:4
6.58%
⭐
0:5
3.96%
⭐
1
1:0
1.69%
1:1
5.42%
1:2
8.66%
1:3
9.18%
🔥
⭐
1:4
7.28%
⭐
1:5
4.61%
⭐
2
2:0
0.74%
2:1
2.53%
2:2
4.27%
2:3
4.77%
⭐
2:4
3.98%
⭐
2:5
2.65%
⭐
3
3:0
0.22%
3:1
0.78%
3:2
1.4%
3:3
1.64%
3:4
1.44%
⭐
3:5
1%
⭐
4
4:0
0.05%
4:1
0.18%
4:2
0.34%
4:3
0.42%
4:4
0.39%
4:5
0.28%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.03%
5:2
0.07%
5:3
0.09%
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.06%
Hotspot: 1:3 (9.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

1.9%
0
7.5%
1
14.9%
2
20.2%
3
20.9%
4
17.6%
5
10.6%
6
4.6%
7
1.5%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

DenderHDPLommel United
0.8%
Very Low@ 6.95
-2.5
40.9%
Medium
1.8%
Very Low@ 6.25
-2
50.8%
Medium
2.9%
Very Low@ 3.65
-1.5
60.8%
@ 6.40High
5.8%
Very Low@ 2.85
-1
69.9%
@ 5.65High
8.8%
Very Low@ 2.00
-0.5
79.0%
@ 3.05High
21.0%
Low@ 1.32
+0.5
91.2%
@ 1.70Very High
30.1%
Low@ 1.08
+1
94.2%
@ 1.35Very High
39.2%
Low@ 1.08
+1.5
97.1%
@ 1.23Very High
49.2%
Medium
+2
98.2%
@ 1.06Very High
59.1%
Medium
+2.5
99.2%
@ 1.04Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

DenderOutcomeLommel United
28.3%
Low@ 1.91
Over 1.5
82.6%
@ 2.55Very High
71.7%
High@ 1.81
Under 1.5
17.4%
@ 1.44Very Low
9.0%
Very Low@ 4.00
Over 2.5
61.6%
@ 6.00High
91.0%
Very High@ 1.24
Under 2.5
38.4%
@ 1.11Low

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Dender vs Lommel United Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 12:15 Football

AI Value Bets

Dender vs Lommel United

10 Found

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Asian Handicap Lommel United -1
High Value
5.65
Prob 69.9%
EV +294.9%
Stake $0.54
Bet Now
Asian Handicap Lommel United -1.5
High Value
6.40
Prob 60.8%
EV +289.2%
Stake $0.46
Bet Now
Away Total Over 2.5
High Value
6.00
Prob 63%
EV +278.2%
Stake $0.50
Bet Now
Match Winner Lommel United
High Value
3.28
Prob 77.8%
EV +155.1%
Stake $1.10
Bet Now
Away Total Lommel United Over 1.5
High Value
2.55
Prob 82.6%
EV +110.7%
Stake $1.61
Bet Now
Correct Score 1:3
High Value
25.00
Prob 8.2%
EV +104.8%
Stake $0.10
Bet Now
Double Chance X2
High Value
1.73
Prob 90.5%
EV +56.5%
Stake $3.42
Bet Now
Double Chance X2
High Value
1.73
Prob 90.5%
EV +56.5%
Stake $3.42
Bet Now
Goals Over/under Over 2.5
High Value
1.73
Prob 78.2%
EV +35.3%
Stake $3.42
Bet Now
Home Total Dender Under 1.5
High Value
1.81
Prob 71.7%
EV +29.8%
Stake $3.09
Bet Now
Sorted by: Ev
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-22 02:11:14
Home Draw Away
William Hill 2.10 3.30 3.20
Unibet 2.06 3.45 3.20
888Sport 2.10 3.30 3.20
Dafabet 2.15 3.65 3.20
spinner

Trends for Dender vs Lommel United Football 23 May, 2026 12:15

Team Form Comparison

Dender Home
Form Index 36
Goals 7:12
PPG 0.80
Lommel United Away
Form Index —
Goals 5:2
PPG 3.00
CHADGENLWARLCERLRAAL W
LiègeWBeersW
1/5
Won
2/2
5/5
Scored
2/2
2/5
Scored 2+
2/2
0/5
Clean sheet
0/2
4/5
Conceded 2+
0/2
5/5
Over 2.5
2/2
5/5
BTTS
2/2

Dender

CHADGENLWARLCERLRAAL W
Won 1/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
BTTS 5/5

Lommel United

LiègeWBeersW
Won 2/2
Scored 2/2
Scored 2+ 2/2
Clean sheet 0/2
Conceded 2+ 0/2
Over 2.5 2/2
BTTS 2/2
Head-to-Head · Last 1
BTTS 1/1
Over 2.5 1/1

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

  • ⚽
    BTTS Magnet

    Both sides see BTTS regularly (Dender 100%, Lommel United 100% — avg 100%) — strong BTTS pattern

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Dender Home
Lommel United Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • First half: Dender is stronger (11 vs 3).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 5 matches
Home Momentum 0 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.25

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
3 0.60
11 0.55
First Half (0–45)
3 0.60
9 0.45
Second Half (46–90)
6 1.20
5 0.25
Final Stage (76–90)
4 0.80

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.400 Strong
Pressure Away +0.183 Strong
Timing Away +0.040 Weak
Defense Away +0.038 Weak

Momentum

Dender Metric Lommel United
3 Positive Sequences 3
9 Comeback Goals 4
7 Negative Sequences 2
7 Killer Goals 1

Pressure

Dender Metric Lommel United
3 Early Pressure 3
5 Late Pressure 4
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Dender Metric Lommel United
3 Fast Starts 3
8 Half-time Spurts 0
4 Second Half Starts 2
5 Late Surges 4

Defense

Dender Metric Lommel United
7 Early Conceded 1
7 Late Conceded 2
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • First half result: consider Dender to win the first half.
  • Match outcome: Lommel United holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Dender

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Lommel United

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Dender
Lommel United

Dender vs Lommel United Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 12:15 Belgian Pro League

18 Played 2
11% 2-5-11 Win Rate 100% 2-0-0
36 Form Index —
6.74 Team Rating 7.09
35 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Dender Lommel United Results 23 77 Attack 45 55 Defense 48 52 Control 79 21 Discipline 13 87 Efficiency 0 100 Average 35 65 65

Attack

0.89
Goals
2.50
1.13
Expected Goals
—
10.6
Shots
8.5
3.2
Shots on Target
4
3.6
Corners
3

Defense

1.94
Conceded
1
1.64
Expected Goals Against
—
13.6
Shots Allowed
17.5
-1.06
Goal Difference
+1.50
17%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

50%
Possession
36%
76%
Pass Accuracy
74%
385
Passes
318
294
Accurate Passes
234

Discipline

1.72
Yellow Cards
1
0.06
Red Cards
0
10.8
Fouls
11
1.9
Offsides
0.5

Efficiency

0.61
PPG
3
-0.24
Goals vs xG
—
8%
Shot Conversion
29%
61%
Save %
92%
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Winner : Lommel United and +1.5 goals
Under/Over: +1.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -4.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Dender vs Lommel United: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Dender and away matches for Lommel United

Number of goals
Dender
Under
Over
Lommel United
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
0% 0
100% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
0% 0
100% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
20% 1
80% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
Both teams to score
Dender
Lommel United
Yes
80% 8
80% 4
No
20% 2
20% 1
1X2
Dender
Lommel United
1
20% 2
100% 5
X
10% 1
0% 0
2
70% 7
0% 0
Double Chance
Dender
Lommel United
12
90% 9
100% 5
1X
30% 3
100% 5
X2
80% 8
0% 0
Total Goals
Dender
Lommel United
0-1
10% 1
0% 0
2-3
50% 5
40% 2
4+
40% 4
60% 3
Total Corners
Dender
Under
Over
Lommel United
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Dender
Lommel United
Yes
10% 1
20% 1
No
90% 9
80% 4
1X2 HT - FT
Dender
Lommel United
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
60% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 1
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Dender
Lommel United
xG
1.15
0
xGa
2.1
0
Number of goals
Dender
Under
Over
Lommel United
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 2
60% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 2
60% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
Both teams to score
Dender
Lommel United
Yes
50% 5
40% 2
No
50% 5
60% 3
1X2
Dender
Lommel United
1
30% 3
60% 3
X
50% 5
20% 1
2
20% 2
20% 1
Double Chance
Dender
Lommel United
12
50% 5
80% 4
1X
80% 8
80% 4
X2
70% 7
40% 2
Total Goals
Dender
Lommel United
0-1
50% 5
40% 2
2-3
50% 5
60% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Dender
Lommel United
Yes
40% 4
40% 2
No
60% 6
60% 3
Number of goals
Dender
Under
Over
Lommel United
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
20% 1
80% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 3
40% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 3
40% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 5
0% 0
Both teams to score
Dender
Lommel United
Yes
30% 3
40% 2
No
70% 7
60% 3
1X2
Dender
Lommel United
1
10% 1
80% 4
X
30% 3
20% 1
2
60% 6
0% 0
Double Chance
Dender
Lommel United
12
70% 7
80% 4
1X
40% 4
100% 5
X2
90% 9
20% 1
Total Goals
Dender
Lommel United
0-1
40% 4
60% 3
2-3
50% 5
0% 0
4+
10% 1
40% 2
Clean Sheet
Dender
Lommel United
Yes
30% 3
60% 3
No
70% 7
40% 2
1.05 Expected goals 3.01
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots Off Goal 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
No Posts Found
In this exciting Belgian Pro League 2025-2026 matchup, Dender will take on Lommel United as part of the 2025-2026 season in Belgian Pro League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous DENDER Football Complex. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Dender, and the visiting side, Lommel United. The scoreline predictions suggest Lommel United to Win. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-23 Time: 16:15 Location: DENDER Football Complex Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

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