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27 Dec 2025-17:30
Chelsea
Chelsea
4th place
- : -
27 Dec 2025 12:30
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
3rd place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Chelsea vs Aston Villa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 12:30

1×2 Prediction
Chelsea
48%28%24%
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
55%45%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
51%49%
YesNo
Team Total - Chelsea
Under 1.5
56%44%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Aston Villa
Under 1.5
73%27%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Chelsea/Draw
76%24%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Chelsea +0.5
75%25%
Home +0.5NOT Home +0.5
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Chelsea Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.31
80.3%
EV: +5.2%
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Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
12:30
Chelsea W 48%
:
Aston Villa W 24%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.47 vs 0.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.41%
0:1
8.45%
0:2
3.79%
0:3
1.14%
0:4
0.25%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
13.08%
🔥
1:1
12.5%
1:2
5.95%
1:3
1.88%
1:4
0.44%
1:5
0.08%
2
2:0
9.1%
2:1
9.21%
2:2
4.63%
2:3
1.54%
2:4
0.38%
2:5
0.08%
3
3:0
4.22%
3:1
4.51%
3:2
2.39%
3:3
0.84%
3:4
0.22%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
1.47%
4:1
1.65%
4:2
0.92%
4:3
0.34%
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.41%
5:1
0.48%
5:2
0.28%
5:3
0.11%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.4%
0
21.5%
1
25.4%
2
20.5%
3
12.7%
4
6.5%
5
2.7%
6
0.9%
7
0.2%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
Manchester City
w w w w w
>
17
12
1
4
41
16
25
37
3
Aston Villa
w w w w w
>
17
11
3
3
27
18
9
36
4
Chelsea
d l d w d
>
17
8
5
4
29
17
12
29
5
Liverpool
w d d w w
>
17
9
2
6
28
25
3
29
1.40 xG 0.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Chelsea
VS
Aston Villa
1/6 (17%) Victories 6/6 (100%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.50 PPG 3.00
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
67% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.18 Avg xG 1.22
Chelsea
L D L W D
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Newcastle
2 2
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Chelsea
2 0
Everton
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Atalanta
2 1
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Bournemouth
0 0
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Leeds
3 1
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 16:30
Chelsea
1 1
Arsenal
Aston Villa
W W W W W
Premier League 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Aston Villa
2 1
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 14:00
West Ham
2 3
Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
FC Basel 1893
1 2
Aston Villa
Premier League 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Aston Villa
2 1
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Brighton
3 4
Aston Villa
Premier League 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 14:05
Aston Villa
1 0
Wolves
Missing Players
Chelsea
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
45
m
- Injured - Thigh Injury
15
m
- Injured - Suspended
Aston Villa
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - International duty
5
d
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
14
d
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Illness
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Chelsea will take on Aston Villa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2025-12-27 at 2025-12-27 in the famous Stamford Bridge. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Chelsea, and the visiting side, Aston Villa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Chelsea or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-27 Time: 17:30 Location: Stamford Bridge Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Chelsea vs Aston Villa Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 12:30 Football

Value Bets

7 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 1:0
Odds: 9.52
13.5%
EV: +28.0% Stake: $0.29
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Best Tip Value
Home Total Chelsea Under 2.5
Odds: 1.31
80.3%
EV: +5.2% Stake: $8.06
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Best Tip Value
Total Home Under 2.5
Odds: 1.31
80.3%
EV: +5.2% Stake: $8.06
Bet Now
Value
Away Total Aston Villa Under 1.5
Odds: 1.43
73.3%
EV: +4.8% Stake: $5.81
Bet Now
Value
Total Away Under 1.5
Odds: 1.43
73.3%
EV: +4.8% Stake: $5.81
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Value
Asian Handicap Aston Villa +1
Odds: 1.57
64.9%
EV: +1.9% Stake: $4.39
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-25 21:01:16
spinner

Trends for Chelsea vs Aston Villa Football 27 Dec, 2025 12:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Chelsea have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Chelsea create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Chelsea vs Aston Villa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Chelsea

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Aston Villa

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Chelsea - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Aston Villa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Chelsea - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Aston Villa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.021
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.044
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Chelsea):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Aston Villa):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Chelsea
Aston Villa

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 12:30 Premier League

Chelsea vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Chelsea and away matches for Aston Villa

Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
1X2
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
40% 4
100% 10
X
40% 4
0% 0
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
Chelsea
Aston Villa
12
60% 6
100% 10
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
60% 6
0% 0
Total Goals
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0-1
10% 1
10% 1
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Chelsea
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Chelsea
Aston Villa
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Chelsea
Aston Villa
xG
1.48
1.39
xGa
1.31
1.19
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Chelsea
Aston Villa
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Aston Villa
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
50% 5
80% 8
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
10% 1
10% 1
Double Chance
Chelsea
Aston Villa
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
50% 5
20% 2
Total Goals
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3
Team comparison
Prediction
Chelsea Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
9.0%
Low
6.40
2.0%
Low
17.00
-2
16.3%
Low
5.75
5.0%
Low
N/A
-1.5
23.6%
Low
3.24
8.0%
Low
8.50
-1
36.2%
Low
2.52
15.9%
Low
6.90
-0.5
48.7%
Low
1.89
23.9%
Low
4.06
+0.5
76.1%
High
1.27
51.3%
Medium
2.06
+1
84.0%
High
1.04
63.8%
Medium
1.57
+1.5
92.0%
High
1.05
76.4%
High
1.37
+2
95.0%
High
N/A
83.7%
High
1.14
+2.5
98.0%
High
1.01
91.0%
High
1.12
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.543.21%Low1.79
Under 1.556.79%Medium2.10
AwayOver 1.525.12%Low3.01
Under 1.574.88%High1.43
HomeOver 2.518.37%Low3.50
Under 2.581.63%High1.32
AwayOver 2.57.39%Low8.00
Under 2.592.61%High1.10
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
22 Feb
- 17:30
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2.33
xG
2.30
2
1
1 Dec
- 13:30
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1.69
xG
1.23
3
0
27 Apr
- 19:00
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
2
24 Sep
- 13:00
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
1
1 Apr
- 16:30
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
2
16 Oct
- 13:00
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
2
26 Dec
- 17:30
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
11 Sep
- 16:30
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
23 May
- 15:00
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
1
28 Dec
- 17:30
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
1
club logo
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Played: 10
Wins
4
Draws
2
Wins
4
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
16
1.6
Goals
1.1
11
11
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.6
16
27
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.3
23
2
0.2
Red Cards
0
3
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.2
2
58
5.8
Corners
4.7
47
135
13.5
Fouls
10.6
106
28
2.8
Offsides
1.2
12
159
15.9
Shots
11.1
111
56
5.6
Shots on Goal
4.2
42
Home Away All
Played 8 9 17
Wins 4 4 8
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 2 2 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.5 12 1.9 17 1.7 29
Goals Conceded 0.9 7 1.1 10 1 17
Yellow Cards 1.6 13 2.9 26 2.3 39
Red Cards 0.4 3 0.2 2 0.3 5
Clean Sheets 0.5 4 0.4 4 0.5 8
Corners 6.6 53 4.1 37 5.3 90
Fouls 11.3 90 11.6 104 11.4 194
Offsides 1.4 11 1.7 15 1.5 26
Shots 15 120 12.7 114 13.8 234
Shots on Goal 5.3 42 4.8 43 5 85
Home Away All
Played 9 8 17
Wins 7 4 11
Draws 1 2 3
Losses 1 2 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.7 15 1.5 12 1.6 27
Goals Conceded 0.8 7 1.4 11 1.1 18
Yellow Cards 1.2 11 1.8 14 1.5 25
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.4 4 0.1 1 0.3 5
Corners 5.2 47 4.9 39 5.1 86
Fouls 9 81 11 88 9.9 169
Offsides 1.2 11 1.3 10 1.2 21
Shots 11.6 104 10.9 87 11.2 191
Shots on Goal 4.8 43 3.4 27 4.1 70
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